Patriots vs Bills – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for MNF Week 13
- The New England Patriots (8-4) visit the Buffalo Bills (7-4) with first place in the AFC East on the line
- Week 12 Record: 0-6, -4.0 units; 2021 record: 14-36, -13.01 units
- Monday Night Football kicks off at 8:15 pm EST from Highmark Stadium; See the best player prop bets
A week after the Seattle Seahawks failed to live up to their end of the bargain on Monday Night Football, Week 13’s final game is guaranteed to bring the excitement.
With first place in the AFC East on the line, the New England Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills. The stakes are as high as you can get.
New England is among the hottest teams in the NFL and, typically, turning into a November juggernaut. They’ve won six in a row and head to Orchard Park to take on the Bills. Buffalo is 3-3 over their last six.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST on ESPN on Monday Night.
Patriots vs Bills Player Props
Quarterback | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
---|---|---|---|
Mac Jones, NE | 19.5 (O -110 / U -120) | 200.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 1.5 (O +165 / U -230) |
Josh Allen, BUF | 21.5 (O +105 / U -140) | 234.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 1.5 (O -105 / U -125) |
Player | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
Mac Jones, NE | N/A | 5.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 208.5 (O -115 / U -115)* |
Damien Harris, NE | 11.5 (O -114 / U -114) | 48.5 (O -120 / U -110) | 57.5 (O -110 / U -120) |
Rhamondre Stevenson, NE | N/A | 43.5 (O -110 / U -120) | N/A |
Devin Singletary, BUF | N/A | 37.5 (O -115 / U -115) | N/A |
Josh Allen, BUF | 7.5 (O -108 / U -122) | 35.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 273.5 (O -115 / U -115)* |
RB/WR/TE | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Hunter Henry, NE | 2.5 (O -120 / U -110) | 23.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 13.5 (O -120 / U -110) |
Jakobi Meyers, NE | 3.5 (O -150 / U +115) | 41.5 (O -110 / U -125) | 18.5 (O -110 / U -120) |
Jonnu Smith, NE | N/A | 16.5 (O -110 / U -120) | N/A |
Kendrick Bourne, NE | 2.5 (O -180 / U +135) | 31.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 16.5 (O -115 / U -115) |
Nelson Agholor, NE | N/A | 21.5 (O -115 / U -115) | N/A |
Dawson Knox, BUF | 2.5 (O -175 / U +130) | 28.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 15.5 (O -110 / U -120) |
Stefon Diggs, BUF | 4.5 (O -135 / U +100) | 61.5 (O -115 / U -115) | 22.5 (O -115 / U -115) |
Cole Beasley, BUF | 3.5 (O +130 / U -175) | 30.5 (O -110 / U -120) | 15.5 (O -110 / U -120) |
Emmanuel Sanders, BUF | 3.5 (O +135 / U -180) | 34.5 (O -110 / U -120) | 17.5 (O -110 / U -120) |
Odds as of December 5th at DraftKings
*Indicates Pass + Rush Yards
Buffalo enters as 2.5-point home favorites, as they look to reclaim top spot in the AFC East.
Josh Allen and the Bills have an interesting trend going against Bill Belichick: Allen’s offense always outscores their previous game’s total. The Bills hung 24 and 38 points on Belichick’s defense last season.
Bills Eyeing a Cole Beasley Breakout
The Patriots got torched on the ground by the Titans last week. Their defense was mad about it, so expect them to pay some extra attention to that facet of their game this week.
In hopes of limiting the Bills’ opportunities on the ground, that may open up the passing game.
Josh Allen passer rating when targeting…
Dawson Knox: 146.8
Gabriel Davis: 127.4
Emmanuel Sanders: 111.3
Stefon Diggs: 107.2
Cole Beasley: 98.8— Joe DiBiase (@SneakyJoeSports) December 1, 2021
Cole Beasley dominated the Patriots in his first two games after he joined the Bills. He notched two seven-catch games and over 180 yards. In 2020 he only brought in five catches in their two games.
In 2021 he’s gone over his projected total eight times. Beasley has averaged 5.8 targets and 4.8 receptions the last four.
Myles Bryant says Cole Beasley's experience, quickness, and grittiness make him tough to cover
— Alex Barth (@RealAlexBarth) December 2, 2021
New England has played a ton of one-sided contests recently, so their numbers against wide receivers are skewed. They’ve controlled the clock, but the Bills won’t roll over in a divisional game.
Beasley will be a big part of that.
- Cole Beasley OVER 3.5 receptions (+135); 1 unit
Jakobi Meyers Is Mac Jones’ Go-To
Jakobi Meyers has evolved into the Patriots’ constant.
After catching 26-of-41 targets in Tom Brady’s final season, Meyers saw his targets rise to 81 last year, and 91 this year. Sitting at 620 receiving yards, it’s a formality that Meyers establishes a new career high.
It’s rare that Meyers crosses into 80+ yard territory, but that’s not what he’s being asked to do.
Jakobi Meyers: I feel like I'm more of a football player now than just an athlete… I've become more of a cerebral football player and that's a credit to the (coaches).
— Mark Daniels (@MarkDanielsPJ) December 2, 2021
Meyers has gone over his total in eight of 12 games this season. Three of his misses finished in the high 30s.
While Buffalo lost Tre’Davious White, they still have Taron Johnson and Levi Wallace. In the last two weeks Lil’Jordan Humphrey is the only receiver the Bills have allowed to cross the 40-yard threshold.
In the nine weeks before that, the Bills allowed 12 receivers to surpass Meyers’ total. With a low number set for a trusted target, Meyers should hit even on a windy Monday night.
- The Pick: Jakobi Meyers OVER 41.5 receiving yards (-110); 1 unit
Patriots vs Bills Scoring Props
Player | Odds to Score First TD | Odds to Score a TD |
---|---|---|
Damien Harris, NE | +850 | +150 |
Stefon Diggs, BUF | +900 | +150 |
Devin Singletary, BUF | +1000 | +180 |
Josh Allen, BUF | +1100 | +200 |
Dawson Knox, BUF | +1100 | +200 |
Matt Breida, BUF | +1400 | +240 |
Emmanuel Sanders, BUF | +1400 | +275 |
Kendrick Bourne, NE | +1400 | +260 |
Jakobi Meyers, NE | +1400 | +260 |
Hunter Henry, NE | +1400 | +260 |
Odds as of December 5th at DraftKings
The Patriots have been efficient on their six-game winning streak, scoring first four times. Buffalo has been far less predictable, failing to score a TD twice in five weeks.
There’s a key absence for the Patriots that impacts their coverage. Kyle Dugger.
Dawson Knox, TE1 #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/ZuyX4a1wPo
— Built in Buffalo (@BuiltInBuffalo_) December 4, 2021
The second-year safety went on the Covid-19 list last week. It’s believed he didn’t travel to Buffalo.
That’s a big loss to a team that leans heavily on a three-safety package. The Bills could take a few shots to their tight ends early on, which is a nice spot for Dawson Knox.
Starting to see Jonnu Smith blossom in the Patriots' offense as a receiver and blocker
Had a couple big plays on Y-Cross (Gronk's specialty) + exploited touches on a jet sweep and check down. Also chipped in some POA blocks pic.twitter.com/IEZRrL4uHY
— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) November 29, 2021
In terms of other scorers, JC Jackson will likely spend a lot of time following Stefon Diggs which could free up Emmanuel Sanders.
For the Patriots, running back Damien Harris is their closer. He’s 10th in red zone touches among RBs this year, and top ten in TDs.
If you’re feeling bold, a classic Belichick move would be a red zone appearance from Jonnu Smith. Smith is coming off arguably his best game of the season.
- Dawson Knox to score FIRST touchdown (+1100); 0.5 Units
- Dawson Knox (+200), Emmanuel Sanders (+275) and Damien Harris (+150) to score ANYTIME; 0.5 units each
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