Packers vs Lions Odds, Lines & Pick for TNF (Week 14)

• A monumental NFC North matchup features on Thursday Night Football in Week 14 as the 9-3 Packers visit the 11-1 Lions
• Detroit, which has won an NFL-best ten straight games, is a 3.5-point home favorite
• Below, see the Packers vs Lions odds and picks to target

Call in a win for the schedule-makers in Week 14 as the NFC-leading Detroit Lions (11-1, 5-1 home, 9-3 ATS) get set to host the division-rival Green Bay Packers (9-3, 4-1 away, 6-6 ATS) at Ford Field on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is slated for 8:15 pm ET and the Lions, who opened as 4.5-point home chalk, are laying only 3.5 points as of Tuesday morning.

Packers vs Lions Odds

After opening as -225 chalk on Sunday night, Detroit is now just -185 on the moneyline, while the Packers have improved from +188 to +155 road underdogs.

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Early Packers vs Lions Public Betting Splits

While the early money was coming in on the Packers, which moved the line down a point, the public is now hammering the Lions with the spread at just 3.5. As of last Tuesday, Detroit was getting 76% of moneyline handle and 56% of ATS handle in the NFL public betting splits. Only the Denver Broncos (10-3 ATS) have a better record against the spread than the Lions this season, and Detroit will move into a tie with the Broncos if they cover on TNF.

The public is also siding with the under of 51.5, which is the highest total on the board in the Week 14 NFL odds. Currently, 65% of early money is on the under, but that hasn’t shifted the total at all. The line opened at 51.5 last Sunday and remains there. Detroit is just 5-7 O/U this year after going 13-7 last year (including playoffs). Green Bay is 5-6-1 O/U.

Green Bay vs Detroit H2H History

While the Packers still own a commanding 106-77-7 all-time head-to-head record against the Lions, Detroit has dominated this NFC North rivalry recently. The Lions have won five of the last six against the Packers, including a convincing 24-14 win at Lambeau earlier this season. The Lions dominated that game almost from the opening kick, taking a 17-3 lead into halftime and stretching it to 24-3 in the third quarter.

Green Bay did win in Detroit last season though (29-22), getting an outstanding performance from Jordan Love, who tied his career high with three touchdown passes on the day while also posting a 125.5 passer rating.

Packers vs Lions Picks

• Lions -3.5 (-105)
• Over 51.5 (-110) 

No offense to the Packers, they’re a solid team that deserves the playoff berth coming their way, but the Lions are an absolute truck. Detroit rates first in overall DVOA (43.2%) and grades out as the top team at PFF (93.4). And both metrics give the Lions a sizable gap on the field. Green Bay sits fifth overall in DVOA at 21.3%, but the gap between Detroit and Green Bay (21.9%) is roughly the same as the gap between Green Bay and 18th-ranked Seattle.

The Lions, despite being 11-1, will feel like this is a must-win game if they’re going to achieve their ultimate goal of bringing the franchise its first Super Bowl. The Vikings and Eagles are both 10-2 and breathing down Detroit’s neck for the one and only bye in the NFC.

The atmosphere at Ford Field is going to be electric, and I expect Dan Campbell’s Lions to come up big in a playoff-type environment.