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Manchester City Favored to Win 2018-19 FA Cup

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 5:25 PM PDT

Sergio Agüero
Can Sergio Agüero and Manchester City win England's FA Cup for the first time since 2011? Photo by Rodolfohdz2419 (Wiki Commons) [CC License]
  • Man City are currently listed as favorites to win England’s FA Cup
  • Will City be able to give the tournament their full attention?
  • Which team offers the best value to win?

The oldest national football competition in the world, England’s FA Cup was first won in 1872 by Wanderers.

Last year the tournament had over 700 teams participate and saw Chelsea defeat Manchester United in the final.

This year the reigning Premier League champions Manchester City are tipped as favorites by the bookies with odds of +400.

Odds To Win FA Cup

Team Odds
Manchester City +400
Liverpool +600
Chelsea +700
Manchester United +800
Tottenham Hotspur +800
Arsenal +900
Everton +2000
Leicester City +2500
Wolves +2500
West Ham +3300
Watford +4000
Southampton +5000
Bournemouth +5000
Crystal Palace +5000
Fulham +6600

*For a full list please visit the link in the table

On Friday, the tournament’s Third Round begins, which sees Premier League teams take the pitch for the first time, having already gained automatic qualification to this stage.

As favorites to repeat as Premier League champions when the season began, as well as currently still favored to win Champions League, it’s no wonder City are also expected to have success in the FA Cup.

Until recently, Man City had once again been atop the EPL table and are now into the Round of 16 of Champions League as well. A recent speed bump has seen the Cityzens drop to second with a record of 15-2-3.

The FA Cup, despite its long history has lost some of its luster over the years. With higher profile trophies on the line, bigger clubs often take the opportunity to rest players in the earlier stages of the tournament.

This means upsets are often in the cards and such was the case last season. Man City were eliminated in the Fifth Round to League One side Wigan, a team from two divisions below.

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FA Cup: A Tournament To Look For Value

Winning the Premier League doesn’t necessarily correlate to success in the FA Cup.

The last time a team won both in the same season came back in 2010 when Chelsea completed the domestic double. Chelsea are the only side to do so in the past ten years.

A team from outside of England’s top league has not won since West Ham United in 1980

Picking the FA Cup winner may not be as simple as looking to the top of the EPL table. However, you likely need not look past picking a Premier League side. A team from outside of England’s top league has not won since West Ham United in 1980.

FA Cup Finalists 2009-2018

Year Winner EPL Rank Runner-Up EPL Rank
2018 Chelsea 5 Manchester United 2
2017 Arsenal 5 Chelsea 1
2016 Manchester United 5 Crystal Palace 15
2015 Arsenal 3 Aston Villa 17
2014 Arsenal 4 Hull City 16
2013 Wigan Athletic 18 Manchester City 2
2012 Chelsea 6 Liverpool 8
2011 Manchester City 3 Stoke City 13
2010 Chelsea 1 Portsmouth 20
2009 Chelsea 3 Everton 5

In each of the past ten years the winner and finalist have come from the Premier League.

The runner-up can often come from anywhere in the EPL standings. Even 20th ranked Portsmouth, who had only 19 points, reached the final against Chelsea in 2010.

Avoid Teams With Heavy Fixture List

With Liverpool, Manchester City, and Tottenham all still alive for the EPL title race, each league game will be extremely important.

Those three, plus Manchester United are also still competing in the Champions League. This means fixture lists will likely become congested in the new year.

Liverpool have arguably also drawn the toughest FA Cup Third Round opponent with fellow EPL side Wolverhampton. Bournemouth and Brighton are the only other Premier League sides to be facing off this round.

Both Chelsea and Arsenal are still participating in Europa League action. However, competition in that tournament is not nearly as high compared to Champions League.

The FA Cup winner will likely come down to which team is able to fully commit to winning it. The trophy could also be viewed as a consolation prize for a side who fails to finish top four in the EPL.

Best Bets To Lift The FA Cup

The past three years a fifth place EPL team has won, which right now presents Arsenal or Manchester United as your best value plays.

After a disappointing start to the season, and a likely exit from the Champions League against French side PSG, winning the FA Cup could be something for new Man U boss Ole Gunner Solskjaer to motivate his side to shoot for.

As a longshot, look to Wolverhampton, who are currently paying +2500. The newly promoted side rank seventh in the EPL and have more than held their own against top competition this season.

Wolves have defeated Chelsea and Tottenham, while they drew to the likes of Man City, Man United, and Arsenal.

They will also have the advantage of hosting Liverpool just four days after Liverpool travel to Manchester to face City it a match with massive title implications.

FA Cup Bets: Manchester United +800, Arsenal +900, Wolves +2500

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