Al Ahly vs Palmeiras Odds & Prediction – FIFA Club World Cup 3rd Place Match

• Al Ahly and Palmeiras matchup in the 3rd place playoff in the FIFA Club World Cup
• The fixture takes place on February 11th 2021
• Get the latest odds, betting analysis and a pick below

After losing in the semifinals, Al Ahly vs Palmeiras is the 3rd Place Match of the 2021 FIFA Club World Cup. This fixture will be held at Education City Stadium in Al Rayyan, and it’s the first time the two clubs have met in a competitive match.

The CAF Champions League winners face the Cope Libertadores champions. It might not be for the big trophy they entered this quick competition for, but this is a seismic moment in the history of both clubs. Al Ahly are looking to win the FIFA Club World Cup bronze medal for the second time in their history, after beating Club America at this stage in 2006.

Al Ahly vs Palmeiras Odds

All odds taken Feb 10 at DraftKings

Palmeiras Heavily Favored

Despite both teams suffering semifinal disappointment, Palmeiras are the stronger team on paper and come into this match as heavy favorites. The Brazilian side might count themselves a bit unlucky to lose to Tigres last time out – it was a relatively even match, with Andre-Pierre Gignac’s goal the difference between the sides.

Facing much more challenging opposition, Al Ahly can have no complaints about their 2-0 defeat to Bayern. The Egyptian club mustered only five shots to Bayern’s 24 and were unable to ever get into the game. The European champions had almost 70-percent of the ball and a Robert Lewandowski brace secured a comfortable victory.

The form of the two clubs domestically is contrasting. Palmeiras are off the pace, while Al Ahly are unbeaten in nine matches so far this term. With two games in hand, Al Ahly can go top of the Egyptian Premier League if they win both.

Can't help but feel the football gods have been cruel to us since we've not been allowed into stadiums. We would've had some Derby Days classics..

🇪🇬 Zamalek vs Al Ahly (CAF CL Final)
🇧🇷 Palmeiras vs Santos (Libertadores Final)
🇨🇷 Alajuelense vs Saprissa (CONCACAF League Final) pic.twitter.com/hyJdsxOpnX

— COPA90 (@Copa90) February 9, 2021

Palmeiras have only one victory in their last five matches. They have scored only four goals over that period. Al Ahly won three of four before falling to Bayern.

Difficult Comparisons

It’s difficult to compare the best of one continent with another. It’s very rare these club sides play each other in competitive matches, but generally, South American football is considered to be a lot stronger than even the best African clubs. This Al Ahly team is stacked with big-game experience, however, having reached the CAF Champions League final in three of the last four seasons.

🚨 ⚽️ 🗳️@10APG | @TigresOficial | #Tigres | @LuizAdriano_9 | @Palmeiras | #Palmeiras

Which veteran forward will do better at the #ClubWC?

— FIFA (@FIFAcom) February 3, 2021

There are proven international-caliber players in this Palmeiras squad, though. They might not have the sustained dominance of Al Ahly, but they performed under pressure to win the Copa Libertadores – they will be unfazed by this matchup.

Luiz Adriano scored five times in the Copa Libertadores, and he’s got 10 league goals to his name this term. A return of 0.51 xG per league match is a decent mark. The former Milan striker is the main goal threat in this Palmeiras team, and he looks a great bet to score anytime at +123.

Al Ahly vs Palmeiras Statistics

Palmeiras Have Too Much

Al Ahly will be in the match more than they were against Bayern, but they are unlikely to have enough to avoid defeat. Palmeiras haven’t been prolific of late – we are unlikely to see a high-scoring match.

Over 2.5 total goals has hit in just 20-percent of Palmeiras’ matches per Footy Stats. That figure is up at 40-percent for Al Ahly, but that’s not enough to deter an ‘Under’ 2.5 bet at -103. Palmeiras will likely take control of the match, and they should have the quality to convert pressure into goals despite failing to find the net against Tigres.

🏆🤪😌#AméricaVerde #AlmaECoração pic.twitter.com/GGBcl7G7xQ

— SE Palmeiras (@Palmeiras) February 5, 2021

Palmeiras to win this to nil represents great value at +175. The Brazilian side’s mix of experience and talent rightly makes them favorites to win this one – it will take a heroic performance from Al Ahly to avoid defeat.

Pick: Palmeiras to win to nil (+175)