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MLS Week 7 Odds & Picks: FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution, LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes & More

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated May 28, 2021 · 4:16 PM PDT

MLS Week 7
LA Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez (14) plays during the second half of an MLS soccer match against Portland Timbers, Saturday, May 22, 2021, in Portland, Ore. Portland Timbers won 3-0. (AP Photo/Amanda Loman)
  • MLS Week 7 kicks off on Saturday, May 29 with 11 matches
  • LA’s matches average 3.5 GPG and San Jose’s average 3.1, both tops in the league after only Cincinnati at 4.0
  • Read on for the odds and our best bets from MLS Week 7 here

MLS Week 7 kicks off on Saturday, May 29, 2021, with a heavy fixture slate of 11 matches throughout Saturday, followed by two Sunday night kick-offs with Philadelphia vs Portland and Seattle vs Austin. Saturday also features some big-time clashes among contenders with Columbus hosting Toronto and LAFC hosting NYCFC.

Let’s look ahead to the odds and best bets from the MLS Week 7 schedule below.

MLS Week 7 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal -114 +240 +320
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City +117 +235 +225
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC +100 +260 +255
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution +255 +265 -105
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC +132 +230 +205
Los Angeles FC vs New York City FC -129 +275 +325
LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes +104 +250 +250
Inter Miami CF vs DC United -127 +245 +370
Sporting KC vs Houston Dynamo -167 +300 +430
Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas -127 +290 +300
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United +108 +250 +230
Philadelphia Union vs Portland Timbers -113 +290 +260
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC -180 +310 +450

Odds as of May 28 at DraftKings

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction

The bottom of the East hosts the top of the conference when FC Cincinnati entertains the New England Revolution at 3:00 pm EST Saturday afternoon at the brand TQL Stadium.

Though FCC found themselves behind 1-0 to Montreal after 56 minutes of play last week, this time they rebounded with two goals of their own from Jurgen Locadia and Gustavo Vallecilla to claim a 2-1 win, their first of the season. It was also their first win after a stretch of nine matches dating back into last season which saw them go 0-1-8 (WDL).

Still though, conceding the single goal has now stretched their run of matches without a clean sheet to a worrying 15.

Their opponents on Saturday in MLS Week 7 meanwhile have just a single loss on the season and sit first in the East at 4-2-1.

From a totals standpoint, Cincinnati’s matches have all been goal fests. They are a perfect 5-0 to OVER 2.5 totals, with their matches averaging 4.0 goals per game (GPG). The next closest is the LA Galaxy at 3.5 GPG.

With ten goals scored and only seven conceded, Revs’ matches are only averaging 2.4 goals per game. And while they may boast a strong 4-2-1 record, they’ve still only scored multiple goals on three occasions, twice at home and once on the road to the struggling Chicago Fire.

FCC will get a boost from their home crowd at their new stadium, but there’s little that points to anything other than a Revs win here. New England lead all of MLS is touches in the attacking penalty area, while Cincinnati has allowed the fourth-most touches against in their own penalty area. When it comes to expected goals (xG), the Revs are third overall in MLS while Cincinnati has allowed the second-highest expected goals against (xGA). With Carles Gil, who leads the league in a host of categories such as key passes, carries into the attacking third, passes into the penalty area and expected assists, the Revs should be able to unlock this FCC defense and take all three points.

Pick: New England to Win (-105)

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LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Third place LA Galaxy hosts the seventh-place San Jose Earthquakes in a Western Conference derby at 7:00 pm EST Saturday night.

Both teams are coming off losses heading into this Cali Clásico with LA losing 3-0 in Portland and San Jose losing 3-1 at home to SKC last week. It’s now three straight losses for Matias Almeyda’s men.

If any match on the MLS Week 7 slate looks primed for a wild night of goals it’s this one.

The Galaxy are 5-1 to OVER 2.5 totals, while San Jose is 5-2. LA’s matches average 3.5 GPG and San Jose’s average 3.1, both tops in the league after only Cincinnati’s 4.0.

While San Jose is looking to snap a three-game slide this season, LA is looking to snap a three-match run without a win against the Quakes. Last season they met on four occasions. The Galaxy came out on top 3-2 at home in the first match, but drew 0-0 and lost 2-1 in San Jose, before a 4-0 home loss thereafter.

The Earthquakes have the highest xG in the league at 13.6 while taking the fourth-most shots and landing the second-most on target.

LA find themselves a little further down the shot charts offensively, but do have the league’s top scorer in Chicharito. However, their defense, which has proved to be their Achilles heel in the past is still an issue in 2021. They have conceded the fourth-most attempts and second-most shots on target in MLS. And San Jose is right there beside them, conceding the second-most attempts and fourth-most on target.

To me, this sets up to be an entertaining affair with a few goals in total and both sides contributing.

Pick: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 (-150 at Bet365)

Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC Prediction

The final match of MLS Week 7 sees the league-leading Seattle Sounders hosting expansion Austin FC Sunday at 9:30 pm EST.

The Sounders have been in outstanding form despite using a new formation and without the services of Jordan Morris or Nico Lodeiro. Still, they are 5-2-0 (WDL) while scoring 14 and conceding only three times. After four straight wins, they drew with Atlanta 1-1 last week.

Austin FC looked respectable in the early rounds of this MLS season. They held LAFC to 1-0 until a late second goal. They then defeated Colorado and Minnesota 3-1 and 1-0 respectively. But since, they’ve begun to sputter with 2-1, 2-0 and 1-0 defeats. Their opening season road swing is slowly winding down as this will be their seventh-straight road match. They’ll travel to KC next week before finally playing in their home opener on June 19.

A date in Seattle is unlikely to be where Austin kickstarts their season as the Sounders are undefeated at Lumen Field in their past 15 matches. They’ve also scored multiple goals in ten of those 15.

Worrying for Austin is that Seattle has proved they don’t even need much of the ball to have success in 2021. They have the third-lowest possession stats in the league at a 45-percent average. In fact, not once have they held a possession advantage, only gaining 49-percent in each of their first two matches.

Austin’s done well at holding the ball, they average the seventh-highest possession stats with a 53.2-percent average. But against Seattle, who has proven to have no problem crushing their opponents on the counter that’s unlikely to matter.

Sounders look like clear favorites for the three points (-180), to score at least twice (-165), or for more value to win and score two or more.

Pick: Seattle to Win & Score Over 1.5 (-105 at Bet365)

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