Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Spread & Odds for Monday Night Football Week 12

By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated: November 27, 2023 at 12:27 pm ESTPublished:

- The Minnesota Vikings are 3-point home favorites over the Chicago Bears in the Week 12 MNF game on Monday, November 27
- Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in the last five games against Chicago, while the Bears are 0-12 SU in their last 12 divisional games
- See the Bears vs Vikings odds, spread, and picks for Monday Night Football
Forced to play their backup QB after starter Justin Fields was injured, the Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-5-2 ATS) lost to the Minnesota Vikings (6-5, 7-3-1 ATS) earlier this season. The rematch of these NFC North rivals will see the Vikings as the team left to count on their second-stringer under center.
Minnesota is 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread since Josh Dobbs replaced the injured Kirk Cousins at QB. Fields returned for the Bears last week and nearly engineered a road upset over the division-leading Detroit Lions.
Still, it’s Minnesota that oddsmakers are going with as the 3-point home favorites in the Bears vs Vikings odds for this game. The Vikings are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
Bears vs Vikings Odds
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Chicago Bears | +130 | +3 (-112) | Over 43.5 (-104) |
Minnesota Vikings | -154 | -3 (-108) | Under 43.5 (-118) |
In the Chicago vs Minnesota odds, the Vikings are -154 moneyline favorites, giving them a 60.63% implied win probability. The total is set at 43.5 points. The total has gone over in four of the last five times that the Bears have played on the road at the Vikings.

SPORTSBOOK
Odds as of November 26 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Kickoff for this game at US Bank Stadium on Monday, November 27, is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC and ESPN, as well as by DAZN in Canada.
Chicago vs Minnesota Betting Trends
The Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games facing NFC North opponents and that’s reflected in the NFL public betting splits. Minnesota is getting 60% of spread handle. Chicago is also 0-12 SU in the last 12 divisional games, so not surprisingly, the Vikings are drawing 93% of the handle on the Bears vs Vikings betting splits.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in the last five meetings with Chicago. The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 road games SU. Minnesota is 5-1 SU over the club’s past six games.
The Vikings have gone under the total in seven of their last nine games. The under has also hit in three of the past five Bears vs Vikings meetings.
Minnesota is the +500 second betting choice to win the NFC North in the NFL Divisional odds. Chicago is given a +25000 betting line in this market.
Key Players Uncertain For Both Teams
If you’re looking at making a play on this game in the Week 12 Bears vs Vikings props, perhaps avoid any bets on Minnesota WR Justin Jefferson or Chicago RB D’Onta Foreman. Both players are uncertain to participate in the MNF tilt.
Justin Jefferson this season is averaging:
• 115 receiving yards per game
• 7 receptions per game
• 15.9 yards per catchHis contributions will do wonders for this #Vikings offense pic.twitter.com/rlvonR1Yt9
— VikingzFanPage (@vikingzfanpage) November 25, 2023
In the midst of his 21-day practice window to be reactivated from IR, Vikings All-Pro Jefferson is still showing as questionable for this game. He led the NFL with 1809 receiving yards last season. Jefferson was on pace for 1,942 yards in receptions when he suffered his hamstring injury in Week 5.
Foreman (ankle/shin) has been limited in practice this week. He’s leading the Bears in rushing with 381 yards. Foreman’s five TDs are second on the club.
Must Win Game For Vikings
Squandering a victory last week at Denver – losing 21-20 on a late Broncos field goal – Minnesota can’t afford to let this game get away. The Vikings would move within 1.5 games of leading Detroit in the NFC North race and they’ll be facing the Lions twice before the regular season concludes.
Minnesota had won five in a row prior to that setback at Denver. The Vikings were playing their way back into the title hunt. Losing to Green Bay on Thanksgiving, Detroit has opened a path to the top for Minnesota. The Vikings can’t afford to let another game slip away to a lesser squad.
Bears vs Vikings Prediction
With Fields back under center, the Bears are a different team. They’re still not a good team, but at least they can score the football. In the six full games that Fields has played this season, the average total is 44 points. That’s a half-point better than the total set for this game.
Justin Fields….He BACK pic.twitter.com/GBfJzGUOJb
— Chase Daniel (@ChaseDaniel) November 19, 2023
Minnesota has also hit the over in three of the club’s past four home games. As well, these two teams combined to score 51 point in last season’s game at US Bank Stadium. And no NFL team has hit the over more often than the Bears, who are 7-4 this season on the total.
Bears vs Vikings Picks: Over 43.5 points (-104)
Get more MNF predictions with our Bears vs Vikings same game parlay picks here!
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.