- We’ve scoured the Super Bowl 54 props looking for the five best long shot wagers
- George Kittle is the 49ers most dangerous offensive weapon and is +1800 to win game MVP
- See below for our favorite long shot prop bets
You can bet on virtually anything in the Super Bowl. While most bets are near 50-50 propositions, there’s also an abundance of long shot wagers that offer big paydays. It can be overwhelming to try and sift through all the noise to find these gems, and that’s where we come in.
We’ve scoured online sportsbooks to find the most valuable long shot wagers and we’ve narrowed our list down to five.
5. 49ers Win First Half, Chiefs Win Game
If we’ve learned anything so far in these playoffs it’s that the Chiefs are slow starters. In the Divisional Round versus Houston, they spotted the Texans a 24-0 lead before roaring back to score 51 of the next 58 points. The following week, they fell behind Tennessee 10-0 and 17-7 in the AFC Championship, before once again rallying back to win comfortably.
Double Result: 49ers/Chiefs
All odds taken Jan. 27
The 49ers meanwhile have gotten off to fast starts in both of their postseason outings. They scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives in the Divisional Round versus Minnesota, and in the NFC Championship, they built a 27-0 lead over Green Bay before the Packers even knew what hit them.
Raheem. Mostert. Touchdown. pic.twitter.com/zo9QUT9ZzX
— 49ersSpin (@49ersSpin) January 20, 2020
KC is a short favorite in Super Bowl 54, and no one will be surprised if they’re forced to come from behind again to steal a victory.
Pick: 49ers/Chiefs (+650)
4. Robbie Gould Gets a Workout
This game features a total of 54 points which means there will be plenty of scoring by both teams. San Francisco ranked 21st in red zone efficiency this season, converting just 54.29% of their trips into touchdowns. If that trend continues on Sunday, Robbie Gould will be in line for a busy day.
49ers Successful Field Goals vs Chiefs
|Exact Number of Successful FG||Odds|
|4 or More||+600|
Gould has kicked exactly three field goals in a game nine times in the past two seasons, including a 3-for-3 performance versus Green Bay last time out. The Chiefs were the eighth-best red zone defense in 2019, surrendering a touchdown on just 51.56% of enemy red zone trips.
Pick: Three 49ers Successful Field Goals (+400)
3. Mecole Hardman Goes Deep
While the majority of the 49ers defensive game plan will likely focus around stopping Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman could fly under the radar. The speedy rookie is a big play waiting to happen, and it would be shocking if he doesn’t see more opportunities in the Super Bowl.
Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards (At Least)
|Receiving Yards (At Least)||Odds|
Hardman has nine receptions of 20+ yards this season, four of which went for 42 yards or longer. In the AFC Championship, he saw the third-most snaps among KC receivers and his 4.33 speed is a nightmare for San Fran’s big cornerbacks.
Pick: Hardman At Least 62 Receiving Yards (+416)
2. George Kittle Finds the End Zone First
As mentioned above, this game projects to be a high scoring affair and in all likelihood the 49ers are going to have to throw the ball more than usual to keep up. That bodes well for George Kittle, who is by far San Francisco’s most dangerous weapon in the passing game.
49ers First Touchdown Scorer
|No 49ers Touchdown Scored||+1400|
Kittle led the Niners with five touchdown catches this season and had an additional three called back due to penalty. The Chiefs struggled to defend tight ends during the regular season and that has continued into the playoffs.
Jimmy G ➡️ George Kittle touchdown pic.twitter.com/fMSIcciW20
— Good Bettor Bets (@GoodBettorBets) November 25, 2019
They’ve allowed a touchdown to an opposing tight end in both postseason games thus far, and neither Daniel Fells or Anthony Firkser is in the same league as Kittle. Expect Jimmy Garoppolo to look for his prized target early and often versus KC.
Pick: Kittle First 49ers Touchdown Scorer (+500)
1. Kittle Takes Home MVP Honours
We’re not done with Kittle yet. Perhaps the most mispriced line of the week is his odds for Super Bowl 54 MVP. Kittle is arguably the most talented player in this game from a size, speed, skill standpoint yet his MVP price is +1800.
Super Bowl 54 MVP Odds
This bet takes a little bit of faith because again we’ll need the 49ers to dial-up their pass attempts. In the likely case they do, Kittle can go off without Jimmy G having a phenomenal game.
49ers TE George Kittle is the only tight end in NFL history to lead the league in yards after catch.
— TheSFNiners (@TheSFNiners) January 23, 2020
He has multiple outings with at least nine receptions on his resume, including a 13-catch performance in Week 15. He leads San Fran in targets, receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns, and was recently named Pro Football Focus’ 2019 Player of the Year. When the game is on the line, the Niners will want the ball in his hands.
Pick: Kittle Super Bowl 54 MVP (+1800)
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