Australia vs Denmark Odds & Prediction – World Cup Group D

• It’s Australia vs Denmark in Round 3 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup on Wednesday, November 30
• A win guarantees the Aussies a place in the last 16 but for the winless Danes, only victory will do
• We preview Australia vs Denmark, look at the odds, and offer some picks

It’s Australia vs Denmark on Wednesday, November 30 in the final round of Group D fixtures in the 2022 FIFA World Cup. It all kicks off in the Al Janoub Stadium at 10am ET.

Everything is on the line in this group, with second-placed Australia knowing a win will guarantee them a place in the last 16 for only the second time. Denmark, meanwhile, are still without a win and only three points will do if they are to give themselves a chance of qualification.

We preview Australia vs Denmark, look at the World Cup odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Australia vs Denmark Odds

Odds as of Nov 29 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Denmark kicks off here as big odds-on favorites at -185, with an implied win probability of 65%, while Australia, listed at a huge +550, have an implied probability of just 15%. The draw, at +320, is generously priced and implied at 24%.

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Over/Under and Spread

DraftKings are not offering plus money until we get up to 3.5 goals in the game, which is offered at +230. The under is much less generously priced at -295, and so if you see this turning into an end-to-end goal-fest you know what to do.

Australia vs Denmark Preview

Australia’s 1-0 win over Tunisia on Matchday 2 has put them in a great position to qualify for the knockout phase for only the second time ever – the last time was in 2006 – but they still have a job to do against the win-less Danes.

A draw will probably be enough, barring a freak win for the Tunisians over France, and this could be a good thing as the Aussies have a very poor record against European opposition – losing eight of their last 11 games. They did however manage a 1-1 with the Danes in the group stages in Russia 2018.

AUS 2/222 🏏

Recovery at @Aspetar.#Socceroos #GiveIt100 #FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/iNzpf5gqk4

— Socceroos (@Socceroos) November 29, 2022

A First Clean Sheet in Finals Since 1974!

On that basis of a draw being good enough, a solid defensive performance could well see them through and so they will be buoyed by the clean sheet they kept against Tunisia – their first in a World Cup finals tournament since 1974.

At the other end of the pitch, they have looked dangerous and it’s worth noting that despite eventually losing 4-1 to France in their opening game, they did take the lead in that game.

Australia vs Denmark Head-to-Head Stats

Disappointment for the Danes

Despite Denmark qualifying for the tournament with the most points in UEFA qualification, they’ve had a disappointing opening two games – drawing 0-0 with Tunisia in their opener and then losing 2-1 to France.

They will have taken some encouragement from the France defeat though, as they played well and were only beaten by a Kylian Mbappe goal scored just four minutes from the end of normal time.

Christian Eriksen created 5 chances in Denmark’s game against Tunisia. No player has created more at the World Cup so far.

Creator. 💫 pic.twitter.com/bIuVbWtp5M

— Statman Dave (@StatmanDave) November 22, 2022

Danes Hoping to Replicate Their Euro 2020 Heroics

So all is far from lost for Kasper Hjulmand’s men who made it to the semifinals of last summer’s European Championships despite losing their first two group games. It then took a phenomenal performance from them in their third game, against Russia, to see them qualify, and so will be hoping that history repeats itself.

A win against Australia would end a miserable run of five World Cup finals games without a win, and for that to happen they will be relying heavily on Christian Eriksen, who created five goalscoring opportunities in the Tunisia game.

Australia vs Denmark Team Lineups and Injuries

Australia Projected Lineup: Ryan, Karacic, Souttar, Rowles, Behich, Leckie, Irvine, Mooy, McGree, Goodwin, Duke.

Injuries & absences: Boyle.

Denmark Projected Lineup: Schmeichel, Andersen, Kjaer, Christensen, Kristensen, Hojbjerg, Eriksen, Maehle, Skov Olsen, Dolberg, Damsgaard.

Injuries & absences: Delaney.

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Australia vs Denmark Prediction

Denmark have no option but to go for it against the Aussies, and this may work in their favor. Their performance level against the French was good, despite the final score, and more of the same but with the handbrake off would likely be enough to edge a win.

Despite Australia’s tempting odds, for me the value lies with the Danes and a narrow victory.

Pick: Denmark to win (-210) / Denmark to win 2-1 (+850) 

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