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Lightning vs Avalanche Game 5 Odds, Picks & Predictions

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Jun 23, 2022 · 4:16 PM PDT

Lightning vs Avalanche Game 5 Odds
Jun 22, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Colorado Avalanche center Nazem Kadri (91) scores the game-winning goal on Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) in overtime in game four of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Colorado Avalanche are -175 home favorites to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup final on Friday, June 24
  • A win will give the Avalanche their first Stanley Cup title since 2001
  • All of the Lightning vs Avalanche picks and odds are assessed in the story below

It’s been 39 years since an NHL team won three successive Stanley Cup final series and the Colorado Avalanche seem intent on assuring that the Tampa Bay Lightning don’t change that stat.

Up 3-1 on Tampa in the best-of-seven series, Colorado can close out the set with a win on home ice in Game 5. A victory would give the Avalanche their first Stanley Cup title since 2001.

Oddsmakers think that’s how things are going to play out. Colorado is a -175 home favorite for Game 5. The Avalanche are 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the puckline in their past four home games.

Lightning vs Avalanche Odds Game 5

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (210) O 6 (+100) +150
Colorado Avalanche +1.5 (-175) U 6 (-120) -175

Odds as of June 23rd at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes



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The puck is slated to drop for Game 5 at 8:00 pm ET at Ball Arena on Friday, June 24. The broadcast is being provided by ABC in the US and by CBC in Canada. Colorado is a -1400 favorite in the Stanley Cup odds. Tampa Bay is at a betting line of +850 to win the Cup for the third year in a row.

At odds of -175, a wager on the Avalanche will deliver an implied probability of victory of 63.64%. A $10 wager on Colorado would return a payout of $15.70.

NHL betting trends are displaying that the public is expecting the Avalanche to close out the series. In the puckline, 88% of bets are on Colorado. In terms of the moneyline, 63% of bets are also backing the Avs. When it comes to the total, 63% of bets like the over.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
2/10/2022 Colorado 3 Tampa Bay 2 COL TB Under
6/16/2022 Colorado 4 Tampa Bay 3 (OT) COL TB Over
6/18/2022 Colorado 7 Tampa Bay 0 COL COL Over
6/20/2022 Tampa Bay 6 Colorado 2 TB TB Over
6/22/2022 Tampa Bay 2 Colorado 3 (OT) COL TB Under

Making his first appearance since breaking his thumb in Game 3 of the Western Conference final, Colorado center Nazem Kadri scored the Game 4 overtime winner. The Avalanche are 5-1 SU in OT games in the 2022 playoffs.

Colorado has nine come-from-behind wins. That’s one shy of the Stanley Cup record of 10 set by the 2009 Pittsburgh Penguins. The Avalanche have made 15 third-period comebacks this season. Colorado forward Mikko Rantanen has eight assists in the final series. He’s riding an eight-game point streak.

Special teams are crushing Tampa Bay’s hopes of rallying in this series. So far in the Stanley Cup final, the Lightning are 1-for-14 with the man advantage. At the same time, the Tampa Bay penalty killers have allowed six Colorado goals on 13 power-play attempts. Defenseman Victor Hedman’s Game 4 goal was his first for the Lightning in 15 playoff games.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Injury Report

Lightning defenseman Erik Cernak (lower-body injury) is questionable for Game 5. He left Game 4 after blocking a shot with his right knee. Forward Anthony Cirelli finished the game after suffering a skate cut to the hand. However, he was unable to take faceoffs.

Tampa Bay forward Brayden Point (lower-body injury) missed Game 4. Defenseman Brent Seabrook (shoulder) is out for the Lightning.

Colorado forward Andre Burakovsky ( thumb injury) didn’t play Game 3 or 4 and is questionable for Game 5. The Avs are without defenseman Samuel Girard (broken sternum). Defenseman Ryan Murray (broken hand) is also out.

Roll Out Those Vasilevskiy Elimination-Game Numbers

This will be the fourth time during the the past three playoff years that Tampa Bay is facing elimination.

In three previous games in that scenario, Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is 3-0 with a 1.33 goals-against average and a .949 save percentage.

Lightning vs Avalanche Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Lightning Andrei Vasilevskiy 13-8 .920 2.57
Avalanche Darcy Kuemper 9-3 .898 2.66

In Game 4, Colorado’s Darcy Kuemper became the first goaltender in NHL history with an overtime assist in a Stanley Cup final game.

Kuemper hasn’t allowed a third-period or overtime goal during the Stanley Cup final.

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 5 Prediction

The Lightning are proud two-time defending champions. They won’t go down without a fight. At the same time, they are a beaten-down bunch. Injuries haven’t been able to break Tampa Bay’s will or spirit, but they have taken much of the ability to compete out of the squad.

Colorado is on the verge of a coronation. It should come Friday on home ice.

 Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-175)


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