The Best Jaguars vs Ravens SGP – Get a +475 Same-Game Parlay for TNF (Week 9)

• Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season begins with an AFC matchup in Jaguars vs Ravens
• Derrick Henry and Parker Washington stand out as two of the top Jaguars vs Ravens player props
• Read on to find my top Jaguars vs Ravens SGP for TNF on November 5, 2026

---

The Baltimore Ravens host the Jacksonville Jaguars at M&T Bank Stadium on November 5, 2026, at 8:15 PM ET. Oddsmakers currently favor the visiting Jaguars by 10.5 points in a matchup with just a 39.5-point total, according to the latest NFL odds.

The massive spread is largely a product of Baltimore’s injury situation. Two-time MVP quarterback Lamar Jackson is on the IR and backup Tyler Huntley is also injured, leaving undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano to make his first career start. Baltimore will likely force-feed Derrick Henry, which is where today’s TNF same-game parlay starts.

Jaguars vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay

Odds via MGM as of Nov 5 and are subject to change. Claim the BetMGM promo code before betting on TNF.

Derrick Henry Anytime TD Scorer

Derrick Henry remains the focal point of the Baltimore scoring attack, amassing nine total touchdowns and eight on the ground this season. His scoring floor is driven by overwhelming high-leverage usage, dominating the backfield with 38 red-zone carries and one red-zone target.

Jacksonville fields a formidable run defense ranking first in running back rushing yards allowed (57.7 per game), but they have surrendered three rushing touchdowns to the position (tied for third). Baltimore converts 59.3 percent of their red-zone trips into touchdowns (18th). With backup Justice Hill dealing with a groin injury, Baltimore’s unwavering reliance on Henry near the goal line provides the requisite volume for this leg.

That red-zone volume becomes practically guaranteed inside the 5-yard line, where Henry handles 88.9 percent of the Ravens’ goal-to-go rushing attempts and has turned 14 carries inside the 10 into seven scores. Jacksonville’s stingy yardage numbers on early downs create shorter-yardage scoring situations rather than denying them, funneling Baltimore into pure power-running sequences where Henry’s league-leading explosive rush share inside the red zone consistently wins out.

Parker Washington Anytime TD Scorer

Parker Washington commands high-value opportunity for Jacksonville, securing four receiving touchdowns on eight red-zone targets this season. Baltimore yields 177.6 wide receiver receiving yards per contest (28th) and has surrendered five positional touchdowns. Starting wideout Jakobi Meyers carries a hamstring injury, further concentrating target share.

The Jaguars maintain a 68.4 percent red-zone touchdown conversion rate (ninth). Structurally, if Derrick Henry establishes a ground-heavy scoring presence for Baltimore, it forces Jacksonville into a trailing, pass-heavy script. This elevated passing volume directly correlates with Washington securing targets against a vulnerable perimeter defense.

Washington’s interior deployment is the critical catalyst here, as he operates out of the slot on over 72 percent of snaps and commands a team-high 29.6 percent target share on third and fourth downs in scoring territory. Baltimore has struggled mightily against slot concepts and intermediate middle-field crossers in condensed spaces, giving up a 118.4 passer rating and an 81.3 percent completion rate on passes inside the 20 to primary interior options.

Over 39.5 Total Points

Jacksonville brings an elite scoring unit into this contest, producing 28.0 points per game (fifth). They face a Baltimore defense allowing 25.4 points per game (22nd). Recent Jacksonville scorelines emphasize high offensive output, including a 42-7 victory over the Indianapolis Colts and a 34-31 shootout loss to the Houston Texans. Baltimore regularly plays past this number, recently yielding 36 points to the Buffalo Bills and 35 points to the Cincinnati Bengals. The most recent matchup between these two franchises produced 55 combined points during a 28-27 Jaguars win in November 2022.

Both teams also rank among the top 10 in offensive neutral pace, combining for an average of over 126 offensive snaps per game while generating 2.41 points per possession. When paired with Baltimore’s explosive play rate—ranking top five in gains of 20-plus yards—and Jacksonville’s susceptibility to long scores, this contest features two dynamic offenses capable of clearing a modest 39.5-point total even with a single prolonged scoring drought.

Washington finding the end zone and the overall game going over directly correlate through Jacksonville exploiting Baltimore coverage lapses. Henry pounding in a rushing score provides the deliberately script-independent component, keeping the parlay from relying on a single outcome..

SGP Pick Recap

• Derrick Henry Anytime TD Scorer (+105)
• Parker Washington Anytime TD Scorer (+145)
• Over 39.5 Total Points (-111)