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Panthers vs Lightning Game 4 Odds, Picks and Predictions

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

May 22, 2022 · 2:57 PM PDT

Tampa Bay Lightning players celebrating a goal
May 22, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) is congratulated by center Steven Stamkos (91) after scoring a goal against the Florida Panthers in the third period in game three of the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning play Game 4 on Monday, May 23rd
  • The Bolts are narrow home favorites in the Game 4 Panthers vs Lightning odds
  • Read below for Game 4 Panthers vs Lightning odds, picks and predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning are on the verge of eliminating the Florida Panthers for the second straight postseason. Game 4 of Panthers vs Lightning is set for Monday, May 23rd at Amalie Arena (7:00 PM EST).

Tampa Bay is listed as slight home favorites in the Game 4 Panthers vs Lightning odds. The total is set at 6.5 as Jon Cooper’s club aims to complete the sweep of the Cats.

Let’s take a look at the Panthers vs Lightning Game 4 odds and offer you our NHL best bet.

Panthers vs Lightning Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Florida Panthers +1.5 (-250) O 6.5 (+102) -106
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+205) U 6.5 (-122) -113

Odds as of May 22nd at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

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The Lightning are listed on the puck line at +205 odds, while the Panthers are -250 to keep the game within two goals.

With the Bolts on the verge of sweeping, Tampa Bay is priced as heavy -2500 favorites in the Lightning vs Panthers series odds.

Panthers vs Lightning Betting Analysis

The Bolts have taken a 3-0 series lead in the Battle of Florida following a 5-1 victory in Game 3 on Sunday. Steven Stamkos scored twice, Nikita Kucherov had four points and Andrei Vasilevskiy made 34 saves to push the Cats to the brink of elimination.

Panthers vs Lighting hasn’t been as lopsided as the 3-0 series deficit might suggest. Florida has a 51.14 xGF% at five-on-five in the series, while Tampa Bay has a 48.86 XGF%. Special teams and goaltending has played a major role in the Battle of Florida.

Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed just one goal in four straight games after allowing at least three goals in Tampa Bay’s first six games of the postseason. Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky, meanwhile, has allowed nine goals in the series.

The Panthers finally scored their first power-play goal of the 2022 Playoffs in Game 3 on Sunday. Even though they converted once, the Cats are still a miserable 1-for-28 with the advantage in the postseason. Florida’s inability to convert with the extra man is costing them big time.

Brayden Point Injury Update

Tampa Bay star forward Brayden Point has yet to play in the Battle of Florida after suffering an injury in the previous round against Toronto. The latest Brayden Point injury update lists the 26-year-old forward as questionable for Game 4.

While Point hasn’t been officially ruled out for Game 4, it’s unlikely he’ll suit up given the back-to-back situation. It must also be considered that the Lightning have a 3-0 series lead and won’t want to risk Point getting injured in Game 4.

Several players have done a good job stepping up in Point’s absence, including captain Steven Stamkos. In 18 games without Point in the lineup this season, Stamkos has 11 goals and 27 points.

Florida vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

There are some betting trends to note before making a Game 4 wager on Florida vs Tampa Bay. The Bolts have won five straight playoff games and taken five of the past six meetings with the Panthers overall.

The Bolts haven’t lost a playoff series since 2019 are thriving especially in the Conference Semifinals. In Tampa Bay’s last 32 games played during Round 2 of the postseason, Jon Cooper’s squad owns an impressive 27-5 record.

Florida vs Tampa Bay featured several high-scoring matchups during the regular season, but the “under” is trending in this rivalry. Sunday’s game between the Panthers and Lightning marked the seventh time in nine games that the Battle of Florida has gone under the total.

The back-to-back situation is also something that needs to be taken into account for Panthers vs Lightning. Tampa Bay has been excellent on the second half of a back-to-back, posting a 36-17 record in their last 53 games playing on no rest.

Game 4 Panthers vs Lightning Pick

After back-to-back Cup runs, the Lightning are proving they still have plenty of gas left in the tank. The updated 2022 Stanley Cup odds show that the Bolts are closing in on the Avalanche as the favorite to win it all once again.

The Panthers certainly have the talent to win Game 4, but they’re going up against the NHL’s best goalie playing at the top of his game. Oddsmakers know Tampa has all the momentum, as they’ve made the Lightning favorites in the NHL odds for the first time this series.

With Vasilevskiy playing at the level he’s at, plus Florida’s power-play struggles, the Lightning moneyline is the best bet for Game 4. Look for the Bolts to complete the sweep at home Monday and eliminate the Cats for the second straight postseason.

Pick: Lightning ML (-113)

 

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