Brazil vs Norway Odds – Opening Moneyline, Total, Odds to Advance for R16
By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Published:
- Brazil will face Norway in the round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup
- A Seleção are sizable favorites to reach the quarterfinals
- See the opening Brazil vs Norway odds, including the 3-way moneyline, total, and odds to advance
After coming from behind in the round of 32, Brazil will face a hyper-dangerous Norway team in the round of 16 on Sunday, July 5, in East Rutherford, NJ.
Norway narrowly advanced past Ivory Coast (2-1) as not-insignificant chalk on Tuesday. In the round of 16, they will enter as underdogs against the five-time world champions.
Brazil vs Norway Odds (Round of 16)
Brazil has opened as a 67-cent favorite at Kalshi in the odds to reach the quarterfinals, which translates to -203 odds in traditional sportsbook terms. Norway is trading at 36¢ (equal to +178 odds) to advance past the round of 16.
The three-way moneyline has opened at theScore Bet and favors Brazil at -125 (55.56% implied win probability). A full-time draw is +270 (27.03% implied probability) while a Norway win in regulation is a +340 longshot (22.73% implied probability).
Editor’s note: in the minutes after the matchup was finalized, Brazil’s price fell to 65¢ (-186) while Norway’s climbed as high as 38¢ (+163).
Click “Predict” in the graphic above to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi sign-up bonus. Readers who do not live in a Kalshi region can claim the Polymarket sign-up bonus for access to similar prices.
Brazil Overcomes Slow Start (Again) in Round of 32
In the first game of the group stage, Brazil fell behind Morocco 1-0 early – and were thoroughly outplayed in the opening half hour – before rallying for a 1-1 draw. On Monday, the script was all too familiar for A Seleção, as a lethargic attack conceded to a Japan counterattack, leading to a 1-0 halftime deficit against the Blue Samurai.
But it proved a tale of two halves as Brazil dominated the final 45 minutes. Casemiro equalized on a bullet header (off a brilliant cross from Gabriel) in the 56th minute before substitute Gabriel Martinelli scored the winner in the sixth minute of stoppage time.
On the whole, the second half built on a solid two-game streak to end the group stage, which saw Brazil dominate Haiti (3-0) and Scotland (3-0). The variety in goalscorers was a welcome sight; Vinicius Jr (4) and Matheus Cunha (3) accounted for all seven of Brazil’s markers in the group stage.
Despite the building momentum, Brazil only sits fifth in the odds to win the World Cup, trading at 7.4% (+1270) at prediction site Kalshi.
Norway Attack Launches Vikings to Round of 16
Norway piled up eight goals in the group stage (four from Erling Haaland) and added another pair in their 2-1 win over a game Ivory Coast squad in the round of 32 on Tuesday afternoon. Haaland added his fifth of the tournament, the game-winner, in the 86th minute.
Antonio Nusa gave Norway a 1-0 lead late in the first half before Amad Diallo equalized for the Ivorians in the 74th.
While Haaland’s decider was a mis-hit, the first two goals of the game were stunners.
Norway is trading at 2.5 cents (+3900) to win its first World Cup.
Norway has a stunningly good history against Brazil, winning twice and drawing twice in four all-time meetings. Unfortunately for the Vikings, the most-recent game was in 2006.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
