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Who Will the Jets Draft at #2? Final Odds on Bailey vs Reese Battle
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- Arvell Reese is favored to be selected at pick #2 by the Jets just hours before the NFL Draft
- The odds in this market have shifted wildly over the last two days, with Reese and David Bailey taking turns as chalk
- See below for who will the Jets draft at #2, and the final odds in the Bailey vs Reese battle
I wonder if the Jets are having as difficult a time deciding between Arvell Reese and David Bailey at pick #2 as prediction markets and online sportsbooks are. The two top defensive players in this year’s Draft have taken turns being the favorite to be New York’s first selection tonight, but now that we sit just a couple hours away from when the pick will be announced it appears there is finally some consensus.
Second-Overall Pick Odds: Bailey vs Reese
As of 6:00 pm ET, Reese has firmly established himself as the favorite to go second in the NFL Draft odds. At the time of writing, he’s trading at 69 cents at Kalshi to be selected at pick #2, which is the equivalent of -233 odds in traditional sports-betting terms. Bailey, meanwhile, comes back trading at 33 cents to go second (+203 odds), and those prices are in line with the markets that commercial sportsbooks have set.
A month ago, Reese was an overwhelming favorite to be pick #2, but things started to change just over a week ago. That’s when Bailey surged ahead of him, but his reign as the favorite at the time was short lived.
Personally, I thought the discussion was put to bet until Bailey reassumed chalk status yesterday. Since then, Reese and Bailey have yo-yoed back and forth atop this NFL Futures category, with the Ohio State product seizing back top spot around 4pm today for what appears to be for good.
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Jets #2 Pick Best Bet
- Arvell Reese (69¢ at Kalshi)
When it comes to these two mega talents, there is no wrong answer. Both profile as difference makers at the next level, with each possessing the single trait New York covets the most. The ability to rush the passer. Bailey is the more proven commodity, but Reese offers a higher ceiling. Like myself, our final NFL Mock Draft is siding with Reese, but if history is any indication there’s a good chance the Jets will mess this up.
Last 10 NYJ First-Round Draft Picks
Dating back to 2019, New York has made 10 First Round draft picks. Of those 10, only four are still on the roster, and only one (Garrett Wilson) earned a second contract with the team. With so many whiffs near the top of the board, it’s no wonder why the Jets are routinely one the biggest longshots in the Super Bowl odds.
As for why Reese is the deserving favorite to be pick #2 consider the following. The Ohio State star has the ability to affect the game on many different levels. Bailey is a pure pass rushing stud, and while New York wants to improve on its 31st ranked sack total, Reese can do it all.
He’s got incredible burst as a pass rusher, and can line up all over the formation. He can play either as an edge or an outside linebacker, and is drawing comparisons to Micah Parsons, arguably the best defensive player in football. Reese is elite in run defense and his superior speed and athleticism over Bailey allows him to drop back comfortably in coverage.
The Jets also hosted Reese for a top-30 visit a few weeks ago, and promptly cancelled their in person visit with Bailey. It seems far fetched that you wouldn’t want to bring the future cornerstone of your defense into the building to size him up in person.
New York’s linebacker room is incredibly thin, and head coach Aaron Glenn has stated he wants to be more physical on all three levels. Reese’s versatility will spread toughness across both the first and second level of the defense, ultimately making him the best fit.
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Chris Amberley
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
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