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NASCAR DFS Picks – AutoTrader 400 Projections, Lineup & Strategy

By Phil Bobbitt in Racing

Updated: February 22, 2026 at 1:17 am EST

Published:


Ryan Blaney on track at Phoenix Motor Speedway (2025).
Oct 31, 2025; Avondale, Arizona, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Ryan Blaney (12) during practice at Phoenix Raceway. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
  • DraftKings has a $400,000 prize pool for the AutoTrader 400 at EchoPark Speedway with $100,000 going to first
  • No practice or qualifying data this weekend, so the grid was set entirely by last week’s metric
  • Below, see our NASCAR DFS picks, projections, lineup, and strategy for the AutoTrader 400

Once again, we aim to transform a $20 bill into generational wealth, relying solely on an internet connection and our determination.

There’s $400,000 in the DraftKings prize pool this weekend, with $100,000 going to first. This implies that we will theoretically be 10% closer to becoming millionaires by the time the checkered flag appears. Financial advisors hate this NASCAR DFS strategy. We are proceeding anyway.

AutoTrader 400 DFS Expert Lineup and Projections

DriverStarting PositionSalaryProjected FinishProjected Points
Ryan Blaney22$10,2006.950
Denny Hamlin29$9,10013.548
Austin Cindric30$8,5008.656
Ross Chastain21$8,10014.838
Connor Zillisch31$6,70022.036
Ty Gibbs25$6,60020.832

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AutoTrader 400 DFS Preview

We head to EchoPark Speedway, still Atlanta Motor Speedway in our hearts, a 1.54-mile quad-oval with 28 degrees of banking and absolutely zero regard for your emotional stability. Since the 2022 reconfiguration, Atlanta drafts like Daytona. There are big packs and giant momentum swings with runs that appear out of nowhere. The difference is that this place is narrower, tighter, and far more violent in how those runs develop. It’s the Thunderdome version of superspeedway racing.

The surface has also begun to wear.

Handling now plays a bigger role than it did in the first few years of the redesign. Mechanical grip is increasingly important. Drivers who can manage tire falloff while staying connected to the draft will have more control over their destiny. That does not mean the chaos completely disappears. It just means there is slightly more skill layered into it.

From a NASCAR DFS perspective, the approach mirrors Daytona with one key adjustment.

Place differential remains the foundation. That is non-negotiable when drafting tracks. But unlike Daytona, dominator points carry a little more weight here. You can still see chunks of laps led with drivers that control lanes for stretches. It’s not like Bristol or like Kansas. It is, however, enough that ignoring it entirely would be irresponsible.

There were no practice sessions this weekend, and Saturday qualifying was rained out. Starting positions have nothing to do with speed since the grid was set by last weekend’s metric. That creates even more mystery than usual, which naturally lowers our lineup floor.

So, let’s embrace it.

We are strategically stacking the back half of the grid, leveraging place-differential upside, and purposefully leaving $800 unclaimed to enhance the uniqueness of our lineup. Large-field tournaments silently eliminate duplication. We are trying to win $100,000, not split it with 74 strangers.

AutoTrader 400 Lineup & DFS Strategy

We start with a Penske stack in Ryan Blaney and Austin Cindric. Blaney will likely carry significant ownership, and for good reason. Since the reconfiguration, he owns five top-10 finishes in six Atlanta races. That format rarely allows such consistency. Sometimes chalk is chalk because it is correct.

Cindric starting 30th adds pure place-differential upside.

We then stack Toyota teammates Denny Hamlin and Ty Gibbs from Joe Gibbs Racing. Hamlin starting 29th is exactly the kind of profile we target in our NASCAR DFS picks at these tracks. Veteran drafting intelligence, patience, and upside if he survives the inevitable mess. Gibbs provides leverage within the same organizational ecosystem. Similar drafting support. The ownership stake is likely to be lower than that of nearby salary options.

Finally, we stack the Trackhouse Chevrolets with Ross Chastain and Connor Zillisch. Chastain embodies volatility, which is acceptable in a tournament of this size. Zillisch starting 31st is not about safety. It is about ceiling. If he survives and climbs into the teens, he smashes value at that salary and differentiates our build.

This lineup is not designed to grind out a safe afternoon. It is built to embrace uncertainty, leverage team drafting correlations from each manufacturer, and prioritize place differential while leaving room for potential dominator equity.

At a race with no practice, no meaningful qualifying data, and a surface that demands both aggression and handling discipline, mystery is part of the edge.

Now let’s see if $20 and a little audacity can get us 10 percent closer to millionaire status.

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Phil Bobbitt

Phil Bobbitt is a motorsports betting analyst and recurring guest on CBS Sports HQ, The Early Edge, and VSiN’s A Numbers Game. He and his pal Steve developed a racing algorithm that’s profited over 260 units and $1 million in DFS winnings since 2020.

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