NASCAR DFS Picks – Great American Getaway 400 Projections, Lineup & Strategy
By Phil Bobbitt in Racing
Published:
- DraftKings is offering $100,000 to first place on a $20 entry for the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway
- Brad Keselowski and Bubba Wallace roll off 37th and 38th, creating massive place-differential upside on a strategy-heavy track
- Below, see our NASCAR DFS picks, projections, lineup, and strategy for the Great American Getaway 400
Pocono Raceway is known as “The Tricky Triangle.”
Which sounds intimidating until you realize most of us learned triangles in third grade.
Unfortunately, nobody told the crew chiefs.
Every summer, NASCAR’s annual trip to northeastern Pennsylvania turns into an advanced calculus exam disguised as a stock car race. Three corners. Three different banking profiles. Three different radii. Add fuel mileage, stage strategy, and the threat of rain, and suddenly everybody is searching for a calculator.
Pocono races eventually become fuel mileage races in the same way that every family vacation eventually becomes an argument about where to eat.
Nobody plans for it at the start of the day, but somehow that’s where we always end up.
With the start time moved from 3 p.m. ET to 1 p.m. ET in an effort to stay ahead of the weather, there’s an even greater chance strategy plays a major role in deciding Sunday’s Great American Getaway 400.
That’s why we’re taking a slightly different approach in DFS this week.
Great American Getaway 400 Expert DFS Lineup and Projections
DraftKings salaries as of race week. Build your Great American Getaway 400 NASCAR DFS lineup at the best DFS sites and apps before the green flag drops at Pocono.
- SPLASH SPORTS DFS
USE CODE SBDIME & GET 50% DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $500
- DABBLE FANTASY
PLAY $5, GET $50 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE SBDIME
- BETR PICKS
USE CODE SBDIME & GET 4 NO SWEAT TOKENS, A FREE PICK & UP TO $200 BACK!
- PRIZEPICKS
PLAY $5 & GET $150 IN LINEUPS IF YOU WIN!
- UNDERDOG FANTASY
50% DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $1,000 & KEEP YOUR MILLION WITH CODE SBD!
- CHALKBOARD DFS
GET A $500 DEPOSIT MATCH + FREE PICK
- FLIFF SOCIAL SPORTSBOOK
SPEND $5 & GET $50 IN FREE PLAY WITH CODE DIME50
- DRAFTKINGS FANTASY
DEPOSIT $5+ & GET A WEEK 1 FANTASY FOOTBALL MILLIONAIRE TICKET!
- DRAFTKINGS PICK6
PLAY $5, GET $50 INSTANTLY IN BONUS PICKS!
DRAFTKINGS DFS T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Min. $5 deposit req. Reward issued as 1x $5 ticket valid for use only on NFL Week 1 Fantasy Football Millionaire Contest on 9/13/26. Ticket reward is site credit, single-use, non-withdrawable, and expires at contest lock on 9/13/26. See terms at draftkings.com/promos. Ends 9/13/26 at 1:00 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
DRAFTKINGS PICK6 T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ (19+ AL/NE, 21+ AZ/IL/MA/VA). Valid only where Pick6 operates, see dkng.co/pick6states. Void in NY/AB/ONT and where prohibited. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. First $5+ paid Pick Set to receive max. $50 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Picks that expire in 14 days (336 hours). Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Terms: pick6.draftkings.com/promos Sponsored by DK.
Great American Getaway 400 DFS Strategy
With only 160 laps scheduled, we’re not expecting dominator points to carry the same importance they do at tracks like Charlotte or Michigan. Pocono’s unique layout often produces multiple strategies throughout the field, and teams are rarely shy about sacrificing stage points in exchange for better track position later in the race.
Instead of chasing a lineup full of potential lap leaders, we’re focusing primarily on drivers with significant place-differential upside and enough race-day speed to capitalize on whatever strategy unfolds.
The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series contest features a $20 entry fee and $100,000 awarded to first place.
Here’s the lineup we’re building around.
NASCAR DFS Picks and Projections
Tyler Reddick ($10,300) – Start: 16th
If we’re going to pay for one driver capable of collecting meaningful dominator points, Reddick is the choice.
One model projects a 6.06 finish while the other lands at 7.70. Toyota has consistently shown elite speed on this track type, and Reddick enters the race with arguably the strongest combination of raw pace and upside in the field.
Even if the dominator points are spread across multiple strategies, Reddick has enough speed to spend significant time near the front while still offering place differential from his 16th-place starting position.
Chase Elliott ($9,200) – Start: 23rd
Nothing about Elliott’s weekend has looked particularly impressive on paper. The practice speeds were underwhelming and qualifying didn’t help matters. Still, this is exactly the type of race where Elliott and crew chief Alan Gustafson tend to find a way.
Whether it’s fuel strategy, pit timing, or simply maximizing track position, Elliott consistently seems to outperform mediocre weekends. Our model still projects him inside the top eight, creating significant place-differential upside from a 23rd-place starting spot.
Carson Hocevar ($8,700) – Start: 26th
Hocevar continues to make life difficult for DFS players because the ceiling remains enormous.
One model projects a 10.01 average finish while another lands at 13.33. More importantly, Hocevar ranked second overall in our practice metric. The speed appears legitimate and starting 26th leaves plenty of room to score position differential points if that pace carries into the race.
Bubba Wallace ($8,000) – Start: 38th
Wallace’s qualifying session ended badly enough that he’ll roll off from the final position in the field.
The encouraging part is that our models don’t appear particularly concerned.
Despite starting 38th, Wallace still projects as a fringe top-10 finisher. That’s the type of profile we target aggressively in DFS. If the speed remains intact and the race becomes the strategy-heavy affair we’re expecting, Wallace has a realistic path to one of the best point-per-dollar scores on the slate.
Brad Keselowski ($7,900) – Start: 37th
This may end up being one of the most popular plays on the slate.
The practice speeds were ugly. Qualifying was ugly. The starting position is even uglier.
The good news is that Keselowski has spent most of his career proving that race-day execution matters more than Friday and Saturday speed charts. Our model projects a finish of 11.97 despite everything that went wrong leading into Sunday.
Keselowski also isn’t afraid to get creative with strategy, and Pocono is one of the few tracks where a strategy gamble can completely reshape a race. Starting 37th gives him one of the highest floors and ceilings on the board.
Austin Dillon ($5,800) – Start: 32nd
Dillon isn’t a driver we typically target for raw speed, but the starting position creates a path to value. One model projects him to finish 32nd, while another lands at 21.19. We don’t need a miracle at this salary. A clean race and a finish in the low-20s would be enough to justify the investment while opening salary for higher-upside options elsewhere.
Get Four No-Sweat Entries, Up To $200 Back in Bonuses + a Free Pick!
Want to bet the Great American Getaway 400 outright? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code for NASCAR odds and futures, or shop around at theScore Bet for more lines.
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 TO GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
- THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE DIME TO GET 100% BET RESET UP TO $1,000
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
SPEND $5, GET $200 IN BONUSES!
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $10 & GET $365 IN BONUS BETS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE DIMEFAN & GET $10 x $100 BET MATCHES IN FANCASH!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 FOR 7 DAYS & GET UP TO $350 IN BONUS BETS!
DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA) Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.
BETMGM T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US), 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
Phil Bobbitt is a motorsports betting analyst and recurring guest on CBS Sports HQ, The Early Edge, and VSiN’s A Numbers Game. He and his pal Steve developed a racing algorithm that’s profited over 260 units and $1 million in DFS winnings since 2020.