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Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Coppa Italia Final

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated May 23, 2023 · 12:30 PM PDT

Lautaro Martinez of Inter Milan celebrates
Lautaro Martinez of Inter Milan celebrates during the Italian Serie A match Internazionale v Lazio at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy on August 26, 2022. (Photo by sportphoto24/Imago/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS---NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****
  • Fiorentina and Inter face-off in the 2023 Coppa Italia final on Wednesday
  • Inter are priced at -110 to win the match inside 90 minutes at FanDuel
  • Read below for our full preview, statistics and a Fiorentina vs Inter Milan prediction

Fiorentina and Inter Milan meet in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday at the Stadio Olimpico. This is the third match between the teams this season, with the sides winning one fixture apiece. Fiorentina are embarking on their 11th Coppa Italia final, and their first since 2014. Inter are looking to defend the trophy they won in 2022. Already the third-most successful team in the history of the competition, the club from Milan can go level with Roma on nine Coppa Italia wins if they defeat Fiorentina this week. Are they the best bet to do so in our Fiorentina vs Inter Milan prediction?

These teams clashed in the Coppa Italia back in 2021, with an extra-time goal from Romelu Lukaku sending Inter through as 2-1 winners. Since then, Inter have won three of the five league meetings.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Fiorentina +270
Inter Milan -110
Draw +230

Inter are -110 favorites on the moneyline, with Fiorentina at +270 despite beating Inter when the teams met at San Siro last month. La Viola are handed just a 27% implied probability of winning the match. At -198 to lift the trophy, Inter have an implied probability of 66.4%. The bookies are expecting both teams to score with BTTS given a -136 price.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan odds as of May 23rd at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on the Coppa Italia Final.


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Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Over/Under and Spread

The over/under for this match is placed at 2.5 goals, with -118 on both the under and over. Fiorentina won 1-0 when these last matched up, but it was a seven-goal thriller when they clashed in Florence earlier this season. Naturally, the spread leans towards Inter, though the favorites -1 is out at +270. Fiorentina +1 is -125.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Preview

Both managers were able to rest several of their starters at the weekend. Fiorentina, locked into mid-table mediocrity, played out a draw with Torino, while Inter lost away to champions Napoli. The Nerazzurri will welcome Edin Dzeko and Lautaro Martinez back into the starting lineup for this match. They were on an eight-match winning streak prior to their defeat to Napoli, a run which included two victories against city rivals Milan in the Champions League last four.

Fiorentina have also enjoyed continental success of late, knocking Basel out of the Conference League to set up a final date with West Ham. The opportunity to win two pieces of silverware is massive for La Viola — the club has not won a trophy since defeating Parma over two legs in the 2000-01 Coppa Italia final. They have saved their best performances for knockout competitions this season. The defense has been a concern of late, however, as Vincenzo Italiano’s side have kept just three clean sheets in their last 13 matches across all competitions.

Inter’s back line has been considerably sturdier with six clean sheets from their last nine. The attack has more than enough firepower from Dzeko and Martinez, and they have plenty of creativity even with Henrikh Mkhitaryan ruled out through injury.

Fiorentina are a possession-oriented team, with only Napoli averaging more possession in Serie A this term. Inter can be devastating in transition but can also control matches. Despite Inter’s good defensive record of late, this could descend into a very open match when considering your Fiorentina vs Inter Milan prediction.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Lineups & Injuries

Fiorentina Projected Lineup: Terracciano; Dodo, Milenkovic, Igor, Biraghi; Bonaventura, Amrabat, Mandragora; Gonzalez, Jovic, Ikone.

Fiorentina Injuries:  Sirigu.

Inter Milan Projected Lineup: Handanovic; Darmian, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Calhanoglu, Dimarco; Martinez, Dzeko.

Inter Milan Injuries: Skriniar, Mkhitaryan.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Statistics

Inter Milan
75 Goals 94
15.9 Shots taken per 90 15.6
455.7 Passes per 90 488.8
109 yellows, 3 reds Cards 93 yellows, 5 reds
9.4 Shots inside the area per 90 8.8

*Stats from all comps

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction

Fiorentina have failed to score just twice in their last 24 matches. Inter are a good defensive team, but the underdogs have plenty of talent in the final third to be able to create chances. Both teams to score seems like a lock here, even with the pressure of a final often leading to cagier matches.

To complete this same-game parlay, we are also going to back over 3.5 total cards in our Fiorentina vs Inter Milan picks. There has been four or more total cards in four of the last five matches between these teams, and both have accumulated more than their fair share of bookings this season.

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Picks: Both teams to score and over 3.5 total cards (+120)

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