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Man City vs Arsenal Odds & Prediction – Community Shield Picks

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated Aug 5, 2023 · 7:10 AM PDT

Jurrien Timber defended by Christian Eriksen
Jul 22, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Arsenal defender Jurrien Timber (12) controls the ball in front of Manchester United midfielder Christian Eriksen (14) during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • England’s top-level opening game takes place at historic Wembley Stadium at 11am ET on Sunday
  • Man City lifted a Treble last season as they won Premier League ahead of second-placed Arsenal
  • See our Arsenal vs Man City prediction, odds and best bets for Community Shield clash in London

The showpiece Community Shield curtain-raiser for top-level English football takes place in Arsenal vs Man City at Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

The match is played annually between the previous season’s Premier League champions – Man City – and the FA Cup winners.

However, Pep Guardiola’s Man City side won both the title and the FA Cup, with its triumph in the Champions League final against Inter Milan completing a historic Treble.

Therefore, Arsenal will provide the opposition this weekend because it placed second in the Premier League.

Although the game is a friendly, it has increasingly been regarded with importance by coaches in recent seasons . It offers a morale-boosting chance to kick off the season by lifting silverware ahead of the Premier League title race.

Kick-off is at 11am ET. The Premier League season begins six days later on August 11.

Arsenal vs Man City Odds

Result Moneyline
Arsenal +310
Man City -135
Draw +280

After sweeping all before it last season, Man City is a favorite of -135 at Draftkings to open the new season with a win at Wembley.

Arsenal led the Premier League for much of last season but was eventually overhauled by Man City.

Therefore, Arsenal is priced at +310 this weekend – with the draw after 90 minutes at +280.

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These two teams are most favored among the odds for winning the Premier League.

Man City is rated at -125 for a sixth success in seven seasons. Arsenal is a wide second favorite at +400.

The game will go directly to a penalty-shootout if the scores are level after 90 minutes.


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Arsenal vs Man City Over/Under & Spread

These two teams were by far the highest-scoring in the Premier League last season.

Man City racked up a tally of 94 goals while Arsenal hit 88.

Guardiola’s team also has the hugely prolific striker Erling Haaland who scored no fewer than 52 times. Therefore, it seems there will be goals on this occasion.

A price of +165 is on offer for there to be at least four goals (Ov 3.5.) For only one goal, the offer is +360 (Un 1.5.)

Meanwhile, Man City is priced at + 475 to win by at least three goals (Spread -2.5.)

For Arsenal to win by one goal there is a price of +285.

Arsenal vs Man City Preview

Fuelled by Erling Haaland’s goals and its star-studded squad, Man City is the supreme force in English football.

They’ve won six of the last seven Premier League titles, two FA Cup, four EFL Cups and two Community Shields since Pep Guardiola became coach in 2016. It has lost just once in its last 26 competitive matches.

However, it was defeated 3-1 by Liverpool in last season’s Community Shield match – with Haaland scoring Man City’s goal.

The Croatian defender Josko Gvardiol has been completing a $114 million move to Man City from RB Leipzig. But he is not expected to be available on Sunday.

Guardiola’s team will also be without influential playmaker Kevin De Bruyne who has a hamstring injury. 

Midfielder Mateo Kovacic could appear for Man City following his $4 million move from Chelsea. Creative forces Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan have both left the club.

Arsenal have made three major signings this summer. 

Midfielder Declan Rice arrived from West Ham for a huge $140 million fee. Forward Kai Havertz has been secured from Chelsea and defender Jurrien Timber was recruited from Ajax.

Gunners coach Mikel Arteta hopes these players will support a more sustained title challenge this time around.

However, he will be without injured striker Gabriel Jesus at Wembley on Sunday – with Eddie Nketiah expected to be the focus up front.

Arsenal vs Man City Statistics

Man City
28 Wins 26
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 8
94 Goals 88
33 Goals Against 43
57 Yellow Cards 44
0 Red Cards 1
14 Clean Sheets 13

*Statistics from EPL  Final Table 2022-2023.

Erling Haaland To Score Odds

Given his 52 goals last season, Norwegian Erling Haaland is the player most favored to hit the net on this Wembley occasion at -105.

To score first or last, he is rated at +260.

His World Cup-winning Argentine team-mate Julain Alvarez is priced at -105.

Furthermore, City’s Phil Foden is priced at +210 to hit the target.

For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli and Marton Odegaard all hit 15 goals last season.

Martinelli is priced at +350 to score this weekend – or +850 to score first or last.

Saka, Nketiah and Odegaard are also priced at +350. Moreover, the new arrival Havertz carries the same price too.

Arsenal vs Man City History

Manchester City was a thumping 4-1 winner at home against Arsenal during the Premier League title run-in last April.

Previously last season, there was a 3-1 win for Manchester City in London.
Furthermore, City scored a 1-0 win at home against the Gunners in the FA Cup last January.

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Arsenal vs Man City Line-Ups & Injuries

 Arsenal projected line-up: Ramsdale; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Tomiyasu; Odegaard, Rice, Partey; Saka, Nketiah, Martinelli

 Arsenal Injuries: Jesus

Manchester City projected line-up: Ederson; Walker, Dias, Akanji; Stones, Rodri; Silva, Kovacic, Foden, Grealish; Haaland

 Manchester City Injuries: De Bruyne

Arsenal vs Man City Prediction

 This game could be a very attacking showpiece affair with both sides keen to lay down a marker after their title tussle last season. And when there are goals, Erling Haaland is usually among them. At this price, choosing him to score first or last is an attractive proposition.

Pick: Erling Haaland +260  (To Score First Or Last)

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