- Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite this week at the Drydene 400 on May 16th, 2021
- Denny Hamlin is still looking for his first win after yet another top-five finish at Darlington
- We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at Dover International Speedway
NASCAR heads up to the mid-Atlantic with a Sunday afternoon race after last week’s clinic by Martin Truex Jr. at the Goodyear 400. Truex Jr. is a +350 favorite to take home the checkered flag in the Drydene 400 odds. Joey Logano (+1600) is an interesting pick to contend on Sunday given how he has finished at the track in the past. His odds to finish in the top three are listed at +400. Also, watch for Kyle Busch again at Dover.
Let’s take a look at the odds for the NASCAR Drydene 400, and decipher which drivers are the best bets.
NASCAR Drydene 400 Odds
|Driver||Odds to Win at DraftKings||Odds to Finish Top Three||Odds to Finish Top 10|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+350||+100||-670|
Odds as of May 13th
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Martin Truex Jr. Favored to Win at Dover
NASCAR drivers run on a one-mile concrete track when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning just after 2:00 PM EST. That track has been extremely good to Larson, who has finished in the top-three in three of his last four appearances on the Darlington track. Truex Jr. took the checkered flag in last week’s Goodyear 400 after driving one of the most dominant races in NASCAR all season. He led 248 of the 293 laps while sweeping both stages as well.
Not even Kyle Larson could catch the Joe Gibbs Racing driver. As a matter of fact, Truex Jr. baited Larson and others to burn their tires a little faster so that the No. 19 could pull away and win comfortably at Darlington of all places.
He has finished in the top five eight times in his last nine races and third or better six times. That includes a crazy three straight runner-up finishes. The driver led 88 laps in the first installment at Dover last year while he just ran out of laps during the second installment. Based on last week’s win and metrics, Martin Truex Jr. takes the pole for the Sunday race at Dover.
JGR Teammates Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin start on the front row in Cup, while Daniel Hemric will lead the Xfinity Series to green with Justin Allgaier along side. pic.twitter.com/Dn3jenATQM
— Darryl Kinsey Jr (@dkjr12) May 12, 2021
The No. 19 has been excellent at staying near the front of the field. Truex Jr. enjoys the 24 degree banked turns immensely. It is the main reason why the three-time race winner this year has a chance at making it number four.
Drydene 400 Recent Winners
|Year||Race Winner||Pole Position||Most Laps Led|
|2020||Kevin Harvick– Stewart-Haas Racing||Matt DiBenedetto – Wood Brothers Racing||Kevin Harvick– Stewart-Haas Racing|
|2019||Kyle Larson– Chip Ganassi Racing||Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing||Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing|
|2018||Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing||Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing||Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing|
|2017||Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing||Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing||Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing|
Kevin Harvick Comfortable At the Monster Mile
Sports bettors have no history to draw on as this is the first Spring race ever at Dover. Every race held at “The Monster Mile” has taken place in October (except last year when it was held in August due to COVID). The Stewart-Haas driver won the race last August and led the most laps. Harvick is inching up again in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, and the No. 4 nabbed another top-five finish at Darlington last Sunday. Oh, about those top-five finishes at Dover…
— MARY ZIMMERMAN (@Piratemomz) May 11, 2021
Harvick is almost as consistent as Martin Truex Jr. when it comes to Dover. Now, the question is what will track conditions be like on Sunday? The good news is that the weather is expected to be mild and good with temperatures in the 70’s. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver has won three times on the mile track and led 223 laps last year in the Fall race on the way to the checkered flag.
Can Denny Hamlin Finally Win a Race at Last?
The Joe Gibbs Racing driver ended up fifth last week at Darlington and did lead five laps. He did win one of the races at Dover last year. Remember both races at Dover were shortened to 311 laps due to COVID restrictions in 2020. He led a total of 333 laps (115 during the win).
In 7 of the last 10 Dover races, Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10.
Won race #1 last year in dominant fashion. In race #2 he made an unexpected pit stop while running in 3rd on lap 226 which led to his 19th place finish. pic.twitter.com/HJMLF7cVyc
— Ryan (@ifantasyrace) May 12, 2021
When Hamlin won last year, he again led the final laps and pulled away. The other installment of the race saw the No. 11 with that bizarre pit stop. That dropped him too far off from the front to mount any kind of comeback.
Hamlin has 13 top-ten finishes in 30 races at Dover The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has a decent chance to win, but taking a top-three result may be a more solid wager. Unlike Harvick, Hamlin has some less consistent results on the monster mile and yet has solid +600 odds to win along with +155 odds to finish in the top three at the Drydene 400.
The Picks: Kevin Harvick to win (+750); Denny Hamlin to finish Top Three (+155); Joey Logano to finish Top Three (+400)
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