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Best NFL Player Props to Bet on Christmas: Chiefs vs Steelers & Ravens vs Texans

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in NFL Football

Published:


Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Hollywood Brown running a route
Dec 21, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Hollywood Brown (5) runs the ball against the Houston Texans during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
  • The lord has blessed us with two NFL games on Christmas Day this year
  • NFL Player Props are my favorite way to take these things in so we’ll look there for some action
  • Here are my favorite player props for each NFL game on Dec. 25

When I was a kid, Christmas Day meant betting on the NBA. It was just what we did and it was glorious. Everyone knew that Christmas Day belonged to the NBA and they were happy about it. Fast-forward to today and the NBA has a little competition. The NFL has all of a sudden started throwing games on Christmas Day and it’s noticeable. The thing is, we shouldn’t be mad at the NFL. They’re only trying to give us more to bet on here. That’s not a bad thing. On top of that, we’re getting marquee games. We’re talking the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs, then after that, the Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans. This could easily be the greatest Christmas of our entire lives.

NFL Christmas Day Player Prop Picks

Player Receptions Receiving Yards Pick
Hollywood Brown (Chiefs) 3.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) 38.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Player Receptions Receiving Yards Pick
Joe Mixon (Texans) 2.5 (Ov -+105 / Un -135) 19.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Both Christmas Day player prop bets focus on receiving props.

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Odds as of December 24 at BetMGM. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on Monday Night Football in Week 15.

Hollywood Brown Is Back

The situation I was most happy about over the summer was Hollywood Brown going to the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s always fun to see what Patrick Mahomes can do with another weapon. It just is. But then, Brown got hurt and we the people were robbed.

The thing is, people heal and that’s exactly what Brown did. He’s back.


Obviously we weren’t really sure what to expect last week when Hollywood came back. He had not played since August so who knew what he would look like. For that reason, he was a guy that we didn’t want to bet last week. It would have been irresponsible of us and we’re nothing if not responsible.

Obviously now looking back on last week, we should have gotten down. The Chiefs clearly wanted to bring Hollywood along slowly since he only played 27% of the snaps. At the same time, in that time on the field, he was targeted eight times. Kansas City obviously wants to get him the ball.

This week we should see an elevated snap count for Hollywood. That should mean more production. On top of that, the Steelers are a borderline ripe target since they’ve allowed the 11th most receiving yards to wideouts this season. Translation, Hollywood is going for way more than 39 receiving yards on Christmas Day.

  • The Pick: Hollywood Brown Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM

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Joe Mixon Will Need To Use His Hands

Sometimes we forget about the OGs when it comes to the running back position. We’ve trained our brains into thinking the running back spot is dead. On top of that, it’s even more dead when guys get older. It’s a damn shame if you ask me.

We can’t forget that some guys age like fine wine especially when they can go multiple things. Joe Mixon has been a complete back for years now.

The thing with Mixon is, the Texans want the ball in his hands. It’s obvious with how many touches he gets. If he’s not getting 20+ carries, he’s getting 5+ targets. We’ve all seen that happen. It’s just how the Texans roll.

I think Houston will need Mixon’s hands in their Christmas Day battle with the Baltimore Ravens. For starters, the Texans just lost Tank Dell for the season. Obviously his position will be filled by a receiver, but his production could easily shift to a guy like Mixon. Even if it’s just one target, we’ll take it. That’s just how we roll.

On top of all that, game-script and opponent should mean something in this thing. The Texans are 5.5-point underdogs to the Ravens so they are expected to play from behind. If/when the Texans are forced to throw, it’s nice to know the Ravens have allowed the third-most receiving yards to the running back position this season. Joe Mixon could easily go for 19+ receiving yards in this thing.

  • The Pick: Joe Mixon Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
  • 2024 SBD NFL Results – 13-14 (+3.39 Units)

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John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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