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Cowboys Open as 3-Point Road Favorites vs Bears in Week 14

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Dec 1, 2019 · 4:33 PM PST

Dallas Cowboys Chicago Bears
Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys are short road favorites vs the Chicago Bears in Week 14. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr).
  • The Dallas Cowboys (6-6) square off with the Chicago Bears (6-6) on Thursday Night Football in Week 14
  • The Cowboys have lost six of their past nine, but opened as a 3-point favorite
  • Read below for a prediction on how the betting line could move between these two desperate NFC teams

The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears square off on Thursday Night Football in a battle of two teams that cannot afford a loss.

The Cowboys are now in a dog fight for first in the NFC East after a disappointing performance against the Bills, while the Bears kept their very slim playoff hopes alive by knocking off the Lions.

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Dallas Cowboys -3.0 (-115) -165 Over 43.0 (-110)
Chicago Bears +3.0 (-105) +145 Under 43.0 (-110)

Odds taken Dec. 1.

Dallas opened as 3-point road favorites in the Cowboys vs Bears odds despite having dropped six of its past nine games. They’ve yet to beat a team with a record above .500, and they looked extremely sloppy on Thanksgiving en route to an 11-point defeat.

A Sloppy Day for Dallas

The Cowboys latest holiday disaster was one of their worst games of the season. They turned the ball over three times (once on downs), missed two field goals and were held to just 15 points. They’ve scored just 24 points in their last two games and are averaging only 16.4 points in five games versus teams that currently occupy a playoff spot.

Dak Prescott did put up 355 passing yards and two scores, but a large portion of that came in the fourth quarter when the game was out of reach. The Bills pass rush was in his face all game which resulted in a pick, a lost fumble and four sacks. Dak’s QBR over the last two games is just 46.0, compared to 78.1 over the first 11 weeks of the season.

After jumping out to an early 7-0 lead, the Cowboys defence gave up points on five of six drives. They’ve now surrendered 26 or more points in three of their last four outings. They allowed Josh Allen to complete a season-high 79.2% of his passes and failed to force a turnover for the fourth straight game.

Trubisky Bounces Back

After a four-game losing streak in the middle of the season, the Bears won for the third time in their last four outings on Thanksgiving. Mitchell Trubisky had by far his best game of the season, throwing for a season-high 338 yards and three touchdowns.
Trubisky was especially strong on Chicago’s final three drives, completing 10-of-11 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns and a perfect 158.3 passer rating.

On defense, the Bears looked lost early and allowed undrafted QB David Blough to rack up two touchdown passes in his first six attempts. Chicago’s normally stout d woke up in the final three quarters keeping Detroit out of the end zone and limiting them to just two field goals.

Khalil Mack was held in check, but Roquan Smith was a man among boys. The former top-10 pick became just the third player in NFL history to record 15 tackles and two sacks in a single game.

Which Way Will the Line Move

Dallas may be a 3-point favorite now but the heavier juice on their side suggests this line could move in their favor. The Cowboys are the epitome of a public team, and people will be lining up to bet them versus Mitchell Trubisky.

If the line does move to -3.5 or -4, expect the sharps to take a big position on Chicago. This Bears team showed signs of life in Week 13 and remain a high end defensive unit. Dallas’ offense has looked lost the last two weeks, and going on the road to Soldier Field probably isn’t going to be the cure they’re seeking.

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