Where’s Joe? Dropping in the Election Odds, That’s Where
- Joe Biden’s average election odds election odds fell from +100 to +130 over the last week
- Biden is ahead in the polls, however. Which of these two barometers should you be following the closest?
- Analysis, best bets and predictions on this data can be found in the following story
The odds in the 2020 US Presidential election are beginning to social distance themselves from Joe Biden.
Across the leading sportsbooks, the latest 2020 Presidential election odds are growing in favor of Donald Trump and going away from Biden.
The average odds on Democratic frontrunner Biden being elected to the White House on Nov. 3rd fell from +100 to +130 over the past week.
One leading sportsbook has Biden as long as +150.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -125 |
| Joe Biden | +150 |
| Andrew Cuomo | +1000 |
| Bernie Sanders | +3000 |
| Mike Pence | +6000 |
| Hillary Clinton | +6600 |
| Nikki Haley | +10000 |
| Michelle Obama | +20000 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +50000 |
Odds taken Mar. 30.
In the same time period, incumbent Republican Trump’s averages are improving. His odds improved slightly from -118 to -123.
#Where’sJoe?
Biden’s campaign was just gaining a head of steam. He’d pretty much eliminated Bernie Sanders from the race for the Democratic nomination.
That’s when the coronavirus stepped up and infected the race for the Presidency like a batch of toxic Bernie Bros on Twitter. The hashtag #where’sjoe began trending on social media.
His campaign on hold, Biden is left like a lot of Americans, working from home. He’s set up a studio in his house from which he’s been addressing the nation.
It’s a far cry from the regular national audience Trump accesses via his daily coronavirus briefings.
Cuomo Becoming A Factor
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo isn’t a candidate for the Presidency. However, people watching his daily fact-based addresses about the impact of COVID-19 on New York are impressed. Cuomo displays preparedness and coolness under fire.
It’s a complete 180 from Trump’s daily self-aggrandizing dog and pony show filled with misinformation, half truths and provable outright lies.
That doesn’t mean Cuomo should be considered a contender in 2020. But what he’s doing is offering Americans a look at what a calm, collected leader who also happens to be a Democrat looks like when they’re in charge. Even Trump suggested on Fox News that Cuomo would be a better candidate for President than Biden.
The major networks are carrying Trump and Cuomo’s press briefings live. They’re showing Biden on tape delay.
Polls Favor Joe
Biden still holds the edge on Trump in the vast majority of polls. Even that advantage is slipping, though.
In February, an ABC News/Washington Post poll showed Biden with a healthy 52-45% lead over Trump. In their latest poll released Monday, the Bdien advantage has shrunk to 49-47%.
Trust more to handle the coronavirus outbreak:
Trump 45% (+2)
Biden 43%@ABC/@washingtonpost 3/22-25https://t.co/JMGRZV2jSv— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) March 29, 2020
Even more disconcerting for Biden is the lack of excitement over his candidacy among those who identify as Democrats. Just 24% indicated that they were very enthusiastic about Biden as a Presidential candidate.
But 53% of Trump supporters are very enthusiastic about his candidacy.
The same poll gave Trump a 45-43% edge over Biden in trust to handle the coronavirus outbreak.
Trump Stumbles Onward
The master media manipulator, Trump appears to have bumbled his way into another success story. He’s as high as 49% in approval rating in some polls since he began his daily coronavirus briefings. That’s the highest rating of his Presidency.
This is the distinct advantage afforded to an incumbent. They’re in charge of the show. And with Americans forced to stay home, it’s been even more pronounced.
If you're puzzled that Trump's approval rating has actually climbed recently, remember that presidential approval generally surges in the early stages of a crisis.
For instance, over the first two months of the Iran hostage crisis, Jimmy Carter's approval jumped from 32% to 58%. pic.twitter.com/LvAyMuFlRh
— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) March 27, 2020
Historically, Presidential popularity surges at the start of a crisis.
As more Americans die from the coronavirus, and the outbreak continues to surge, that could swing this election to Biden.
Pick: Joe Biden (+150)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
