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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Odds & Prediction – Bundesliga Week 9

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Oct 7, 2022 · 12:00 PM PDT

Mane. Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
Jul 20, 2022; Washington, DC, USA; Bayern Munich forward Sadio Mane (17) chases the ball against D.C. United at Audi Field. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich on Matchday 9 of the German Bundesliga on Saturday, October 8
  • Third plays fourth in the first Der Klassiker of the season, with Bayern odds on for the win
  • We preview the game, look at the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich odds, and offer some picks below

It’s Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich on Matchday 9 in the Bundesliga’s Der Klassiker on Saturday, October 8 at the Westfalenstadion. It all kicks off in Dortmund at 12:30pm ET.

The two big rivals are currently third and fourth in the table going into the game – both on 15 points – with Bayern’s far superior goal difference giving them the advantage.

We preview this massive top-flight German clash, look at the Bundesliga odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Borussia Dortmund +330
Bayern Munich -155
Draw +370

Odds as of Oct 7 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Bayern are, as always, listed as odds-on favorites for the win at -155, which translates to a  61% implied win probability. By implication, BVB are outsiders and pitched at +330, which equates to a win probability of 23%. The draw is generously priced at +370.

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars are undecided as to how this one will go in terms of goals with both over and under 2.5 listed at -115.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in the Bundesliga and other top leagues.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction

BVB’s disappointing 3-2 defeat away to FC Koln last weekend was hardly ideal preparation for their midweek trip to Sevilla in the Champions League but they turned things around to produce their best performance of the season so far to win 4-1.

Goals from Jude Bellingham – their captain for the evening – Raphael Guerreiro, Karim Adeyemi, and Julian Brandt were more than enough to record an outstanding result and set themselves up perfectly for the first Der Klassiker of the season.

BVB in a Good Place

While BVB’s league form has been a bit patchy by their own high standards, Terzic’s men are still in a good place and will believe anything is possible after the win in Spain – including a victory over their oldest rivals.

Their recent form against the reigning champions isn’t good, however, with eight consecutive defeats but this doesn’t look to be a classic Bayern team. A noisy and boisterous Westfalenstadion will make life difficult for the visitors and an extra incentive is knowing a win will take them above the Bavarians in the Bundesliga table.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats

Borussia Dortmund
VS
Bayern Munich
5-0-3 Bundesliga record 4-3-1
11 / 10 Goals for / Goals against 23 / 6
118 Shots 184
54 Possession (%) 62
19 / 0 Yellow / Red cards 11 / 0
4th Current league position 3rd
W-L-L-W-L-W Form guide (all competitions) W-D-W-L-W-W

Shaky Start but Bayern Now Back on Track

Two wins in their last two have steadied the ship in Munich, after what has been an unusually shaky start to the season. A fine 4-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen last Friday was followed up with an even more emphatic 5-0 win over Czech side Viktoria Plzen on Tuesday night in the Champions League.

The win at home over Plzen maintained their 100% record in Group C of the UCL and opened up a six-point gap between them and third-placed Barcelona with three left to play. Their Bundesliga form has not been as impressive but worth noting is that they have still only lost once.

Toughest Challenge of the Season

Bayern’s trip to the Westfalenstadion will, on paper, be their toughest challenge of the season so far but Julian Nagelsmann’s men appear to have finally found their feet after a really good week. A run of four games without a win before the international break had put Nagelsmann under pressure but his position now looks secure.

Their trip to Dortmund has been made that little bit more tricky with Thomas Muller and Joshua Kimmich both returning positive COVID-19 tests this week, so their midfield resources will be pushed to the limit, but if anyone can cope with the loss of two key midfielders it’s Bayern.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Team Lineups and Injuries

BVB Projected Lineup: Kobel, Meunier, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Guerreiro, Bellingham, Can, Ozcan, Adeyemi, Brandt, Malen.

Injuries & absences: Morey, Bynoe-Gittens, Dahoud, Reus, Haller.

Bayern Projected Lineup: Neuer, Pavard, Upamecano, De Ligt, Davies, Sabitzer, Goretzka, Sane, Musiala, Mane, Gnabry.

Injuries & absences: Muller, Kimmich.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Pick

Bayern’s short odds make the away win an unattractive bet, and the loss of two key midfielders have certainly edged things in Dortmund’s direction.

A lively home crowd will make this a stern test for Bayern and it could be one where both teams would be content with not losing. On that basis, the draw at +370 looks well worth a shout.

Pick: BVB and Bayern Munich to draw (+370)

 

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