Odds Say Gurley Has Great Chance to Break LT’s Single Season TD record
- Todd Gurley has been a touchdown machine through seven games
- Gurley has his sights set on setting an NFL TD record
- The Rams’ remaining schedule offers Gurley a strong chance to surpass Tomlinson
Todd Gurley has been an absolute monster during the Rams perfect 7-and-0 start to the campaign, racking up 686 rushing yards (most in the NFL) and posting 14 touchdowns, also tops in the league. His incredible production has oddsmakers bullish on his chances of setting a new single season touchdown record, currently held by LaDainian Tomlinson who reached paydirt 31 times in 2006.
Odds Todd Gurley Breaks Tomlinson’s TD record
| Result | Odds Todd Gurley Will Break Tomlinson’s TD Record |
|---|---|
| Yes | -105 |
| No | -135 |
.@TG3II is running himself into the MVP conversation for the 2nd straight season. pic.twitter.com/g8F2Pvm6RQ
— #FootballWeekNBCSN (@SNFonNBC) October 24, 2018
Gurley Is Getting Stronger as the Season Wears On
Just how good has the tenth overall pick from the 2015 draft been? Ridiculously good.
How good is @TG3II? ?
? @nfl pic.twitter.com/uigLDgx6Qt
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) October 18, 2018
In fact, he’s tied with Priest Holmes for the most total TDs (14) through a team’s first seven games of the season in the Super Bowl era. Nine of those trips into the end zone have come in three games (three TDs each against his NFC West opponents in Seattle, San Fran and ‘Zona) and he’ll be playing each of those teams once more.
Through Sunday, Todd Gurley had scored more TDs from scrimmage (14) than 9 teams (Cowboys, Texans, Jaguars, Redskins, Giants, Cardinals, Raiders, Titans, Bills). #SCFacts pic.twitter.com/JpWVb6Vn1J
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 22, 2018
LaDainian Tomlinson vs Todd Gurley Statistical Comparison
| 1.75 | AVG Rush TD/Game | 1.57 |
| 0.19 | AVG Rec TD/Game | 0.43 |
| 11 | TD Through 7 Games | 14 |
| 1.94 | AVG TD/Game | 2.00 |
| 31 | Projected TD Total | 32 |
The incredible battering Ram has been better across the board than the all-time record holder with the exception of average rushing TD’s per contest. In LT’s sensational season, however, he posted just three receiving scores, a total Gurley has already matched. Tomlinson reached the end zone only eleven times through seven games, but then went on a massive tear racking up 20 TDs in his next seven tilts, surprisingly failing to reach the end zone in his last 2 games.
October 15 2006: On his way to a record breaking season LaDainian Tomlinson scores 4 TD’s against the 49ers pic.twitter.com/PZdeucP8S7
— Sports Time Machine (@Athlete_History) October 15, 2018
The Rams’ Remaining Schedule Provides Big Opportunities
With the exception of the Bears and Eagles in weeks 14 and 15 the Rams do not face super stingy run defenses. Five of the Rams remaining opponents aren’t even ranked inside the top 21 in yards allowed per game.
Rams’ Remaining 2018 NFL Schedule
| Team | Rush Yds Allowed/Game Rank | Rush TD Allowed Rank |
|---|---|---|
| vs Packers | 22 | 16 |
| at Saints | 1 | 16 |
| vs Seahawks | 24 | 8 |
| vs Chiefs | 23 | 29 |
| at Lions | 30 | 8 |
| at Bears | 4 | 1 |
| vs Eagles | 2 | 8 |
| at Cardinals | 32 | 32 |
| vs 49ers | 13 | 26 |
Where will the challenge be presented to Gurley along his quest? With three more games against those NFC West foes he should easily feast on weak defenses.
He's a scoring MACHINE.
Three more TDs for @TG3II in the @RamsNFL win! #LARvsSF pic.twitter.com/G0rkumlRt1
— NFL (@NFL) October 23, 2018
Will Todd Gurley Set the All-Time Touchdown Record?
Gurley has the luxury of playing only one cold game in the last two months (at Soldier Field in Chicago, the Detroit game is in a dome.) After a challenging slate of upcoming games (GB, NO, SEA, KC), he won’t face a team that currently has a winning record in the last five outings. Bank on Gurley besting Tomlinson to set the all-time TD single-season record.
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
