Falcons vs Commanders Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 17)

By John Hyslop in NFL Football
Published:

- The Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders will get it on at 8:20 pm ET on Sunday Night Football (December 29)
- The only thing we can do at this point is to lay out a sweet Falcons/Commanders SGP for the vibes
- See below to find the best Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders same-game parlay
Us gamblers will get one more shot at greatness Sunday Night when the Atlanta Falcons take on the Washington Commanders. I think I speak for all of us when I say, “We’re taking it.” Now the haters are going to say that this game will be played in the pouring rain and they may be right. But, what they’re forgetting is, we don’t care. We’re gamblers. We’ll bet on any game, played in any weather. That’s just how being a gambler works. All we have to do is, adjust our strategy a little and fire away. We’ve been doing it since we were kids so we are battle-tested. The books have no idea what’s about to hit them.
Falcons vs Commanders Same-Game Parlay Picks
Pick | Odds |
---|---|
Michael Penix Under 18.5 Passing Completions | -110 |
Drake London 5+ Receptions | -120 |
Jayden Daniels Under 225.5 Passing Yards | -170 |
ATL vs WASH SGP Total Odds | +520 |
Odds as of Dec. 29 at Fanatics. Claim the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code and participate in the Fanatics FanCash program.
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We Can Get Loose With The Falcons
For the past decade, I was a Michael Penix guy. Maybe the biggest Michael Penix guy on the planet. I followed him from his time at the University of Indiana, all the way to his run at the University of Washington. I learned one thing, the guy can play.
But one thing we can all agree on, the NCAA is not the NFL. Penix has every reason to be nervous.
Michael Penix Jr. is ready for Sunday Night Football. 🏈 pic.twitter.com/9HKOkVbJoD
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) December 27, 2024
Luckily for Penix, his first NFL start came against the closest team the NFL has to NCAA level in the New York Giants. When we talk about bad football, the Giants are the definition of just that. From top to bottom, no part of that franchise is what anyone would call good right now. It was a great place for Penix to start.
Fast-forward to this week and Michael might have a problem. The Falcons are on the road and playing the 10-5 Washington Commanders. Being on the road is pretty big here because Penix is an indoor cat and this game is outside. Not only is it outside, but it’s in pretty bad weather against a pretty good team. Two things Penix has not seen so far in his brief NFL career.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Falcons do everything they can to shorten this game by keeping the ball on the ground. And when they do throw it, we’re probably looking at controlled tosses to Drake London. London has been targeted 10+ times in six games this season. Last week, Penix looked for him eight times. Translation, we could get a little negative-correlation here by taking Penix under 18.5 completion with London’s 5+ receptions. Feels right.
Jayden Daniels Is Actually Pretty Good
I’ll admit it, when Jayden Daniels was in college, I didn’t think he was that good. I didn’t. I thought he was too small and, on top of that, he wasn’t accurate enough for the NFL. It takes a big man to admit when they were wrong. Everyone knows that.
How do I know that I was wrong? Look at this list. Numbers don’t lie.
QBs with the best passer rating this season:
Lamar Jackson – 121.6
Jared Goff – 112.2
Joe Burrow – 108.5
Sam Darnold – 105.4
Jalen Hurts – 103.7
Baker Mayfield – 103.5
Tua Tagovailoa – 101.4
Jayden Daniels – 101.3
Josh Allen – 101.2
Derek Carr – 101.0— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) December 27, 2024
But here’s the thing, as good as Daniels has been all season long, I don’t think he can throw for more than 225 yards tonight. That’s a bold statement but it’s one I’m making. The funny part is, it’s not even because he’s not good. We all know the guy can ball, but this just isn’t the spot for balling out.
For starters, this game is going to get impacted by the weather. It’s supposed to rain all night in the DC area and, on top of that, we’re looking at a little wind. Not hurricane force, but we could see 30+ mph gusts. Couple that with the fact that Washington could play with a lead and Atlanta takes forever to run plays, and we’re looking at an under type of night. Feels wrong, but it also feels right.
- The SGP (+520): Michael Penix Under 18.5 Passing Completions (-110) + Drake London 5+ Receptions (-120) + Jayden Daniels Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-170)
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- 2024 SBD NFL SGP Results – 7-9 (+7.83 Units)
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.