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Europa League Round of 16 Leg 2 Odds & Predictions

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Mar 17, 2021 · 9:37 AM PDT

Europa League
Tottenham's Son Heung-min receives medical attention during the English Premier League soccer match between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur at the Emirates stadium in London, England, Sunday, March 14, 2021. (Julian Finney/Pool via AP)
  • The second legs of the Europa League’s round of 16 take place this Thursday, March 17
  • If results go their way there could be four British teams left in the last eight
  • We list the odds for all eight games and preview three, offering our best picks

The Europa League round of 16 concludes this Thursday, March 17, with eight second-leg ties. Of the three EPL sides still in the competition, Manchester United, Tottenham, and Arsenal, the two North London clubs look set for a last-eight place, but there is still work to do for United. The other British team, Scottish champions Rangers, also have a chance of making it to the quarterfinals after a good result in their first leg tie.

We list all eight games, show the odds, preview three, and offer a pick for each below.

Europa League Round of 16 Leg 2 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus -520 +380 +650
Dinamo Zagreb vs Tottenham +285 +250 -104
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Roma +170 +255 +150
Molde vs Granada CF +195 +245 +135
AC Milan vs Manchester United +230 +240 +118
Young Boys vs Ajax +205 +300 +110
Villarreal vs Dynamo Kyiv -182 +295 +550
Rangers FC vs Slavia Prague +132 +230 +215

All odds taken Mar 17 at DraftKings

AC Milan vs Manchester United Prediction

The Rossoneri have their sights on a place in the last eight of the Europa League after Simon Kjaer’s 92nd-minute equalizer at Old Trafford last Thursday saw them return home level at 1-1. They do however have to overcome the psychological blow of seeing their Serie A title hopes all but disappear after losing 1-0 to Napoli at the weekend, but this may also be the incentive they need to find a way past United.

One downside is that veteran striker and former United star Zlatan Ibrahimovic is rated doubtful with an abductor injury; a costly omission for AC if the Swede is unable to make it. For United, Anthony Martial is a fitness doubt but Paul Pogba and Edinson Cavani could be available for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.

Given how close the game was at Old Trafford, we should expect another tight one at the San Siro, with possibly only a single goal separating the teams after 180 minutes. While United starts as favorites, the value here is with a narrow Milan win that would take them through to the last eight, should they be able to win in regulation. AC Milan to simply advance by any means sees odds of +120, while Milan to advance after extra-time has odds of +2200.

Pick: AC Milan to win (+230)

Dinamo Zagreb vs Tottenham Prediction

Dinamo needs to overcome a 2-0 deficit against Tottenham when the two meet at the Stadion Maksimir. But despite heading home with a two-goal deficit, the Croatian champions played well in North London and will go into this knowing that an early goal could be enough to throw the tie wide open. The flip side is that an early goal for Spurs would likely end the tie.

Zagreb will also be boosted by an outstanding 5-0 win at the weekend over Varazdin, and so should not be written off, especially with Jose Mourinho’s Tottenham side being inconsistent since the start of 2021. At the weekend, they suffered the disappointment of a narrow 2-1 defeat at the Emirates in the North London derby.

For Spurs, Son Heung-min will probably miss out after getting injured against Arsenal but with an array of attacking talent at Mourinho’s disposal, they will cause problems for Dinamo. The problem for Spurs is a defensive fragility and the early goal for Zagreb, mentioned earlier, could make this interesting. Therefore, the value is with the draw, one that would be enough to send Spurs through.

Pick: Dinamo Zagreb & Tottenham to draw (+250)

Rangers FC vs Slavia Prague Prediction

The season has been an outstanding one for Steven Gerrard’s Rangers, who already have the Scottish Premier League title in the bag, and a 1-1 draw in Prague has given them a great chance to make the last eight of the Europa League. Even without a full Ibrox behind them, the Gers will be hopeful that home advantage will tilt the tie in their favor.

Slavia though is also having an outstanding season and is already champion-elect in the Czech Liga with a huge 14 point lead with just 11 rounds left, as well as still being in their domestic cup competitions. They head to Glasgow in great form, having won 3-0 away at Mlada Boleslav at the weekend, and confident of being able to head home with that prized place in the last eight.

So, two in-form teams who are used to winning but something has to give, at least in terms of one of them getting knocked out of the competition. There is, however, a good chance of this being another draw after 90 minutes and possibly after extra-time too. At +230, this is where the value can be found. Braver bettors could back a draw after extra-time and the match to be decided in penalties at +1400.

Pick: Rangers & Slavia Prague to draw (+230)

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