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NASCAR Drydene 400 Odds and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

May 13, 2021 · 6:56 AM PDT

NASCAR Drydene 400 odds - Kevin Harvick - Denny Hamlin
Martin Truex Jr. celebrates in Victory Lane after winning the NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, May 9, 2021, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Terry Renna)
  • Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite this week at the Drydene 400 on May 16th, 2021
  • Denny Hamlin is still looking for his first win after yet another top-five finish at Darlington
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at Dover International Speedway

NASCAR heads up to the mid-Atlantic with a Sunday afternoon race after last week’s clinic by Martin Truex Jr. at the Goodyear 400. Truex Jr. is a +350 favorite to take home the checkered flag in the Drydene 400 odds. Joey Logano (+1600) is an interesting pick to contend on Sunday given how he has finished at the track in the past. His odds to finish in the top three are listed at +400. Also, watch for Kyle Busch again at Dover.

Let’s take a look at the odds for the NASCAR Drydene 400, and decipher which drivers are the best bets.

NASCAR Drydene 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win at DraftKings Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top 10
Martin Truex Jr. +350 +100 -670
Kyle Larson +450 +135 -560
Denny Hamlin +600 +155 -435
Kevin Harvick +750 +200 -375
Kyle Busch +800 +210 -335
Chase Elliott +800 +210 -335
Brad Keselowski +1300 +325 -240
William Byron +1600 +400 -215
Joey Logano +1600 +400 -215
Alex Bowman +1800 +450 -182
Ryan Blaney +2200 +550 -155
Christopher Bell +3000 +750 -118
Kurt Busch +6000 +1500 +160
Matt DiBenedetto +6600 +1600 +185
Austin Dillon +6600 +1600 +185
Tyler Reddick +6600 +1600 +185
Aric Almirola +10000 +2000 +275
Chris Buescher +15000 +3000 +400
Cole Custer +20000 +4000 +450

Odds as of May 13th

Martin Truex Jr. Favored to Win at Dover

NASCAR drivers run on a one-mile concrete track when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning just after 2:00 PM EST. That track has been extremely good to Larson, who has finished in the top-three in three of his last four appearances on the Darlington track. Truex Jr. took the checkered flag in last week’s Goodyear 400 after driving one of the most dominant races in NASCAR all season. He led 248 of the 293 laps while sweeping both stages as well.

Not even Kyle Larson could catch the Joe Gibbs Racing driver. As a matter of fact, Truex Jr. baited Larson and others to burn their tires a little faster so that the No. 19 could pull away and win comfortably at Darlington of all places.

He has finished in the top five eight times in his last nine races and third or better six times. That includes a crazy three straight runner-up finishes. The driver led 88 laps in the first installment at Dover last year while he just ran out of laps during the second installment. Based on last week’s win and metrics, Martin Truex Jr. takes the pole for the Sunday race at Dover.

The No. 19 has been excellent at staying near the front of the field. Truex Jr. enjoys the 24 degree banked turns immensely. It is the main reason why the three-time race winner this year has a chance at making it number four.

Drydene 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 Kevin Harvick– Stewart-Haas Racing Matt DiBenedetto – Wood Brothers Racing Kevin Harvick– Stewart-Haas Racing
2019 Kyle Larson– Chip Ganassi Racing Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing
2017 Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports Racing

Kevin Harvick Comfortable At the Monster Mile

Sports bettors have no history to draw on as this is the first Spring race ever at Dover. Every race held at “The Monster Mile” has taken place in October (except last year when it was held in August due to COVID). The Stewart-Haas driver won the race last August and led the most laps. Harvick is inching up again in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, and the No. 4 nabbed another top-five finish at Darlington last Sunday. Oh, about those top-five finishes at Dover…

Harvick is almost as consistent as Martin Truex Jr. when it comes to Dover. Now, the question is what will track conditions be like on Sunday? The good news is that the weather is expected to be mild and good with temperatures in the 70’s. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver has won three times on the mile track and led 223 laps last year in the Fall race on the way to the checkered flag.

Can Denny Hamlin Finally Win a Race at Last?

The Joe Gibbs Racing driver ended up fifth last week at Darlington and did lead five laps. He did win one of the races at Dover last year. Remember both races at Dover were shortened to 311 laps due to COVID restrictions in 2020. He led a total of 333 laps (115 during the win).

When Hamlin won last year, he again led the final laps and pulled away. The other installment of the race saw the No. 11 with that bizarre pit stop. That dropped him too far off from the front to mount any kind of comeback.

Hamlin has 13 top-ten finishes in 30 races at Dover The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has a decent chance to win, but taking a top-three result may be a more solid wager. Unlike Harvick, Hamlin has some less consistent results on the monster mile and yet has solid +600 odds to win along with +155 odds to finish in the top three at the Drydene 400.

The Picks: Kevin Harvick to win (+750);  Denny Hamlin to finish Top Three (+155); Joey Logano to finish Top Three (+400)


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