Cleveland Browns vs LA Chargers Props – Best Team and Player Props to Bet

• The Cleveland Browns are in Los Angeles to take on the Chargers in a battle of 3-1 teams
• Last week’s prop picks: 1-2. Overall: 7-9, -2.065 units
• See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below

After our best week of the year in Week 3, we stumbled a bit in Week 4, as the Eagles decided it was best to not pay intense attention to Tyreek Hill. Why follow a formula that led teams to victories over the Chiefs in the previous two games?

Alas, we can shake that off and move to a really nice matchup this Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and LA Chargers.

A pair of 3-1 upstarts battling at the top of the AFC? Yes please.

You can get set for the game with a preview here. For us, let’s get back to our winning ways with our favorite prop bets this week.

Browns vs Chargers Player Props

Odds taken Oct 9from DraftKings

Point to Pivots

It’s a tale of two QB’s who are on two different paths. In Justin Herbert, the Chargers have their franchise guy, and he’s backed up his OROY campaign with an even more impressive second year.

LA loves to throw: they’re fifth in the NFL with 165 pass attempts through four weeks, and Herbert has completed 113 passes. He’s gone over this week’s passing total in every game this year except Monday Night’s win over the Raiders, where he went 25-for-38.

This kid Justin Herbert…

think he might be pretty good. 😏 #BoltUp pic.twitter.com/yzp4BNG2OY

— NFL (@NFL) October 5, 2021

A very good Browns’ defense, featuring sack leader Myles Garrett, is always a concern, but look for Brandon Staley to mitigate the risk by incorporating a quick passing game. Herbert has also thrown for seven TD’s the past two weeks. Cleveland has allowed just one TD pass the last two weeks, but they were punctured for three scores by Patrick Mahomes. Herbert isn’t Mahomes, but he’s on that tier of play this year.

On the other side of the ball, Baker Mayfield has served as a glorified game manager for the Browns. He has thrown only two TD’s on the year, and since an opening-week 321-yard passing performance, he’s surpassed this yards total once in three games, not throwing more than 246 yards.

Baker Mayfield MISSES a wide-open Odell Beckham Jr.😨 #Browns

pic.twitter.com/huXmGjbxdO

— TWSN (@TWSN___) October 3, 2021

It’s not all his fault: the Browns boast the league’s best running attack, churning out 177 yards per game. They’re the only team in the NFL to surpass 700 yards rushing on the year. He’s also playing through a torn labrum in his non-throwing shoulder. I think the beat goes on, for both guys.

Pick:

• Herbert OVER 25.5 completions (1 unit to win 0.91 units)
• Mayfiled UNDER 223.5 passing yards (1 unit to win 0.87 units)

Mike Drop

After a spectacular three-week stretch to start the year, Mike Williams was a non-factor Monday night against the Raiders, catching just one ball for four yards.

With the emergence of Austin Ekeler in the run game, and Herbert targeting Keenan Allen, the gameplan moved away from the fifth year pro, who has 23 catches for 306 yards and four TD’s.

His 4th TD of the season, his 2nd TD of the day…

Mike Williams gives LA the lead ⚡️pic.twitter.com/VjYHxXDKSI

— TWSN (@TWSN___) September 26, 2021

As mentioned, a fierce Browns’ pass rush will call for quick hitters, and Williams has been that this season. Williams has 11 receptions within five yards of the line of scrimmage, one off his entire total last season.

The Browns’ defense has allowed at least six receptions to a receiver in all but one game this season. Don’t be afraid to also sprinkle some on the over receiving yards total — Williams has crossed 82 yards receiving in four of his last five.

Pick:

• Williams OVER 5.5 receptions (1 unit to win 1.25 units)

Browns vs Chargers Scoring Props

Who Scores?

I know it’s a little scary picking Nick Chubb to get to the endzone, because for all his heavy lifting, it appears Cleveland’s goal line package gives Kareem Hunt opening duties. They each have three TD scores on the ground, but Chubb hasn’t scored since Week 2, while Hunt has found paydirt in two straight and has only failed to score in one game.

8 straight games with a TD for Nick Chubb.#Browns l @NickChubb21

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/yQNh2lU9jX

— Bally Sports Cleveland (@BallySportsCLE) September 19, 2021

However, the value here is too good, considering Chubb has scored at least one TD in each of his last nine regular season appearances against AFC opposition.

You might also want to consider Williams (+150), who has scored touchdowns in three of the Chargers’ last four games.

• Pick: Chubb to score anytime TD (1 unit to win 1 unit)