- Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants favored to allow most points while Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers sit as favorites to allow fewest
- Offseason changes likely mean another long season in Jacksonville, but Cincinnati offers the most value in odds to allow the most points
- Below, find the odds and insight into how the best and worst NFL defenses will perform in 2020
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense was among the worst in the NFL last season, ranking near the bottom of the league in most team stats and surrendering 34 or more points on four occasions. With the team doing little to improve matters over the offseason, the Jaguars have emerged as co-favorites to allow the most points during the upcoming NFL season, joining the New York Giants as a +800 bet in the 2020 NFL season props.
Odds to Allow Most/Fewest Points During 2020 NFL Season
|Team||Odds to Allow Most Points||Odds to Allow Fewest Points|
|New York Giants||+800||+6600|
|Washington Football Team||+1000||+5000|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+1800||+5000|
|New York Jets||+2000||+4000|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+2200||+3000|
|Los Angeles Rams||+2200||+4000|
|Green Bay Packers||+3000||+2200|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+3300||+2200|
|New Orleans Saints||+4000||+2000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+5000||+1300|
|San Francisco 49ers||+5000||+1300|
|New England Patriots||+6600||+1000|
Odds taken August 24, 2020.
Jaguars Starting from Scratch
In addition to dealing Pro Bowl defensive end Calais Campbell to Baltimore for a fifth-round pick and shipping veteran cornerback AJ Bouye to Denver for a fourth-rounder, the Jags are reportedly looking for a new home for disgruntled pass rusher Yannick Ngakoue.
— Eagles Nation (@PHLEaglesNation) August 19, 2020
Favorites to be the lowest-scoring team in the NFL in 2020, the Jaguars are hoping to fill some of those holes with young talent after taking cornerback CJ Anderson and linebacker K’Lavon Chaisson in the first round at the 2020 NFL Draft. The Jaguars should benefit from a favorable schedule, and are ranked 18th among the NFL’s 32 teams according to the SportsBettingDime’s NFL Strength of Schedule Calculator.
Coaching Changes Key to Giants Success
Like the Jaguars, the Giants have turned to youth, with every player on the team’s defense age 26 or younger. With the arrival of new defensive coordinator Patrick Graham, the Giants are hoping a new approach will help them improve on last year, when they ranked 30th in the NFL at 28.2 points per game allowed.
QB Hits among interior DL since 2015:
Aaron Donald – 93
Leonard Williams – 82
Fletcher Cox – 64 pic.twitter.com/AdymbPPwks
— PFF NY Giants (@PFF_Giants) August 24, 2020
The addition of Leonard Williams bolsters a pass defense that also features Dexter Lawrence, Dalvin Tomlinson, and B.J. Hill. Stability on the coaching staff could mean as much to this group as the addition of new talent. With QB Daniel Jones expected to take the next step, the Giants should avoid the basement in points allowed.
Bengals Improvements Not Enough
The same cannot be said of the Cincinnati Bengals, who offer plenty of value as a +2000 bet to allow the most points in 2020. The Bengals made a major upgrade offensively during the offseason by drafting quarterback Joe Burrow, but it remains to be seen if their attempts to upgrade on defense pay dividends.
— Sam Greene (@SGdoesit) August 17, 2020
The additions of defensive tackle DJ Reader and cornerback and Mackensie Alexander, along with rookie linebackers Logan Wilson and Akeem Davis-Gaither, do not hurt. But with competition in the AFC North expected to intensify, and defensive tackle Renell Wren now joining CB Trae Waynes on the injured list, it is tough to see this group improving much on a dismal performance of a year ago, when they registered just 31 sacks and gave up over 31 points per game in their final three outings.
Pick: Bengals to Allow the Most Points (+2000)
Patriots Living on Reputation
Benefiting from an easy first-half schedule, the New England Patriots defense led the NFL last season, allowing just 14.1 points per game. They enter 2020 as a +1000 bet to do it again. The Patriots offense also provided a big assist, ranking fourth in the NFL in average time of possession last season.
— Dont'a Hightower (@zeus30hightower) July 28, 2020
With the departure of Tom Brady and several key players opting out of the upcoming campaign due to COVID-19, the Patriots are likely overvalued at their current odds. In addition to several players on offense, the Patriots will be without linebacker Dont’a Hightower and safety Patrick Chung this season.
Bills’ Turn to Shine
That should open the door for AFC East rival Buffalo, which joins Pittsburgh as +900 co-favorites to allow the fewest points. The Bills ranked second to New England at just 16.2 points allowed last season, and further bolstered their defensive line during the offseason with the additions of Mario Addison and Quinton Jefferson.
#Bills offseason so far:
*Trade for Stefon Diggs
*Signed DE Mario Addison
*Signed CB Josh Norman
*Signed LB AJ Klein
*Re-signed G Quinton Spain
*Signed DE Quinton Jefferson
*Signed DT Vernon Butler
*Extended S Jordan Poyer
Draft, develop, sprinkle in FAs where they have holes.
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) March 18, 2020
With the Bills once again struggling to gain respect at the sportsbooks, they offer lots of value, both in NFL futures and props betting. While pegged as favorites to shut down opposing offenses, the Bills sit well down the odds to be the highest scoring team in the NFL this season at +5000.
Buffalo will need to show steady improvement on an offense that averaged just 19.6 points per game last season, and provide their defense with a lighter load after spending over 33 minutes per game on the field over their final three contests of 2019.
Pick: Bills to Allow the Fewest Points (+900)
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