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NFL Playoffs Wild Card Weekend Public Betting & Money Percentages for All Games
By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Published:
- NFL public betting percentages are active for all six Wild Card Weekend playoff games
- The favored Buffalo Bills are drawing 91% of moneyline bet action over the Pittsburgh Steelers
- It’s the 3-point road underdog Los Angeles Rams getting 81% of spread handle action at the Detroit Lions
The NFL public betting splits for Wild Card Weekend are speaking, and they are saying that betting the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams is making a lot of sense to them.
The Cowboys, unbeaten at home this season and 16-0 straight in their last 16 home games, are generating more than 70% of handle and nearly 90% of bets in the moneyline splits as -340 home favorites over the Green Bay Packers.
Former Detroit Lions QB Matthew Stafford is coming back to where it all started for him in the NFL, facing the Lions with the Los Angeles Rams and as 3-point road underdogs. But the people are loving the drama. Public betting is all over the Rams in the spread splits. LA is drawing over 70% of handle and more than 80% of bets.
Let’s take a look at how the NFL public betting splits are falling in all six NFL playoff games on Wild Card Weekend as of Friday.
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Browns vs Texans Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | -2 | 45% | 53% | 44.5 | 49% | 64% | -135 | 76% | 67% |
| Houston Texans | +2 | 55% | 47% | 44.5 | 51% | 36% | +115 | 24% | 33% |
There’s plenty of indecision among public betting in all areas of betting on the Cleveland vs Houston AFC Wild Card game. The favored Browns are getting 53% of spread bets. However, it’s the Texans drawing 55% of spread handle. Houston is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine games facing Cleveland.
With a total of 44.5 points, 51% of the handle is with the over, while 64% of bets are going with the under. Each of Cleveland’s last nine road games have gone over.
The moneyline is the only wagering showing any semblance of unity on this game. It’s favored Cleveland generating 76% of handle and 67% of bets at -135. The Browns are 2-0 straight up the last two seasons at Houston.
Dolphins vs Chiefs Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +5 | 50% | 54% | 43.5 | 44% | 61% | +190 | 50% | 26% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -5 | 50% | 46% | 43.5 | 56% | 39% | -225 | 50% | 74% |
In the Dolphins vs Chiefs odds, the spread on this game has lengthened from Kansas City -4.5 to Chiefs -5. The spread and moneyline handles in public betting remain even-steven. The people are giving 50% of the action to each side.
The Dolphins at +5 are getting 54% of spread bets. Miami is 2-5 ATS in the club’s last seven trips to Kansas City. Moneyline bettors are big backers of the Chiefs with 74% of the action. Kansas City is 10-3 SU in the past 13 games when faciing AFC East opposition.
Over/under players are going both ways with the public betting on the total of 43.5 points. There’s 56% of handle on the under and 61% of bets backing the over. The under has hit in five straight KC home games.
Steelers vs Bills Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +10 | 50% | 50% | 35.5 | 46% | 82% | +380 | 57% | 9% |
| Buffalo Bills | -10 | 50% | 50% | 35.5 | 54% | 18% | -500 | 43% | 91% |
The last time Pittsburgh visited Buffalo, the Bills won 38-3 and NFL public bettors seem to be of the opinion that history is about to repeat itself. There’s 91% of people playing the Bills at -500 in the moneyline bet splits. Interestingly, 57% of moneyline handle is supporting the Steelers to pull off the upset at +380.
Josh Allen’s last 7 games against the spread as a double digit favorite:
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LAllen is 0-7 ATS. ❌@BuffaloBills -10 vs. Steelers pic.twitter.com/YZ7SeO73mG
— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 12, 2024
With the largest spread of Wild Card Weekend at Buffalo -10, the spread splits are very close. Handle is currently 50-50, while the favored Bills are garnering 54% of bets. The Steelers are 11-4 SU and ATS in the last 15 games against Buffalo.
The 35.5-point total assigned to this game is the lowest among the Wild Card Weekend contests. Public bettors are of two minds. There’s 54% of handle on the under, while an overwhelming 82% like the over. Four of the last five Pittsburgh at Buffalo games have gone under.
Packers vs Cowboys Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | +7 | 35% | 42% | 50.5 | 19% | 36% | +270 | 26% | 12% |
| Dallas Cowboys | -7 | 65% | 54% | 50.5 | 81% | 64% | -340 | 74% | 88% |
No NFL team is more dominant at home than Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-0 SU at home this season, part of an active 16-0 home-field SU win streak. Still, a game that opened Dallas -7.5 has seen the line shorten to Dallas -7 in the Packers vs Cowboys odds.
To no one’s surprise, the people are playing the Cowboys up big. it’s Dallas at -340 generating 74% of handle and 88% of bets in the moneyline splits. NFL spread bettors are willing to lay the 7 points on Dallas. There’s 54% of handle and 81% of bets going for the Cowboys in the spread splits. Dallas is an NFC-best 6-2 ATS at home this season.
Total players are liking the under on the 50.5 points allotted to this game. Handle is going 81% to the under, while bets are 64% certain that this game will go low. The total has gone under in six of Green Bay’s last seven games. However, the under paid on four of the last five games played by Dallas.
Rams vs Lions Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +3 | 81% | 71% | 51.5 | 64% | 78% | +140 | 54% | 27% |
| Detroit Lions | -3 | 19% | 29% | 51.5 | 36% | 22% | -165 | 46% | 73% |
Another game that’s seen the line shorten, this one opened Lions -3.5. However, there’s been some massive spread action on the Rams in NFL public betting. Even at +3 the Rams are generating 81% of handle and 71% of bets in the spread splits. Both LA and Detroit are 6-1 ATS in the last seven games.
There’s a divide in moneyline action. LA is pulling 54% of handle at +140. Favored Detroit at -165 in getting 73% of bets. The Rams are 7-1 SU in the last eight games. Detroit is 6-1 in the last seven home games.
Matthew Stafford 1st game vs. Lions: Win ✅
Matthew Stafford 1st game in Detroit as a visitor: TBD 👀
📺: #LARvsDET — Sunday 8pm ET on NBC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/fQ4jBBzCkr— NFL (@NFL) January 12, 2024
The people are anticipating points as LA’s Matthew Stafford and Detroit’s Jared Goff, the two QBs traded for each other in 2021, go head to head. Even with a Wild Card Weekend-high 51.5 points assigned, the over is getting the majority of the play. It’s pulling 64% of handle and 81% of bets. Detroit shares the NFL-high for overs this season, going 11-6 during the regular season.
Eagles vs Buccaneers Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | -3 | 39% | 66% | 43.5 | 33% | 65% | -160 | 53% | 68% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3 | 61% | 34% | 43.5 | 67% | 35% | +135 | 47% | 32% |
Oddsmakers hold the belief that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the elixir to fix what ails the Philadelphia Eagles. Moneyline players are in agreement, but spread bettors aren’t as sold on the idea.
Philadelphia is set as 3-point away favorites in this game and the Eagles are drawing 66% of public spread bets. However, on the spread handle, the people are with the underdog Buccaneers to the tune of 62%. Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS in the last six games, while Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in the last five outings.
At -160, the Eagles are garnering 53% of moneyline handle and 68% of bets. The Buccaneers are 5-1 SU in the last six. Over the same span of games, Philadelphia is 1-5 SU.
There’s a split among the people on the total of 43.5 points. The under is generating 67% of handle, but there’s 65% of bets backing the over. Six of Tampa Bay’s last seven home games went under. The Eagles are 4-4-1 on the over/under as a road team this season.
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Robert Duff
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
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