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Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Aug 10, 2022 · 11:24 AM PDT

Martin Truex Jr celebrating a NASCAR victory
Sep 11, 2021; Richmond, Virginia, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. (19) celebrates in victory lane after winning the Federated Auto Parts 400 Salute to First Responders at Richmond International Raceway. Mandatory Credit: Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports
  • Richmond is next on the NASCAR schedule as the Federated Auto Parts 400 is set to run on Sunday, August 14th, 2022
  • Several contenders include Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, and Ryan Blaney
  • Below are the Federated Auto Parts 400 betting trends and odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

NASCAR heads back East to Richmond Raceway, in Richmond, Virginia for race number 24 of the 2022 season. The 0.75-mile D-shaped track could have a high correlation to the Spring race. The course has Martin Truex Jr. as the favorite in the Federated Auto Parts 400 odds. Can Martin Truex Jr. finally win a race like how Kevin Harvick won last week at Michigan?

This is a week after the FireKeepers Casino 400, where Kevin Harvick held off a hard-charging Bubba Wallace and Denny Hamlin. That gave Harvick his first win of 2022, snapping a 65-race drought.

Here are the Federated Auto Parts 400 odds.

Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Ten
Martin Truex Jr. +600 +180 -265
Denny Hamlin +700 +210 -225
Kyle Busch +700 +210 -225
Christopher Bell +850 +250 -195
Chase Elliott +1000 +300 -167
Kyle Larson +1000 +300 -167
Ryan Blaney +1200 +350 -155
Ross Chastain +1400 +400 -143
Kevin Harvick +1500 +425 -132
Joey Lugano +1600 +475 -125
Bubba Wallace +1600 +475 -125
William Byron +1800 +500 -118
Tyler Reddick +2200 +600 -106
Alex Bowman +2800 +750 +115
Kurt Busch +3000 +800 +125
Daniel Suarez +3000 +800 +125
Aric Almirola +5000 +1200 +165
Chase Briscoe +5000 +1200 +165
Austin Dillon +5000 +1200 +165
Austin Cindric +6600 +1600 +215

Odds as of August 10th at Barstool Sportsbook. See available Barstool Sportsbook bonus code.


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NASCAR drivers will run on the 0.75-mile course when the flag drops for the Sunday-afternoon race beginning around 3:00 pm ET on USA Network.

Martin Truex Jr. Is the Favorite This Week

Between Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch, they are the only drivers who have placed in the top ten over the past six races at Richmond Raceway. The oddest thing is that the younger Busch has only one top-five result in that span despite that top-ten run. Toyota has been very dominant on this track much like Ford the week before. Behind Martin Truex Jr’s three wins and 2.3 average finish since 2019, he is not surprisingly topping the charts heading into Sunday.

Now, Truex Jr. stands as top choice at Caesars (+550). Denny Hamlin is listed at Caesars at +700 along with Kyle Busch and Christopher Bell. Some other interesting odds exist on Caesars Sportsbook, as Kevin Harvick is +1500 and Aric Almirola is +4000 (+5000 at Barstool).

Does Toyota finish off the deal here at Richmond? After all, they have won five of the past seven races. Austin Cindric is worth a long shot at +7500. Almirola has already been mentioned too.

Federated Auto Parts 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2021 Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Denny Hamlin –Joe Gibbs Racing
2020 Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Kevin Harvick– Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski – Team Penske
2019 Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Kyle Busch– Joe Gibbs Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing
2017 Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing Matt Kenseth – Joe Gibbs Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing

This race is 400 laps (300 miles) once again.

Can Ryan Blaney Break Through?

Sports bettors are not so hot on Ryan Blaney (+1300) this week. The Ford driver is falling some in the NASCAR Cup Series odds. There is this interesting wrinkle that Blaney led 128 laps during the Spring race but came up short settling for seventh.

Blaney (+1200) has been in the top two or three just about all season when it comes to points but has zero wins. Again, his overall body of work at Richmond has not been great but the last three races have been much better (all 11th or better).

Federated Auto Parts 400 Predictions & Picks

The weather should be excellent on Sunday. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80’s with plenty of sunshine.

This track has the look of a Toyota dominated race but do watch for Kyle Larson. He has won here before and can post some fast laps. See last year’s pole as well. He could be worth a pole prop.

Stage setup is 80-155-165 this week.

Finally, for top-ten picks, there are Erik Jones and Aric Almirola. There will be some more picks closer to Sunday’s race after qualifying on Saturday.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Martin Truex Jr. to Win (+600)
  • Other Contenders: Ryan Blaney (+1200), Kyle Larson (+1000), Christopher Bell (+850)
  • More shots:  Erik Jones (+6600), Aric Almirola (+5000), Chase Briscoe (+5000)


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