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NFL Week 17 Player Props – Best Props to Bet for December 31

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Jan 2, 2024 · 1:02 PM PST

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) throws a pass in front of Baltimore Ravens linebacker Jadeveon Clowney (24)
Dec 25, 2023; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) throws a pass in front of Baltimore Ravens linebacker Jadeveon Clowney (24) in the third quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
  • Online sportsbooks have released NFL Week 17 player props for New Year’s Eve
  • Kyren Williams averaged 126.5 rushing yards in his past six games, is he a good bet again on Sunday?
  • See all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for NFL Week 17

With good matchups versus the Giants and Commanders, should you load up on Rams and 49ers players for this week’s NFL Week 17 player props? Meanwhile, Travis Kelce looks to have a good matchup versus a Bengals’ defense that struggles versus tight ends. D’Andre Swift also makes our prop list against a weak Cardinals defense. See all of our top NFL player props for Sunday here.

Week 17 NFL Player Props

Prop Odds Risk
Matthew Stafford over 257.5 passing yards -115 1 unit
Brock Purdy over 262.5 passing yards -115 1 unit
Kyren Williams over 18.5 rushing attempts -150 1 unit
D’Andre Swift over 68.5 rushing yards -115 1 unit
Travis Kelce over 5.5 receptions -135 1 unit
DJ Chark over 23.5 receiving yards -115 1 unit
Deebo Samuel anytime touchdown +120 1 unit

This week’s NFL player props include bets on Stafford and Purdy passing yards, Williams and Swift rushing yards, Kelce receptions, Chark receiving yards and a Samuel anytime touchdown at +120 odds.

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When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL Week 17 player props for Sunday, December 31 here.

Week 17 Passing Props – Matthew Stafford Passing Yards

Last week Jalen Hurts threw for 301 yards against a Giants’ secondary that is 20th in passing yards allowed per game.

Matthew Stafford’s passing prop is set at 257.5 and that is a number he’s gone over in each of his past four games throwing for 328, 258, 294 and 279 yards.

Stafford has also thrown multiple touchdown passes in each of his last five games for a total of 14 TDs in those games. So Stafford over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-170) could also be worth a bet.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: Matthew Stafford over 257.5 passing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Passing Props – Brock Purdy Passing Yards

Brock Purdy’s passing yardage prop for Week 17 is set at 262.5. That’s a number he’s fallen short of in recent games throwing for 255 and 242 yards. However, he had gone on this number in six of his previous seven games.

He should have every opportunity to do so again against a porous Commanders defense. Washington ranks 32nd in PPG allowed, 32nd in YPG allowed, 31st in passing YPG allowed and 23rd in rushing YPG allowed.

But they also own the worst turnover-differential mark at -10, they’re 25th in receptions allowed to running backs, 27th in receiving yards allowed to running backs, have allowed the third-most receiving touchdowns to running backs, are 31st in both receiving yards and touchdowns allowed to wide receivers and have allowed multiple quarterback passing touchdowns in ten of their past 12 games.

In Washington’s last 12 games, eight times have opposing QBs thrown for over 262.5 yards. Two teams that didn’t were the Jets and Giants and once the Rams came up just short with Stafford throwing for 258.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: Brock Purdy over 262.5 passing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Passing Props – Kyren Williams Rushing Attempts

Kyren Williams has passed the 100-yard mark in rushing yards in each of his past three games and also in his five of his past six. His total rushing yards have been 104, 152, 114, 88, 143 and 158.

That likely makes him a good bet to go over his Week 17 prop of 94.5 rushing yards. But his rushing attempts prop is also appealing. Whether you go Over 18.5 (-150), Over 19.5 (-110) or Over 20.5 (+120), any of those props would fall under the amount of rushing attempts he’s had lately.

Williams has rushed the ball 22, 27, 25 and 21 times in his past four games. He’ll likely get a heavy dose of usage against a Giants defense ranked 29th (134.2 YPG allowed) in rush defense.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: Kyren Williams over 18.5 rushing attempts (-150); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Rushing Props – D’Andre Swift Rushing Yards

The Eagles and D’Andre Swift should get the perfect matchup to try and get them into a playoff groove against the 3-12 Arizona Cardinals.

You could’ve said the same thing last week against the Giants though, and while they got the win, it was close, at 33-25. Philly is just 1-3 SU in their past four.

The Cards have lost their past two and own the league’s worst run defense giving up an average of 147 yards per game on the ground.

They’ve given up over 100 yards on the ground in each of their past six games and their opponents’ leading rushers in those games have finished with 112, 115, 63, 143, 112 and 95 yards.

Swift has finished with 92 and 74 yards rushing in his past two games and overall has gone over 68.5 rushing yards in four of his last six games.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: D’Andre Swift over 68.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Receiving Props – Travis Kelce Receptions

Travis Kelce and the Chiefs have struggled in recent week’ but he’s still the most reliable receiver the Chiefs have and he’s still been targeted 7, 7, 10, 5, 7 and 9 times in KC’s last six games. He’s made catches of 5, 5, 6, 4, 6, and 7 in those games and will get the perfect matchup this week versus the Bengals.

Cincinnati has given up 98 catches and 1,023 yards to opposing tight ends this season, both league-worsts.

Exclude last week where Pittsburgh only completed one pass to a tight end, opposing tight ends have made catches of 9, 8, 10 and 12 in the four games prior against the Bengals.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: Travis Kelce over 5.5 receptions (-135); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Passing Props – DJ Chark Receiving Yards

The Jags are 29th in pass defense giving up 257.1 yards per game. Zero in on only wide receivers and they’ve given up 213, 60, 183, 247, 234 and 125 yards to the position in recent games.

Now that’s not all going to one receiver obviously and Panthers’ WR DJ Chark is not the top option for Carlina in the passing game, but just looking at those past six Jacksonville games, 17 different receivers have eclipsed the 23.5 yard total that Chark is set at in his prop total this week.

Last week Chark had a season-high in catches (6), yards (98) and touchdowns (2). He’s also gone over 23.5 receiving yards in 4/5 recent games and in 8/12 games overall.

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: DJ Chark over 23.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 17 Touchdown Props – Deebo Samuel Anytime Touchdown

Deebo Samuel was held out of the end zone on Monday but San Fran was held to just 19 points against the Ravens. He had five touchdowns in his three games prior.

Deebo, plus a whole host of 49ers could be in for big days in NFL props betting against awful 4-11 Washington team that ranks near the bottom of almost every major defensive category. Among those is a 31st ranking in touchdowns allowed to wide receivers (23).

  • NFL Player Prop Picks: Deebo Samuel anytime touchdown (+120); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Before you make your NFL Week 17 player props this weekend, be sure to head on over to one of the top football betting apps this weekend to grab an exciting sportsbook bonus for your NFL prop bets.

Season NFL Props Record: 56-50, -1.93 units

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