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Dysfunctional Jets See Super Bowl 54 Odds Improve from +7400 to +6300

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NFL Football

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 9:48 PM PDT

NY Jets QB Sam Darnold.
Sam Darnold and the New York Jets have seen their Super Bowl 54 odds improve in recent weeks, but that followed on the heels of a steep drop precipitated by front-office ugliness. Photo by slgckgc (flickr) [CC License].
  • The New York Jets hired a new head coach and fired their general manager this off-season
  • They signed RB Le’Veon Bell and made several other roster moves to shake up the team after another losing season
  • Despite the Jets’ improvements, the best teams in the AFC play out West

The New York Jets have a new-look roster and new-look jerseys. But their offseason has been characterized by dysfunction, which led to their Super Bowl odds slipping.

Recently, however, the Jets’ odds to win Super Bowl 54 have recovered somewhat. Is that increase justified?

Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team Odds
New England Patriots +700
Kansas City Chiefs +800
Cleveland Browns +1400
Los Angeles Chargers +1400
Indianapolis Colts +1600
Pittsburgh Steelers +2000
Baltimore Ravens +3300
Houston Texans +3300
Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
Tennessee Titans +6000
Denver Broncos +6000
Oakland Raiders +6000
New York Jets +8000
Buffalo Bills +10000
Miami Dolphins +12500
Cincinnati Bengals +12500

*odds taken 6/21.

Looking at the Super Bowl odds for all the AFC teams, the Jets are still on the lower end, but they are getting some respect.  They’re listed at +8000 which is a great price if you do believe they can contend.  For my money, however, I’m looking to the West Coast for my Super Bowl pick.

Chargers Offering Maximum Value

The battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West last year was awesome.  While the New England Patriots went on the represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, I believe the Chiefs and Chargers had the best rosters.  This season, Kansas City has been depleted with trades, suspensions and players being released, which paves the way for Philip Rivers and company.

Both the Chiefs and Chargers were 12-4 last year and while I think Kansas City will take a step back, I think the Chargers improve.  Despite the buzz around teams like the Jets and Cleveland Browns, I think it’s an old reliable that will win the conference and ultimately the Super Bowl.

Rivers had over 4,300 yards passing and 32 TD, Melvin Gordon has over 1,400 combined yards and Joey Bosa leads a stout defense.  I expect them to have home field advantage in the playoffs and fully expect them to take advantage.

Could Patriots Win Again?

Eventually the Patriots run has to end and it certainly seems like this could be the year.  Tom Brady is another year older and his favorite weapon Rob Gronkowski is now retired.  They always re-tool and have the advantage of playing in the weak AFC East, but even if they make the playoffs I think they’ll be lacking the weapons necessary to deal with teams like the Chargers, Chiefs and even Colts, never mind whichever team comes out of the NFC.

Final Verdict

The Jets are an entertaining story with a new head coach, Sam Darnold in year 2 and the addition of Le’Veon Bell.  Entertaining stories don’t make for profitable bets though, so fade New York and get your action in on the Chargers while the price is offering maximum value.

PICK: Los Angeles Chargers (+1400)

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