NFL Public Betting Splits for Giants vs Eagles Divisional Round Playoffs

• 51% of the ATS money is on Philadelphia in the Giants vs Eagles public betting splits ahead of their NFC Divisional Round matchup
• Over 48.5 is garnering 65% of the tickets and 66% of all money wagered on the total
• Get a full breakdown of the Giants vs Eagles public betting splits and key trends below

The New York Giants have been an absolute cash cow for underdog bettors this season. New York is a staggering 11-2 against the spread when catching points, matching the most ATS covers as a ‘dog by any team in the Super Bowl era.

However, their incredible run is largely being ignored by Divisional Round bettors per the NFL public betting trends.

Early Philadelphia money this week forced online sportsbooks to adjust the spread in the Giants vs Eagles odds. Thanks to an influx of Philly money on Friday and Saturday morning, the line has moved again.

Giants vs Eagles ATS Betting Splits

The Eagles opened up as 7-point favorites over New York, but as of Saturday morning the spread is -8. At that number, 51% of the ATS money is on Philadelphia, and that handle is coming from only 33% of the spread bets.

That means big money bettors are expecting a blowout. The Eagles were a strong team to back against the spread for most of the season, but tailed off down the stretch. They failed to cover in each of their last four outings, including in Week 18 versus the Giants – more on that game in a moment.

A major reason for their ATS struggles down the stretch was the declining health of Jalen Hurts. The one-time MVP frontrunner was battling a shoulder injury and sat out two of the team’s final three contests.

The extra week of rest for Philly however, has helped Hurts heal. He’s off the Giants vs Eagles injury report, and will be operating at full strength for this massive tilt tonight.

From @GMFB: #Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has escaped the injury report for the first time in nearly a month, while we check in on the latest with Sean Payton. pic.twitter.com/GsJy2rTV2P

— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) January 18, 2023

Philadelphia will need him at his best if they’re going to cover, as New York is no stranger to playoff ATS success.  The Giants are 17-5 against the spread in the playoffs as underdogs in the Super Bowl era. That’s the best cover rate of any franchise in an underdog role.

They’re 8-2 ATS as a postseason ‘dog of 7 or more points, and have covered in five of their past six trips to Philadelphia. As mentioned, one of those outings was in Week 18, but it’s hard to read too much into that contest.

The Eagles ran the most vanilla offense imaginable, likely thinking New York would knock off Minnesota in the Wild Card Round and would have to return to their stadium. The Giants also chose to rest the majority of their key players, including Daniel Jones, as the game was meaningless to them.

Daniel Jones Rushing Stats – Last 5 Games

Speaking of Jones, look out for his rushing over/under in the Giants vs Eagles player props. Jones ran for 78 yards versus Minnesota, and Philly surrendered the fourth most rushing yards to enemy QB’s.

Jones is 19-7 against the spread all-time on the road, while New York is 8-1 ATS as visitors this season with five straight covers.

New York vs Philadelphia Total Betting Splits

These two teams also met back in early December in New York, with Philadelphia cruising to a 48-22 victory. That was the most points the Giants allowed all season and they were severely banged up in the secondary. That won’t be the case tonight, but bettors are still expecting a high-scoring affair.

The total currently sits at 48.5, up 1.5 points from the opening line. 65% of the over/under tickets are backing the over, as is 66% of all money wagered on the total.

Per the Giants vs Eagles picks, Philadelphia was the third-highest-scoring team in the league this season and saw 10 of their 17 games eclipse the total. The over was 6-3 in their nine home tilts, and 4-2 in contests against Divisional opponents.

Which team will represent the NFC East in the conference championship next weekend? 👀@Giants x @Eagles pic.twitter.com/UPG0V1uoG8

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 19, 2023

Those stats suggest we could see plenty of points tonight, but before you make any wager consider the following. It would be in the best interest of both teams to run the ball relentlessly.

The Giants were DVOA’s 32nd-ranked run defense, while only five teams ran more frequently than the Eagles. Philadelphia also struggles to stop the run, and New York ranked top-10 in run play percentage. Running the ball bleeds the clock dry and reduces play volume, bringing the under squarely into play.

New York is just 8-9-1 to the over this season, with only five of their 15 outdoor games exceeding the total.

Giants vs Eagles Moneyline Splits

As far as the moneyline market goes, the ticket count and handle favors Philadelphia, but it’s a lot closer than you might think.

Philly is drawing 57% of the moneyline tickets as -360 favorites, but just 55% of the handle. Plenty of those wagers are likely tied up in a Chiefs-Eagles moneyline parlay, as that should be an extremely popular wager today.

Philadelphia has actually struggled as playoff favorites over the last decade and a half, losing outright in each of the last four instances.

New York on the other hand, has won 14 of its 22 playoff games outright as underdogs.  We detailed how they were 8-2 ATS when catching 7 points or more in the postseason, but what we didn’t mention is that they’ve won six of those matchups outright.

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