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Odds Favor Patrick Mahomes to Lead Divisional Round in Passing

Patrick Mahomes Chiefs QB
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs take on the Indianapolis Colts in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire)
  • Kanasas City QB Patrick Mahomes is favored to pass for the most yardage during the NFL Divisional Playoff Round
  • Mahomes passed for the  most yards this season (5,097) of any QB still in the postseason
  • He is one of seven QBs in NFL history to pass for 5,000 yards in a single season

The arm of Patrick Mahomes has carried the Kansas City to home-field advantage in the AFC and Bovada is laying odds that Mahomes will continue to be a passing fancy in the postseason.

The sportsbook is offering a prop bet favoring Mahomes to pass for the most yardage during the NFL Divisional Playoff Round.

Odds to Record Most Passing Yards During NFL Divisional Round

Player Team Odds to Record Most Passing Yards During NFL Divisional Round at Bovada
Patrick Mahomes KC +250
Andrew Luck IND +300
Jared Goff LAR +450
Drew Brees NO +500
Tom Brady NE +500
Nick Foles PHI +550
Philip Rivers LAC +550
Dak Prescott DAL +2000

*Odds taken January 8, 2019
Mahomes is just the second QB in NFL history to pass for 5,000 yards and 50 TDs in the same season.

He’s an Outstanding Pat

This season, Mahomes set Chiefs franchise marks for passing yardage and TD passes in a season, and tied the single-game TD pass standard with six against the Los Angeles Rams.

He was the first QB in NFL history to pass for over 3,000 yards in his first 10 games and also set a league standard for the most TD passes in the first three (13), eight (22) and 10 games of a season (31).

Mahomes also tied a league mark by passing for at least 300 yards in eight consecutive games and was the fastest QB to reach 4,000 yards passing and 40 TD passes in the NFL history, doing it in just 13 games.

But Mahomes has Never Done it in the Playoffs

Yes, there’s that. And based on Wildcard Weekend, there is legitimate cause for concern. Three quarterbacks made their NFL playoff debuts last week – DeShaun Watson of the Houston Texans, Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens, and Mitchell Trubisky of the Chicago Bears.

They went 0-3, so maybe standing with Pat isn’t the best strategy.

Maybe Go With a Little Luck

We think the guy who is going to come of the the Divisional Round with the most passing yardage will be on the field in Kansas City. We just think that he’ll be under center for the other team.

The scenario at Arrowhead Stadium sets up so nicely for Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck to have himself a day to remember. Luck passed for 39 TDs this season, second to Mahomes in the NFL. But that’s not why you should like him this week.

The best thing that Luck has on his side is the Kansas City defense. The Chiefs were 31st in the NFL this season at stopping the pass. They also surrender, on average, an AFC-worst five yards per carry. Colts RB Marlon Mack averages 4.7 yards per carry, and that double threat only makes it easier for Luck to carve up the Chiefs through the air.

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A veteran journalist, Bob Duff has written over two-dozen books, including authorized biographies of Johnny Bower, Desmond Howard and Gordie Howe. He has covered the Super Bowl, World Series, World Cup, NBA Finals, March Madness and the Olympic Games.