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The New-Look NFL Playcallers: Projecting Volume for Player Props

Paul Costanzo

By Paul Costanzo in NFL News

Published:


New NFL Playcallers
Arizona Cardinals head coach Mike LaFleur shares a laugh with receiver Kendrick Bourne (17) during training camp at State Farm Stadium in Glendale on July 26, 2026. USA Today Network via Reuters Connect

Seventeen NFL teams will have someone new calling their offensive plays this season. That’s 17 fanbases that will be waiting on pins and needles to see how that looks, and 17 rosters full of players with new opportunities.

While I can’t tell those fanbases how it will all work out, I can give you a pretty good idea of what it’s going to look like. Most of those new coordinators have a track record of calling plays at the NFL level, meaning we can dig into their history to see what to expect.

How fast do they play? How do they like to line up? How much are they using certain personnel?

Thankfully, there are answers to these questions, and I’ve used those answers to dig into NFL player futures, which are plentiful at the best NFL betting apps.

What Stats Were Used to Evaluate New Playcallers?

How a new offensive coordinator or head coach will utilize his players is not 100% predictable, of course, but past trends can at least tell you what an offense is likely to look like.

I dug into offensive plays per game, percentage of snaps a team spent in 11-personnel, and run-to-pass ratio, all available at Radar360. By looking at where a team was last year compared to what the new playcaller did in his last season calling plays, I was able to find offenses that might look quite a bit different in 2026.

This isn’t to say they were effective, or will be effective, in their new homes. It simply gives us a baseline on what to expect.

Here’s a look at the 17 new playcallers and how they compare to their new team’s old pace of play.

Team2025 Pace (Plays/Game)New PlaycallerLast Time Calling PlaysPace (Plays/Game)
Arizona Cardinals63.2Mike LaFleurNew York Jets 202263.2
Atlanta Falcons61.6Tommy ReesCleveland Browns 202560.6
Baltimore Ravens57.3Declan DoyleNever Called PlaysN/A
Cleveland Browns60.6Todd MonkenBaltimore Ravens 202557.3
Denver Broncos64.2Davis WebbNever Called PlaysN/A
Detroit Lions62.5Drew PetzingArizona Cardinals 202563.2
Las Vegas Raiders55.8Klint KubiakSeattle Seahawks 202559.7
Los Angeles Chargers64.4Mike McDanielMiami Dolphins 202555.8
Miami Dolphins55.8Bobby SlowikHouston Texans 202462.2
New York Giants63.8Matt NagyChicago Bears 202163.2
New York Jets59.4Frank ReichCarolina Panthers 202364.5
Philadelphia Eagles59.4Sean MannionNever Called PlaysN/A
Pittsburgh Steelers58.1Mike McCarthyDallas Cowboys 202464.9
Seattle Seahawks59.7Brian FleuryNever Called PlaysN/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers62.8Zac RobinsonAtlanta Falcons 202561.6
Tennessee Titans59.1Brian DabollNew York Giants 202462.5
Washington Commanders58.2David BloughNever Called PlaysN/A

Expect Steelers and Ravens to Open Up Offenses

Baltimore and Pittsburgh have one of the league’s best rivalries, and for more than a decade it was defined by two of the league’s longest tenured and most successful head coaches, John Harbaugh and Mike Tomlin.

Now, both are gone, and both teams are expected to have a very different offensive identity.

The Steelers went with Mike McCarthy to replace Tomlin, a head coach who calls his own plays. He was most recently in Dallas, but also spent time in Green Bay with current Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

McCarthy ran one of the faster-paced offenses in the league while with Dallas, averaging 64.9 plays per game in 2024. That’s a big step up from the 58.1 Pittsburgh ran this past season.

Three-receiver sets are also going to be much more common in Pittsburgh with McCarthy at the helm, as 70% of his plays in Dallas came out of some form of 11 personnel. A year ago, Pittsburgh was in 11 on just 48% of snaps.

Michael Pittman Jr., who joined from Indianapolis, and second-year slot Roman Wilson figure to be the biggest benefactors in this more spread out system.

New Look Steelers?
Pittsburgh offense in 2025
58.1 Plays/Game; 48.4% Snaps in 11 Personnel
Dallas Under Mike McCarthy (2024)
64.9 Plays/Game; 70% Snaps in 11 Personnel

Baltimore, meanwhile, went with a defensive-minded head coach in former Chargers defensive coordinator Jesse Minter. He tapped Declan Doyle to run his offense, which is a bit of a wild card.

Doyle was the offensive coordinator in Chicago this past season, but Ben Johnson designs and calls that offense. That being said, you don’t hire from the Ben Johnson tree without hoping you get a very similar offense, right?

If Doyle follows the path of his mentor, the Ravens figure to look a lot different on offense this season. The Bears ran 64.9 plays per game a year ago, compared to 57.3 for Baltimore. The Ravens lined up in 11 personnel on just 29% of their plays last year under Todd Monken, so while Johnson (and likely Doyle) aren’t running excessive three-wide formations, the 52% clip the Bears were in 11 personnel would be a big jump in Baltimore.

Zay Flowers just signed a massive new contract to be the No. 1 guy in Baltimore, but look for Rashod Bateman’s role to increase and rookie Ja’Kobi Lane to get a good amount of time on the field.

Cardinals, Jets Hope New Offense Brings Turnaround

In a lot of instances, new playcallers are in place because the team was bad the year before.

The Raiders, Titans, Cardinals, Browns, Jets and Giants were among the league’s worst teams last year, so it’s no surprise that all have a new coach calling plays in 2026.

Frank Reich is the new offensive coordinator for the Jets, taking over playcalling for the first time since 2023 when he was coaching the Panthers. He ran 11 personnel on 87% of snaps in Carolina, which is a step up from the already high 66% of snaps the Jets were in it in 2025.

The biggest difference, however, is pace. The Jets ran 59.4 plays per game in 2025, below the league average, while Reich’s last year in Carolina saw his team run 64.5 plays per game.

Mike LaFleur is the new head coach in Arizona, and is expected to call his own plays, something he hasn’t done since 2022 when he was with the Jets. He’s spent his most recent years in Los Angeles under Sean McVay, who handles the offense.

LaFleur’s last season in New York saw him run 11 personnel on more than 68% of snaps, an increase of nearly 20% from what the Cardinals did a year ago. He also likes to go fast, running 63.2 plays per game in 2022. That’s no different for Arizona, though, which ran the exact same number of plays per game a year ago.

NFL Player Futures to Target with New Playcallers

Now to take that information and turn it into some bets to find at the best online sportsbooks.

New playcallers means new opportunities for some players, and I’ve identified two receiving milestones among NFL player prop odds that are worth seeking out, and one more obscure player who could be a fantasy steal.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. 1,000+ Receiving Yards (+210 at FanDuel): Folks, it’s time to re-buy on Marvin Harrison Jr. Mike LaFleur is going to open up the Cardinals offense quite a bit, going to three-receiver sets more than 68% of the time. And yes, Harrison is a No. 1 and on the field all the time anyway, but the bigger takeaway for me from LaFleur’s last season calling plays for the Jets was Garrett Wilson getting 147 targets and a 25% target share in 2022. These odds are incredibly generous for a guy who clearly has the talent to deliver, but has struggled through injury and inconsistent QB play, but is now getting a coach who wants to highlight a guy in his position.
  • Michael Pittman 750+ Receiving Yards (+100 at FanDuel): Expect the Steelers to be much more open and much faster under Mike McCarthy, and that’s going to mean more looks for Michael Pittman Jr., who joins from Indianapolis. McCarthy plays 70% of snaps in 11 personnel, a massive uptick from where Pittsburgh was a year ago (under 50%). The Cowboys were also consistently one of the fast teams in the league, which will be a big step forward. If you can find Roman Wilson futures, he could also be in line for a bit of a breakout season as the Steelers’ slot/third receiver.
  • Bonus DFS Pick: Good luck finding stat futures for Rashod Bateman at the best NFL betting apps, and taking advantage of the expected increase of pace and opportunity that will exist in the new Ravens offense. If Doyle really does run an offense like Ben Johnson, then don’t be surprised to see a Luther Burden-type breakout for Bateman this season. His ADP in fantasy drafts is near 300 overall, but up to No. 259 at Sleeper. He’s worth a late-round flyer in DFS best ball or season-long drafts.
Paul Costanzo
Paul Costanzo

Evergreen Writer/Editor; Sportsbook Expert

With nearly two decades of experience in sports media, Paul Costanzo turned his professional attention to sports betting and online gambling in January of 2022. He's covered every angle of the industry since then, managing and creating content for PlayMichigan and The Sporting News, and now SBD.

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