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Nick Bosa and Myles Garrett Favored In Most NFL Sacks Odds

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NFL Football

Updated Jul 28, 2023 · 7:30 AM PDT

San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) battles with Philadelphia Eagles offensive tackle Lane Johnson (65)
Jan 29, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) battles with Philadelphia Eagles offensive tackle Lane Johnson (65) during the second quarter in the NFC Championship game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • San Francisco 49ers defensive linemen Nick Bosa is the favorite to lead the NFL in sacks this season
  • Bosa has +550 odds to lead in sacks in back-to-back years over the Browns’ Myles Garrett
  • A look at the 2023 most NFL sacks leader odds can be found below with a prediction

Much like the NFL MVP odds, the possibilities are endless when predicting the league’s upcoming sacks leader with a plethora of choices. And we have the odds for all of the contenders to finish with the most NFL sacks this season here.

However, there are four very clear players that stand above the rest to top the NFL in QB takedowns this upcoming season, in Nick Bosa, Myles Garrett, Micah Parsons and TJ Watt.

There are plenty of other defensive stalwarts that could rise up and dethrone any of those ‘core four’ and lead the NFL in sacks for the 2023 season.

2023 NFL Most Sacks Odds

Player Odds
Nick Bosa (49ers) +550
Myles Garrett (Browns) +650
Micah Parsons (Cowboys) +750
T.J. Watt (Steelers) +850
Haason Reddick (Eagles) +1800
Aidan Hutchinson (Lions) +1800
Matthew Judon (Patriots) +1800
Maxx Crosby (Raiders) +2500
Brian Burns (Panthers) +2500
Chris Jones (Chiefs) +2500
Danielle Hunter (Vikings) +3000
Aaron Donald (Rams) +3000
Za’Darius Smith (Browns) +4000
Alex Highsmith (Steelers) +4000
Von Miller (Bills) +5000
Uchenna Nwosu (Seahawks) +5000
Trey Hendrickson (Bengals) +5000
Montez Sweat (Commanders) +5000
Cameron Jordan (Saints) +5000
Joey Bosa (Chargers) +5000

Nick Bosa checks in as the favorite at +550, after leading the NFL in sacks last season with 18.5, two and a half more than the second place finishers Myles Garrett and Hasson Reddick.

Not far behind Bosa is Garrett at +650. The Browns linemen has notched 16 QB takedowns the last two campaigns, finishing third in 2021.

Rounding out the top four are the Cowboys’ Micah Parsons (+750), who has had 13 and 13.5 sacks in his two NFL years, and the Steelers TJ Watt (+850), who took the crown with a whopping 22.5 sacks in 2021 and also led the list in 2020.

Odds as of July 28 at DraftKings. Check out the best US betting sites to make all of your NFL offseason prop wagers this summer.


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Nick Bosa the Sacks Favorite

With the San Francisco 49ers a top-five team in the Super Bowl odds, it should come as no surprise that their defensive dynamo Nick Bosa is among the favorites to lead the NFL in sacks yet again. The 2019 second overall pick had at least one sack in all but three of the games he played last season, en route to the crown.

It’s still a long ways away to the start of the regular season in September, but should the 49ers and Bosa contract stalemate linger, it could certainly affect his performance when the games count.

Should they hammer out a deal in plenty of time, Bosa will be raring to go, given that he has 15.5 and 18.5 sacks the last two seasons, more than living up to his draft status.

Who Else Can Challenge?

In terms of the top-four contenders, TJ Watt sporting the fourth longest odds is very intriguing. After all, he led the league in 2020, then tied Michael Strahan for the most in a single season with 22.5. Last year, he suffered a pectoral injury that caused him to miss seven contests, finishing up the year with just 5.5 takedowns. The four seasons prior, he racked up at least 13 sacks on each occasion.

Recent NFL Sack Leaders

Year Player Sacks
2022 Nick Bosa (49ers) 18.5
2021 T.J. Watt (Steelers) 22,5
2020 T.J. Watt (Steelers) 15
2019 Shaquil Barrett (Buccaneers) 19.5
2018 Aaron Donald (Rams) 20.5

Myles Garrett has been knocking on the door to be the NFL’s top sack producer, but has just fallen short the last two attempts (second and third)

Micah Parsons is the third choice and he’s been downright dominant in his first two forays into the league. He’s been very consistent with 13 and then 13.5 takedowns, but that hasn’t been enough to crack the top-5 on both occasions.

NFL Sacks Leader Prediction

Another very fascinating name to consider is the Lions’ Aidan Hutchinson when betting on your NFL player props in this market. The 2022 second overall selection had 9.5 sacks in his freshmen run through the league, and if Detroit can dominate like they did in taking eight of ten to end last year, he could tee off on QBs late in games.

However, I still like selecting TJ Watt at slightly more value (+850) than the top three players on the board, particularly because he was the champ in both 2020 and 2021.

Most NFL Sacks Pick: TJ Watt (+850)

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