NASCAR Advent 400 Odds, Picks & Predictions 2023
- NASCAR sings Dust In The Wind as it heads to Kansas for the Advent 400 from Kansas City set to run on Sunday, May 7th, 2023
- The contending favorites include Christopher Bell, William Byron, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, and Kyle Larson
- Below are the Advent 400 from Kansas predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race
NASCAR descends on Kansas City, Kansas, for the twelfth race of the 2023 season. Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile low-wear track with 17-20 degree progressive turns and a slightly pitched tri-oval. The race distance totals 400 miles (267 laps). Will the “intermediate” track tilt to Toyota again?
This weekend’s race is almost a week after the Monday Wurth 400 where Martin Truex Jr. held off the field including a hard-charging Ryan Blaney. With that, the Jersey native scored his first win of the season as his brother Ryan won the Xfinity race on Saturday.
The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Advent 400 from Kansas (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Kansas predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.
NASCAR Advent 400 Odds
| Driver | Odds to Win | Podium Finish Odds | Top Five Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +500 | +140 | -150 |
| William Byron | +750 | +200 | -120 |
| Tyler Reddick | +750 | +200 | EVEN |
| Denny Hamlin | +750 | +200 | +110 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +850 | +240 | +110 |
| Christopher Bell | +850 | +240 | +120 |
| Ross Chastain | +1200 | +330 | +160 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 | +330 | +160 |
| Kyle Busch | +1400 | +400 | +190 |
| Bubba Wallace | +1400 | +400 | +190 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1500 | +400 | +225 |
| Kevin Harvick | +1800 | +500 | +275 |
| Joey Logano | +2200 | +600 | +190 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2800 | +800 | +400 |
| Ty Gibbs | +3500 | +1000 | +500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +3500 | +1000 | +400 |
| Josh Berry | +6000 | +1600 | +600 |
| Chase Briscoe | +6500 | +1800 | +750 |
| Ryan Preece | +10000 | +2800 | +800 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +10000 | +2800 | +800 |
| Erik Jones | +10000 | +2800 | +850 |
Kyle Larson enters this race yet again as a +500 favorite. However, five other contenders come in at +850 or shorter. Last week’s race finished on Monday because of rain. Hopefully, that does not happen this weekend. There is a chance of rain.
NASCAR drivers get around the track with an 80-85-102 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning again around 3:00 pm ET on FOX.
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Odds as of May 3rd at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kyle Larson Got Nailed Yet Again
So, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver got nailed again at Dover. By far and away, Larson was the fastest car on the track. Then his car became another victim. Eventually, he had to retire from the Monday afternoon race. Yes, Larson has led 27.5% of the laps in his previous four appearances at Kansas. That includes a win too. Bettors keep steering away, but if he survives a race, look out!
Naturally, the Caesars Sportsbook come in with their differences. For one, Kyle Larson is +450, but Denny Hamlin lies as the favorite at +400. Six drivers come in at +800 or shorter with Chase Elliott lurking at +1000.
Advent 400 Recent Winners
| Year | Race Winner | Pole Position | Most Laps Led |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kurt Busch – 23XI Racing | Christopher Bell – Joe Gibbs Racing | Kurt Busch – 23XI Racing |
| 2021 | Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing | Brad Keselowski – Team Penske | Kyle Larson– Hendrick Motorsports Racing |
| 2020 | Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing | Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing |
| 2019 | Brad Keselowski – Team Penske | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing |
| 2018 | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing | Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing |
Does Ryan Blaney Feel Abandoned?
With the Hendrick car speed and Toyota winning twice in a row in May., does Ryan Blaney feel a little abandoned? What do we mean? He finished third last week. As a result, NASCAR Cup Series odds still rides with Chevy (first four drivers now) but Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, and even Denny Hamlin are not too far behind. Despite good results, Blaney is down with Tyler Reddick at +1500. We are saying there’s a chance.
Correlation is kind of like a low-wear mini version of Michigan International Speedway. If there are long runs, expect Chevy and Toyota to be fast again.
Practice begins Saturday evening with a 45-minute session. Saturday qualifying begins at 5:50 pm ET. Fingers crossed!
Advent 400 from Dover Predictions & Picks
So, Saturday seems okay for practice and qualifying. Sunday afternoon features the chance of an isolated thunderstorm. The expectation is for no heavy rains at this time.
Qualifying will be entertaining, Even Ford could snag the pole here. Warm temperatures well in the 80’s will be on the docket. Sunday could approach 90 potentially.
Could Ryan Blaney come through and end that long, long winning drought?. Look at how good he was last week. Anything is possible.
Like we mentioned, watch the weather in case. Again, the chances of a Monday race are much less this time. Taking a 0.1 unit shot at Ryan Blaney is not a bad idea.
Here are our best bets:
- Top Pick: Ryan Blaney to Win (+1500)
- Other Contenders: Kyle Larson (+500), Tyler Reddick (+750), Denny Hamlin. (+750), William Byron (+750)
- Longshots: Brad Keselowski (+2800), Ty Gibbs (+3500), Daniel Suarez (+3500)
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A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.
