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Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction, Player Props & Odds for Game 4

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NHL Hockey

Published:


The Sabres celebrate a goal in Game 3 of their playoff series versus the Canadiens.
May 10, 2026; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Buffalo Sabres defenseman Rasmus Dahlin (26) celebrates with teammate forward Zach Benson (6) after scoring a goal against the Montreal Canadiens during the second period in game three of the second round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at the Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images
  • Buffalo is a +126 moneyline underdog tonight versus Montreal in Game 4 of their 2nd Round series
  • The Sabres are 7-2 as road underdogs in their last nine contests
  • Don’t miss the Sabres vs Canadiens prediction, player props and odds for Game 4, below

The Montreal Canadiens look to take a commanding series lead in their Eastern Conference Semifinal matchup against the Buffalo Sabres tonight. Puck drop at the Bell Centre is set for 7:00 p.m. ET, with ESPN and Sportsnet handling American and Canadian TV duties respectively.

Montreal currently holds a 2-1 advantage in the series, fueled by strong recent 5-on-5 performances from offensive catalysts like Nick Suzuki and Alex Newhook. On the other side of the ice, Buffalo is desperate to even the score, leaning heavily on stars like Tage Thompson and Rasmus Dahlin to pull off a crucial upset in hostile territory.

Online sportsbooks are siding with the Habs in the latest NHL odds, which I believe opens up value on the underdog Sabres. Keep reading for my Sabres vs Canadiens prediction, player props and latest odds for Game 4, below.

Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction for Game 4

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My two favorite wagers tonight are the Sabres moneyline and over 6 goals. Despite Montreal’s home-ice edge, the data suggests Buffalo is primed to push back, making them an incredibly appealing target.

The Sabres enter as road underdogs, but their recent track record in hostile environments makes this plus-money value too good to ignore. Buffalo is a stellar 7-2 (77.8%) on the road as an underdog over their last nine games.

Conversely, the Canadiens have fallen off a cliff when trying to sustain momentum. Following a victory, Montreal is a dismal 1-6 (14.3%) over their last seven games. That includes a sluggish 1-4 mark at home after a win, making them a highly vulnerable favorite tonight.

If you prefer playing the total, the Over is screaming to be backed. The Over has hit in each of the last three matchups between these division rivals. Furthermore, high-scoring affairs have been standard for Buffalo in this exact scenario.

The Over has cashed in four of their last five road games as an underdog. Expect an urgent Buffalo offense and a confident Montreal squad to push the game total past 6 goals.

Despite trailing the series 2-1, Buffalo actually holds the edge in special teams. Their power play is clicking at an efficient 25.0%, slightly besting Montreal’s 20.5% mark. Additionally, Buffalo’s penalty kill (82.8%) has narrowly outperformed Montreal’s (80.5%).

If Buffalo can force a tightly officiated, special-teams-heavy Game 4, their statistical edge on the man advantage makes an upset highly viable.

Sabres vs Canadiens Odds for Game 4

Odds as of May 12. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on Sabres vs Canadiens tonight.

Moving over to the Sabres vs Canadiens odds for Game 4, where you’ll want access to multiple betting sites to tail my picks. Caesars has the best odds on a Buffalo upset at +126, and over 6 goals (-130), while DraftKings is offering the best payout on my favorite prop wagers, which are listed below.

The winner of this series will advance to face the Hurricanes in the NHL Playoff Bracket, after Carolina swept the Flyers in four games.

Sabres vs Canadiens Player Props for Game 4

  • Cole Caufield OVER 2.5 Shots on Goal (-167 at DraftKings)
  • Tage Thompson OVER 0.5 Points (-190 at DraftKings)
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As for the NHL props market, Cole Caufield has been a volume shooter when his squad is expected to win. The dynamic winger has exceeded 2.5 shots on goal in 12 of his last 15 games as a favorite, boasting an 80% success rate.

Through the first three games of this playoff series, he has registered seven shots on net. Look for Caufield to stay heavily involved in the offensive zone as Montreal tries to put this series out of reach.

If Buffalo is going to tie this series, their top contributors must show up on the stat sheet. Tage Thompson has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight games as an underdog (88% hit rate).

He has already logged a goal and an assist in this series. Backing him to find the scoresheet again is one of the most statistically sound angles on the board today.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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