First WR Drafted Odds & Best Bets – Who’s Favored: Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson?

• Carnell Tate is favored to be the first WR taken in Thursday’s NFL Draft
• Both Tate and Jordyn Tyson are heavy favorites to be top-10 picks
• Keep reading for the First WR Drafted odds and best bets, plus find out why Tate is favored over Tyson

We are less than 24 hours away from the NFL Draft, and the debate over who the second best skill position player is in this class is heating up. There’s no doubt that Jeremiyah Love is the most talented offensive player, but after him you can make a strong argument for either Carnell Tate of Jordyn Tyson.

From a ceiling perspective, the answer is probably Tyson but the Arizona State product has enough red flags to make you think twice. Tyson and Tate are locked in a battle to be the first wide receiver drafted on Thursday, with prediction markets expecting that honor to go to Tate.

I’m inclined to agree, so keep reading for the reasons why, plus see the First WR Drafted odds and best bets below.

First WR Drafted Odds

Prediction Markets

First WR Favorites

Learn more about Prediction Markets

Kalshi

Carnell Tate

65%

Jordyn Tyson

37%

Makai Lemon

5%

KC Concepcion

3%

Denzel Boston

1%

Omar Cooper Jr.

0%

Chris Brazzell II

0%

Zachariah Branch

0%

Malachi Fields

0%

Skyler Bell

0%

Predict

At the time of writing, Tate is given a 60% chance of being the first wideout selected by Kalshi, and is trading at 59 cents in that market. That’s the equivalent of -144 odds in traditional sports betting terms, with Tyson being traded at 42 cents (+138). For what it’s worth, Tate’s draft position over/under in the NFL Draft odds is one spot lower than Tyson’s (7.5 vs 8.5), but the ladder has shorter odds to be a top-five pick (+275 vs +500).

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First WR Drafted Best Bets

• Carnell Tate (59¢ at Kalshi)

What’s telling about Tyson boasting shorter top-five odds is that teams view his ceiling as significantly higher than Tate’s. One team in particular, the Giants, are reportedly enamoured with the Arizona State wideout, and just happen to own two top-10 selections on Thursday, including pick #5.

While that 5th overall does seem a bit high to draft a player with Tyson’s injury concerns, it should be noted that this year’s Draft is wide open and no one outside of Fernando Mendoza in our final NFL mock draft is a lock to be a franchise player. New York was one of two teams to send their GM to Tyson’s pro day, and have also brought him into their own building for a visit.

Tyson is the bigger player, who is currently being comped to Justin Jefferson. He is a smooth, long route runner, with great body control and that breaks a ton of tackles. Tyson accounted for 46.7% of his Arizona State’s receiving yards last season, and 65% of their receiving TD. His targets per route run were in the 97th percentile, even though he played the final two games at far less than 100% health.

But here’s the problem. Tyson has injury and durability issues, and is viewed as a very risky pick. If he hadn’t suffered any injuries in college he’d easily be drafted ahead of Tate, but it’s hard to overlook a torn ACL, PCL and LCL in one knee, a broken collarbone and a lingering hamstring strain that caused him to miss the combine. There will always be teams that elect to draft for ceiling over floor, but it’s simply too risky a proposition this high in the Draft.

Which brings us to Tate. The Ohio State wideout is a polished route runner, who can win at all three levels and isn’t afraid to get his hands dirty in the run game. He doesn’t have the same type of freaky traits as Tyson, but he’s got 4.4 speed and hands that remind you of super glue. If the ball comes anywhere close to them, you can bet it’s sticking to him.

Tate also comes from a more pro style offense, and is the latest in a long line of great Buckeyes receivers. His former teammate Jaxon Smith-Njigba just helped the Seahawks triumph in the Super Bowl odds, while he’d be a nice fit at pick #7 to the wide receiver needy Commanders, to pair with former Ohio State great Terry McLauin.

Tyson will no doubt be a sexier pick in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, and the team that drafts him will receive more publicity, but Tate is a sure thing, and not someone you pass on in favor of a serious injury risk.