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MLS Week 33 Odds & Picks: New England vs Colorado, DC vs New York & SKC vs Los Angeles

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Oct 26, 2021 · 7:38 PM PDT

MLS Week 33
FILE - New England Revolution goalkeeper Brad Knighton hugs forward Gustavo Bou (7) following their victory over CF Montreal in an MLS soccer match in Foxborough, Mass., in this Sunday, July 25, 2021, file photo. The New England Revolution are the surprising, or maybe not so surprising, leaders in Major League Soccer as the league heads into to the post-All-Star game stretch run. (AP Photo/Mary Schwalm, File)
  • MLS Week 33 takes place from October 26-27, 2021 with 12 matches
  • The New England Revolution can claim the all-time regular season points record with a win
  • Read on for the odds and our best bets from MLS Week 33

The matches are coming fast and furious as the MLS regular season winds down. MLS Week 33 features LAFC and the Seattle Sounders as a standalone match on Tuesday at 10:30 pm EST before a full slate of 11 matches kicks off on Wednesday.

Let’s look ahead to the odds and best bets from the MLS Week 33 schedule below.

MLS Week 33 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
LAFC vs Seattle Sounders -120 +265 +340
New England Revolution vs Colorado Rapids -145 +310 +390
Atlanta United vs Inter Miami CF -215 +370 +600
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC +125 +250 +220
DC United vs New York Red Bulls +125 +240 +235
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC +300 +265 -110
NYCFC vs Chicago Fire -230 +400 +600
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union +160 +245 +170
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake +105 +275 +245
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy -120 +295 +310
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes -120 +310 +310
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United +135 +255 +195

Odds as of Oct 26 at DraftKings

New England Revolution vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

The New England Revolution have a chance at MLS history on Wednesday at 7:00 pm EST in MLS Week 33. After picking up a point in Sunday’s 2-2 draw with Orlando, the Revs now have 70 points. Adam Buksa, second in the Golden Boot race, scored a brace. He has five goals in his past five games and is priced at +130 odds, as is his teammate Gustavo Bou, as anytime goalscorers.

While 70 points is enough to already have clinched the Supporters’ Shield, it’s two points back from tieing the MLS points record of 72. With a win and three points, they’ll eclipse that record.

As one of only three teams to have played 32 games, their chances at history are running out. And locking it up with a game to go, would surely give Bruce Arena every excuse for some squad rotation on Decision Day.

There could still be rotation in this one, with the Revs having a day less of rest, having played on Sunday, compared to the Rapids, who played on Saturday, a 2-0 win over Portland.

It’s an important match for the Rapids too. With 55 points, they sit tied with SKC for second in the West (seeded third), three points back of first-place Seattle. They still have a chance of finishing first or moving up a seed in the West.

The Rapids won’t be a pushover, but no team has collected more home points than the Revs this season with 36 points. They’ve lost just once at Gillette Stadium this season at 11-3-1.

The Rapids have been solid on the road at 7-3-5 but are just 1-1-2 on their travels of late and have been leaking goals away from home. Those four recent road matches read 2-2 (D), 3-0 (L), 3-1 (W) and their latest 3-1 (L).

New England is undefeated in nine and has just one loss in 19 matches. They’ve scored multiple goals in each of their past six, while also conceding at least once in their past seven. The Over is a perfect 6-0 in Revs’ matches of late.

Both teams to score (-170) or the Over (-160), could be in play, but the Revs to wrap up the points record on their home pitch Wednesday is my pick.

Pick: New England win (-145)

DC United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

A crucial Eastern Conference playoff match kicks off at 7:30 pm EST on MLS Week 33.

DC was run off the pitch on Saturday, playing against the blue side of New York, losing 6-0 to NYCFC. United is slumping at the wrong time, now winless in four at 0-1-3, and being outscored 11-3. That sees them down to ninth in the East with 41 points. That is two back of each of Montreal (8th), Atlanta (7th – final playoff spot) and the Red Bulls (6th). Both New York and Atlanta also have a game in hand, having played 30 games, compared to DC’s 31.

The arrow is firmly pointing in the opposite direction for the Red Bulls. They won 2-1 on the road in Columbus on Saturday, their fourth-straight win. They’re undefeated in eight matches and 6-3-1 in their past ten, No one in all of MLS has more points in their past five (13) or more points in their past ten (21) than the Red Bulls.

There’s a clear trend when these teams meet and it points to the Under. The teams drew 1-1 in New York in September and DC won 1-0 at home in July. The past five matches between them have all gone Under 2.5. A clean sheet has been kept in four of those five matches.

These are two of the highest pressing teams in the league. The Red Bulls rank first in total pressures, while DC ranks sixth. For attacking third pressures New York is first, and DC is seventh. In middle third pressures, New York is first, while DC is third. Neither team is used to possessing the ball much with New York averaging 48.1-percent of possession and DC 46.7-percent.

DC is in poor overall form, but at home, they are 10-1-4 with a plus-16 goal differential. They’ve failed to win each of their past two at Audi Field, but have scored multiple goals in five of six recent home dates.

DC’s matches have cashed the Over 2.5 in 13/15. But the Red Bulls have gone Under 2.5 is 9/12 in recent matches.

For DC, they need the points. They’ll press and attack at home and are certainly capable of finding the scoresheet. That will undoubtfully open them up at the back, giving the Red Bulls every opportunity to score as well.

Pick: Both Teams to Score (-140)

Sporting Kansas City vs LA Galaxy Prediction

Wednesday at 8:30 pm EST sees second place in the West SKC hosting fifth-place LA in MLS Week 33.

SKC are fresh off a 2-1 road win over the West-leading Seattle Sounders, bringing them three points back from the leaders. It was their third win in four and fifth in their past seven. The win was more impressive considering two of their top three scorers in Daniel Salloi and Alan Pulido missed out with injury. Both will miss out Wednesday as well. However, Johnny Russell is in blistering form, having scored in each of his past seven games, scoring eight times. Russell as an anytime scorer is priced at +125 odds.

Sporting could also be without starting keeper Tim Melia, should MLS DisCo come down with a red card ruling for his tackle (body slam?) on Cristian Roldan against Seattle. See it below.

If it seems odd to picture LA as high as fifth, it’s probably because they have just two wins in their past 12 games. But those two wins have come in their past three games and after Saturday’s 2-2 draw with Dallas, LA is now undefeated in four. In fact, despite having very rarely won a game in the final third of the season, they are a respectable 2-5-3 in their past ten.

There’s plenty on the line for both teams here. SKC can end the night tied in first with a win. LA meanwhile, can crack the top four and gain, at least temporarily, home-field advantage in the playoffs. However, with still a couple of games to go after this, they could still technically slip entirely out of the playoffs.

SKC were 2-0 winners in LA earlier this year in July. They’ll also be confident in knowing they’ve only lost at home to the Galaxy once since September 2007.

I see SKC leaving this one with all three points once again. If you’re looking at the totals market trends, SKC’s games have gone 6-0 to the Over recently, while LA is 3-0 to the Over in their past three, but 4-2 in their past six. For a short price, both teams to score is listed at -185 odds. Over 2.5 is listed at -165.

Pick: SKC win (-120)

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