NASCAR EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Predictions, Odds & Longshots to Bet

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The NASCAR Cup Series rumbles into the Austin area for the third points event this Sunday, March 2nd, with the NASCAR EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. The green flag drops just before 4:00 pm ET with live coverage on FOX Network.

The 2.356-mile track races differently from what most are used to seeing. Now, it expects to make for some even tighter racing come Sunday afternoon. Currently, oddsmakers are expecting a mostly Chevy mix to contend on Sunday sprinkled with a Toyota or two.

NASCAR EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Odds

At +350 odds (7/2), the implied probability for favorites Shane van Gisbergen and Tyler Reddick is 22.22%. Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott lurk at 12.5%.

If you peaked up here for long shots, check out the tail end of this article.

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NASCAR EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Predictions

Weather should be nice Sunday afternoon. Yes, there will be some wind from a southerly direction. Drivers can anticipate crosswinds on several turns. The track will be warm as temperatures will be around 80 to start the race.

Qualifying held a few surprises. Bubba Wallace can be good on road tracks but he was right up there with Tyler Reddick on Saturday afternoon. After the 23XI Racing (Toyota) front row, there are seven straight Chevy’s including William Byron, Kyle Larson, and Chase Elliott. Elliott has not won a road race since Road America in July of 2021. Since then drivers like Tyler Reddick, Ross Chastain, AJ Allmendinger, and even Shane van Gisbergen have burst onto the scene.

With 20 turns and some long areas to pass and drive around, things can get pretty wild. Ross Chastain won in 2022 and has finished no worse than seventh in his four appearances. That last lap in 2022 was one for the ages, even if AJ Allmendinger would slightly disagree.

Normally, we would play around with Top 3 and Top 5 wagers, but let us get a little more risky here. Tyler Reddick is likely to lead the first part of the race. The question becomes, can he seal the deal? The Hendrick Motorsports cars will have something to say about this. Alex Bowman is 3-for-3 at Top 3’s at COTA. He has been close to winning every time.

Again, with dry conditions, it feels like Chevy is the manufacturer to pick here. Remember, this is a new look 2.356-mile track with 20 turns. Previous versions raced on the longer course. The new layout looks more technical. Even Connor Zilisch (won the Xfinity race) may find the NASCAR level a little too daunting.

If there was a time for Chase Elliott to snap his road racing drought, it is now. Elliott qualified third and liked practicing on this shorter version of the COTA track. He is our best to take it home Sunday evening.

• Best Bet to Win: Chase Elliott (+700 at BetMGM)
• Top 5 Finish: Alex Bowman (+370 at FanDuel)

NASCAR EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Longshot Picks

Yes, being a mere spotter’s hesitation away from betting glory was a little rough last week, but profit was still profit. Anyway, another potential Top 5 pick is Kyle Busch at (+370). He qualified 8th and find ways to get in contention at COTA. His ability to race on road courses is well-documented. Busch is +2800 via FanDuel to win outright, and that number may not last.

It will be more fun to see more 98 and 99-second lap times. Some will break 98 at some point on Sunday. Another wild swing may be Ty Gibbs who excelled in his ARCA days on road courses and has a Top 5 and Top 10 in his first two attempts. With all the turns and technical areas, Gibbs can navigate through the field with the best of the younger and older drivers alike. At +3000, he might be a sleeper that turns into a keeper.

Again, if there is a driver to take a shot on, strategy may help Gibbs and other drivers who qualified from Group 1.

This could be one of those days where it truly is not how you start but how you and your team finish.