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Formula 1 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Jul 29, 2021 · 9:12 AM PDT

Hungarian Grand Prix
Mercedes driver Lewis Hamilton of Britain holds the trophy after winning the Hungarian Formula One Grand Prix race at the Hungaroring racetrack in Mogyorod, Hungary, Sunday, July 19, 2020. (Mark Thompson/Pool via AP)
  • Lewis Hamilton trails in betting odds as he vies for eighth career win at Hungarian Grand Prix
  • Hamilton sits second to points leader Max Verstappen, who looks to rebound from a scary collision with Hamilton at the British Grand Prix
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of this year’s running of the Hungarian Grand Prix on Sunday morning at Hungaroring

Lewis Hamilton will be aiming to take home the checkered flag in consecutive races for the first time since early May when he hits the track for Sunday’s running of the 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix as a +180 second favorite.

Hamilton returned to the top of the podium in controversial fashion last time out at the British Grand Prix but still faces a huge challenge to close the gap on Red Bull’s Max Verstappen. Verstappen remains perched atop the F1 Drivers Standings despite being failing to finish at Silverstone due to a controversial collision with Hamilton.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix at Hungaroring on Sunday morning at 9:00 am ET.

Odds to Win 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -133 -350 -700 -700
Lewis Hamilton +180 -400 -700 -1000
Sergio Perez +1400 +115 -500 -650
Valtteri Bottas +1400 +110 -500 -550
Charles Leclerc +2000 +210 -300 -550
Carlos Sainz Jr. +5000 +650 -154 -400
Lando Norris +7000 +280 -350 -550
Pierre Gasly +8000 +2000 +300 -213
Daniel Ricciardo +12500 +1200 -143 -350
Fernando Alonso +20000 +3300 +400 -213
Sebastian Vettel +25000 +2800 +500 -188
George Russell +30000 +4000 +1200 +155
Esteban Ocon +30000 +7000 +900 +105
Lance Stroll +40000 +7000 +1800 -110
Yuki Tsunoda +40000 +12500 +2500 +210
Kimi Raikkonen +100000 +25000 +12500 +350
Antonio Giovinazzi +100000 +25000 +12500 +425
Nicholas Latifi +150000 +25000 +20000 +3500
Mick Schumacher +200000 +50000 +25000 +4000
Nikita Mazepin +250000 +50000 +30000 +5000

Odds as of July 29 at FOX Bet

Can Hamilton Reclaim Momentum?

Success on his home track at Silverstone could not have come a minute sooner for Lewis Hamilton. The defending world champion has found himself in unfamiliar territory this season. The winner in three of the first four races this season, the 36-year-old Englishman has struggled badly since, reaching the podium on just three occasions over his past six outings, including his lone victory two weeks ago at the British Grand Prix.

Despite his win at Silverstone, and Verstappen’s failure to finish, the Mercedes driver still finds himself trailing in the odds to claim an unprecedented eighth career F1 title, sporting average odds of +155. However, Hamilton is well-positioned to continue his turnaround in Hungary, where he has claimed victory in each of the past three years, and on an astonishing eight occasions over the course of his career.

Verstappen on the Rebound in Wake of Silverstone Crash

As for Verstappen, the current points leader will be aiming to pick up where he left off prior to crashing out at Silverstone. The 23-year-old had earned the win in each of his previous three outings and has finished no worse than second place in the eight races he has completed so far this season.

While Verstappen’s feast-or-famine results this season have diminished the value in his short odds to end Hamilton’s dominance at Hungaroring, he remains a worthwhile -150 bet to claim the pole position for the sixth time this season and the fifth time in as many outings. Of course, Verstappen is far from a risky bet to win in Hungary. He finished second to Hamilton in each of the past two editions of this race and has finished no worse than fifth in five of his six career appearances.

Hungarian Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2020 Hungarian Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.702 sec
2019 Hungarian Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 17.796 sec
2018 Hungarian Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 17.123 sec
2017 Hungarian Grand Prix Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 0.908 sec
2016 Hungarian Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 1.977 sec
2015 Hungarian Grand Prix Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 15.748 sec

Leclerc, Norris Offer Value as Rivalry Intensifies

With little suspense at the top of the odds entering the weekend, it is worth shifting focus to the continued battle between Ferrari and McLaren. After being denied victory by Hamilton in the dying moments of the British Grand Prix, Charles Leclerc will be aiming to rebound in Hungary, where he is pegged as a +2000 bet. The Ferrari driver has enjoyed somewhat of a resurgence this season after struggling throughout 2020, finishing fourth or better on four occasions.

Leclerc’s performance has enabled Ferrari to remain within striking distance of McLaren in the F1 Constructors Standings. The 23-year-old has also enjoyed previous success at Hungaroring, posting a fourth-place finish two years ago, and has also managed to qualify among the top six in each of the past two years.

While a +210 bet on the Monte Carlo native to reach the podium again is not without its risks, he is worth jumping on as a +125 wager to emerge as the race winner without the Big Four of Hamilton, Verstappen, Sergio Perez, and Valtteri Bottas.

However, Leclerc will likely have to fend off yet another challenge from his chief rival this season, Lando Norris. The Englishman has enjoyed a breakthrough season in 2021 and remains the only driver to pick up points in each of the first 10 races of the season. That steady track record should help allay concerns generated by the 21-year-old’s past shaky performance at Hungaroring and should be considered a lock to pay out as a -350 bet to finish among the top six.

The Picks: Lewis Hamilton to win (+180); Lando Norris top six (-350)

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