Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Public-Betting Splits & Final Injury Reports

• The Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC title game on Jan. 26
• The public is betting heavily on the Bills to cover the spread as slight road underdogs
• Below, see the Bills vs Chiefs public bettings splits and final injury reports

The Buffalo Bills (15-4, 5-4 away, 12-7 ATS) and Kansas City Chiefs (16-2, 9-0 home, 8-10 ATS) meet in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game with a berth in Super Bowl 59 on the line for the winner. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, the two-time defending Super Bowl champions, are riding an eight-game postseason win streak and have eliminated the Bills in three of the last four playoffs. Yet the public is bucking historical trends and siding with the Bills to cover as small road underdogs in Sunday’s NFL odds.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Public Betting Splits

As of Sunday morning, Buffalo is getting 76% of ATS handle as two-point road underdogs along with 75% of ATS wagers, leaving just 24% of money on the Chiefs to cover, even though the line is less than a field goal.

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The public is having a hard time fading the Chiefs on the moneyline. Currently, both the Bills (+112) and Chiefs (-125) are getting exactly 50% of moneyline handle. On average, the larger bets are on Buffalo to win, as the Bills are getting 50% of handle on just 43% of the tickets. My colleague Chris Amberley is one person who isn’t betting on the Chiefs’ win streak to end, taking KC to win and cover in his Bills vs Chiefs Picks & Predictions.

The public’s strongest lean is on the game total. After dropping a full point from 49.5 to 48.5, the public is hammering the over. As of 9:37 am ET, 83% of game-total handle was on the over along with 78% of O/U wagers. This comes despite the Bills and Chiefs going a combined 0-2-1 O/U so far in the postseason. KC is 7-11 O/U including the regular season while the Bills are 11-7-1.

BUF Bills vs KC Chiefs Injury Report

The final Bills vs Chiefs injury reports on Friday showed something ultra-rare for an NFL team this deep into the season: the KC injury report listed zero players with an injury designation of any kind.

That doesn’t mean KC has its full complement of players who started the season. Several significant contributors have landed on IR at various points of the season, including WRs Mecole Hardman, Rashee Rice, and Skyy Moore. But it does mean that KC will head into the AFC Championship with basically the same team it’s been fielding for the past three months.

The Bills weren’t as lucky on the injury front last week. Buffalo lost safety Taylor Rapp (82 tackles, two INTs, six PDs in 14 games) to a back/hip injury in its 27-25 win over Baltimore. Making matters even worse in the Bills secondary, starting right corner Christian Benford (64 tackles,two INTs, one sack, 10 PDs) is listed as questionable due to a concussion, also suffered in the win over the Ravens.

Benford was a limited participant at practice on Wednesday and Thursday, and did not practice on Friday, though the stated reason was “personal”. So his Friday absence may not have been related to his injury.