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Grant Park 220 Picks, Predictions & Odds

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Updated Jun 27, 2023 · 10:01 PM PDT

Jul 31, 2022; Speedway, Indiana, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Tyler Reddick (left) and Beau Reddick (right) react after winning the Verizon 200 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road Course. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports
  • NASCAR rolls into Chicago for the Grant Park 220 set to run on Sunday, July 2nd, 2023, in Chicago, IL
  • The contending favorites include Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Tyler Reddick, and Kyle Larson
  • Below are the Grant Park 220 predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday evening’s race

NASCAR goes from something somewhat new to another debut for the eighteenth race of the 2023 season. The Chicago Street Course is 2.2-miles and features a dozen turns. The race distance totals 220 miles (100 laps). What chaos may occur with a course setup like this?

This weekend’s race is one week after the Ally 400 where Ross Chastain snapped a 42-race winless drought as he held off Martin Truex Jr. for the victory. Denny Hamlin was behind both of them in third place.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Grant Park 220 from Chicago (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Sonoma predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

NASCAR Grant Park 220 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Chase Elliott +500 +140 -150
Martin Truex Jr. +650 +185 -125
Tyler Reddick +650 +185 -125
Kyle Larson +750 +210 -110
Kyle Busch +900 +250 +110
A,J. Allmendinger +900 +250 +110
William Byron +1100 +300 +135
Ross Chastain +1200 +330 +150
Christopher Bell +2500 +700 +300
Daniel Suarez +2500 +700 +300
Chris Buescher +2500 +650 +300
Michael McDowell +2800 +650 +350
Austin Cindric +2800 +800 +350
Joey Logano +3500 +850 +400
Denny Hamlin +3500 +850 +400
Alex Bowman +4000 +900 +500
Ryan Blaney +4500 +900 +550
Kevin Harvick +4500 +900 +500
Ty Gibbs +5000 +1000 +550
Shane Van Gisbergen +5500 +1100 +600

Chase Elliott enters this race yet as a +500 favorite with Martin Truex Jr. and Tyler Reddick close behind. However, the first eight drivers come in at +1200 or shorter. Then, there is a steep drop to some who could potentially win this race too.

NASCAR drivers get around the track with a 20-25-55 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday evening race beginning again after 5:30 pm ET on FOX.

 

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Chase Elliott Goes for a Fourth on a Debut Road Course

So, Hendrick Motorsports Racing did not get their Chevy’s near victory lane but finished fourth, fifth, and sixth. However, Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott have each won four races on road courses in the last three years. This Chicago street course features a lot of unknowns. Again, the 12 turns have two wide (dive down) areas on South Columbus Drive to negotiate. Drivers are going to need to be extra technical coming out of some of these apexes and worse.

Fortunately, Caesars Sportsbook has fewer drastic gaps. For one, Chris Buescher is only +2000, Ty Gibbs is at +4000, and for fun, Jenson Button lies at +10000. Most bettors may focus too much on Ross Chastain who won last week at Nashville. This is a week where relying on what works on road courses benefits yet hurts some too.

Grant Park 220 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2023 Debut Race At Chicago Street Course For July 2nd

This debut race may feature 10+ cautions potentially. With the slow turns and some cars getting the braking wrong, inevitable expect lots of bumps.

Can Martin Truex Jr. Or Tyler Reddick Outsmart the Chevy Drivers?

NASCAR Cup Series odds got split with three Chevy’s and three Toyota’s. That is led by Kyle Larson and now Kyle Busch. Martin Truex Jr. and William Byron are right there along with Chase Elliott.

Correlation is mostly irrelevant. Even relying on previous track experience proves to be dicey. This is because the track, when watching drone footage, resembles a mix of the Brickyard road course with COTA and Sonoma. Attempting to gauge how the course will run with full speed and 30+ cars is a herculean challenge.

Practice begins Saturday with a 60-minute session at 1:30 pm ET. Saturday qualifying begins at 2:30 pm ET. Expect faster track conditions on Sunday as there is still a better chance of rain on Saturday afternoon. This is where one wants to see how the Toyota’s look on this type of course. Does the setup truly favor them? As the race goes on, it might (especially with Reddick and Truex Jr.).

Grant Park 220 from Chicago Predictions & Picks

So, Saturday could be wet and mild. Sunday expects to be more tranquil by the evening. That is better news for the drivers.

Can Chase Elliott win a fourth road race on a debut track? Could Trackhouse Racing steal the show? Will Tyler Reddick equal Larson and Elliott for road wins since COVID?

As usual, watch the weather for Saturday this time.  For head-to-head driver matchups, wait a little bit this weekend. See what practice and qualifying look like first. Also, watch out for the Dinger. We mean A.J. Allmendinger. Expect a few more plays over the weekend and good luck!

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Tyler Reddick to Win (+650)
  • Other Contenders: Chase Elliott (+500), A.J. Allmendinger (+1000 – Caesars), Kyle Busch (+750), Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
  • Longshots:  Chris Buescher (+2500), Christopher Bell (+2500), Denny Hamlin (+3500)
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