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NASCAR 2019 STP 500 Odds & Picks

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Racing

Updated Apr 27, 2020 · 10:01 AM PDT

Kyle Busch NASCAR
Can Kyle Busch win his third race in a row? Photo by Nascar1996 (Wikimedia Commons).
  • The STP 500 is scheduled for Sunday, March 24th at 2:00 pm EST
  • Kyle Busch has the best average finish position at the Martinsville Speedway
  • Kyle Busch has won two straight NASCAR Cup Series races overall in 2019

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will make its first of four stops in Virginia this week with the STP 500. The first race will take place this Sunday on March 24th at 2:00 p.m. ET. Let’s take a look at the odds and see which drivers are worth a bet this weekend.

2019 STP 500 Odds

Driver 2019 STP 500 Odds
Kyle Busch +220
Brad Keselowski +525
Martin Truex Jr. +625
Joey Logano +750
Denny Hamlin +1100
Clint Bowyer +1100
Kevin Harvick +1600
Ryan Blaney +2200
Chase Elliott +2200
Kurt Busch +2600
Aric Almirola +2600
Jimmie Johnson +3300
Kyle Larson +4000
Erik Jones +6000
Ryan Newman +8800

Odds taken 03/19/19.

Three in a Row for Kyle Busch?

There’s no way that Busch can extend his impressive run with a third straight win this week… is there? There was a lot of talk about Busch being in tough to make it two straight last week but he won at California, pulling out his 200th career victory.

Busch has won here before back in 2016, and was also a runner-up at this race in each of the last two years. Coming off back-to-back wins, along with recent course figures that read 1-2-2 in his last three appearances at Martinsville, Busch is a good bet here.

Can Keselowski Cash In?

Sticking with the hot drivers, Keselowski would be talked about a lot more lately if it weren’t for Busch stealing the headlines. He has placed third or better in three of his last four races overall. He’s been one of the best drivers on the circuit this season.

He’s also had plenty of success at Martinsville, including a victory here in 2017. He’s finished fifth or better in six of his last eight starts at Martinsville Speedway. Overall, he has the second best average driver finish at Martinsville, so that’s why he’s among my best bets to win it this week.

A Top 10 for Hamlin

There were such high hopes for Hamlin after he won the Daytona 500 but he hasn’t won since. Even so, he’s managed to hang around in a number of races over the last few weeks with an average finish of 6.8.

Hamlin has managed to hang around in a number of races over the last few weeks with an average finish of 6.8.

Hamlin has an excellent track record here, winning this race three previous times. Overall, he’s picked up five wins at Martinsville Speedway. He’s a decent option for a top 10 prop bet as he’s finished in that range in six of his last nine starts here.

Avoid Elliott

Elliott has an excellent history at Martinsville Speedway so he will be talked about this week as an intriguing option. However, he’s off to a terrible start to his 2019 campaign. He’s someone you’ll want to avoid.

To date, Elliott has just one top 10 finish (Las Vegas). He’s yet to lead a single lap this season. Can he turn things around at a track where he has three top 10’s? Possibly, but until I see him doing better week-in, week-out, I have no interest in betting on him.

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