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Barcelona vs Villarreal Odds & Prediction – La Liga Week 10 (Oct 20)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Oct 20, 2022 · 5:08 AM PDT

Barcelona players celebrate a goal
Jul 23, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Barcelona players celebrate a goal scored by midfielder Raphael Dias (22) during a game against Real Madrid at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
  • In La Liga on Thursday, October 20 it’s Barcelona vs Villarreal in the Camp Nou
  • Barca will be smarting after losing 3-1 to Real Madrid in Sunday’s El Clasico
  • We preview the game, look at the Barcelona vs Villarreal odds, and offer some picks below

It’s Barcelona vs Villarreal in La Liga on Thursday, October 20 at the Camp Nou, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00pm ET.

Barca’s 3-1 defeat in El Clasico at the weekend makes this an even bigger game for the Catalans as they look to appease their disappointed fans, while it was a better weekend for the Yellow Submarine who beat Osasuna 2-0.

We preview the game, look at the La Liga odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Barcelona -215
Villarreal +525
Draw +350

Odds as of Oct 20 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Barca are listed as odds-on favorites for the win at -215 and have a 68% implied win probability. Villarreal, unsurprisingly are pitched as big outsiders at +525 with a win probability of just 16%. The draw is attractively priced at +350.

 

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars are expecting goals in this game with under 2.5 listed at +140, while over is on offer at -180.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in La Liga and other top leagues.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction

Barca’s outstanding early-season form took a hit at the weekend when they lost the first El Clasico of the season. Real Madrid’s 3-1 win at the Santiago Bernabeau was Barcelona’s first La Liga setback since opening day when they drew with Rayo Vallecano. In between, they won seven league games on the spin – scoring 20 and conceding just one along the way.

But it was a disappointing evening in the capital for Barca, with Karim Benzema and Federico Valverde putting Los Blancos 2-0 up before Ferran Torres pulled one back. Any hope of grabbing a point was extinguished when Rodrygo’s 91st-minute penalty sealed the points.

Barca’s UCL Struggles

It ended a disappointing week for Barca who, in midweek, only managed a 3-3 draw with Inter Milan in the UEFA Champions League – a result that put in doubt their chances of qualification for the knockout stages.

With the possibility of an early from the UCL, it is therefore doubly vital that Barca keep the pressure on Real to keep alive their chances of a first La Liga title since 2018-19. Home games against the likes of Villarreal simply have to be won.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats

Barcelona
VS
Villarreal
7-1-1 La Liga record 4-3-2
21 / 4 Goals for / Goals against 12 / 3
59 Shots on target 51
115 Fouls 119
20 / 1 Yellow / Red cards 18 / 0
2nd Current league position 7th
W-W-L-W-D-L Form guide (all competitions) D-D-W-L-W-W

Inconsistent Start for the Yellow Submarine

For the Yellow Submarine, the 2-0 victory over Osasuna on Monday was timely given their inconsistent start to the campaign. After winning just three of their opening eight games, they badly needed a win to reignite their season and it arrived thanks to a brace from Arnaut Danjuma – his first goals of the season.

Prior to Monday’s success, Unai Emery’s team had failed to build on two wins from their first two games, with disappointing losses against close rivals Real Betis and Real Sociedad and dropped points against Cadiz and Getafe. As a result, they fell out of the top six and the Europen places.

UEFA Conference League Success for Emery’s Men

But, despite their inconsistency in La Liga, things have gone well for Villarreal in the UEFA Conference League. Four wins from their opening four games have seen them open up a seven-point lead at the top of Group C and assure themselves of a place in the knockout stage of the tournament.

While the task of winning in the Camp Nou on Thursday looks huge, Villarreal will draw on the fact they won 2-0 there last season. It was their first win over Barca in 27 attempts, but for those players in the side that day – and there will likely be at least six starting on Thursday – it will act as a reminder that it can be done.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Team Lineups and Injuries

Barcelona Projected Lineup: Ter Stegen, Alba, Pique, Kounde, Roberto, Pedri, Busquets, Gavi, Fati, Lewandowski, Torres.

Injuries & absences: Araujo, Depay, Christensen.

Villarreal Projected Lineup: Rulli, Pedraza, Torres, Albiol, Femenia, Parejo, Capoue, Lo Celso, Morales, Danjuma, Baena.

Injuries & absences: Coquelin, Foyth, Moreno (G).

2024 La Liga Odds Tracker
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Barcelona vs Villarreal Picks

It takes a brave bettor to wage against Barca at the Camp Nou any day, let alone when they are hurting after experiencing defeat in El Clasico. Xavi’s men will be bursting to put right some of the wrongs of last Sunday and it’s hard to make a case for anything beside a home win.

Therefore, taking a punt on the score may be the way to go and, given Villarreal’s tight defense, a low-scoring Barca win looks the most likely outcome.

Picks: Barcelona to win (-215) / Barcelona to win 2-0 (+800) / Under 2.5 goals (+140) 

 

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