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Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction, Odds, Lineup – Serie A Week 26 (Mar 11)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated Mar 10, 2023 · 9:45 AM PST

Atalanta's Merih Demiral reacts to fans
Atalanta's Merih Demiral reacts to fans after Atalanta's Jeremie Boga scored during the Europa League Round of 16, second leg, soccer match between Bayer Leverkusen and Atalanta Bergamo at the BayArena in Leverkusen, Germany, Thursday, March 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)
  • Napoli and Atalanta meet on Saturday, March 11th
  • The hosts are 15 points clear at the top of the table and are odds-on favorites in the Napoli vs Atalanta odds
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and Napoli vs Atalanta prediction

League leaders Napoli will be looking to bounce back from just their second defeat of the campaign when they welcome Atalanta to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Saturday for an important fixture. The kick-off is scheduled for 12 PM ET in Naples. Find the Napoli vs Atalanta prediction below.

The hosts are coming off a 1-0 loss to Lazio, ending a 10-game unbeaten run across all competitions. Atalanta meanwhile played to a scoreless draw with Udinese. In fact, the visitors haven’t won in three outings.

Napoli vs Atalanta Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Napoli -160
Atalanta +380
Draw +300

Napoli is a heavy -160 favorite in the Napoli vs Atlanta odds for an implied win probability of 61.54%. Atalanta sits at +380 Serie A odds for a mere 20.83% chance of collecting the three points Saturday. Recent meetings favor the first-place side, winning two in a row and outscoring La Dea 5-2 in the process. Odds as of March 10th at DraftKings.

Napoli vs Atalanta Preview

It’s truly been a breathtaking campaign for Luciano Spalletti’s men, who are running away with the Scudetto. Currently 15 points clear at the top, it would take a serious collapse for Napoli to give up the title. Inter is the next-closest club to them and is actually the only other side to hand them a defeat this term.

While 58 goals in just 25 matches show just how lethal The Blues are in the final third, only 16 goals conceded is even more impressive. They’ve been rock solid at the back and that was no different last Friday.

YouTube video

It simply came down to an absolute screamer from Lazio’s Matias Vecino, who smashed home a thumping strike from well outside the box. Napoli had no shortage of chances up top either, especially leading goal-scorer Victor Osimhen. But, they couldn’t find a breakthrough.

Atalanta is in very poor form heading into this massive encounter. Gian Piero Gasperini’s group has just two victories in their last eight and lost two in a row before the stalemate on matchday 25 against Udinese. Finding the back of the net appears to be a problem as of late, scoring once in their previous three outings. Given how strong Napoli is defensively, it won’t get any easier Saturday.

Currently sixth in the Serie A standings and five points off the final Champions League spot, a positive result is crucial here. It’s also promising that Atalanta has only lost once in the last four visits to Naples, collecting a pair of wins in the process.

Napoli vs Atalanta Projected Lineups & Injuries

Napoli Projected Lineup: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Kim, Rrahmani, Olivera; Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski; Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia

Injuries & Absences: Rui, Lozano

Atalanta Projected Lineup: Musso; Toloi, Demiral, Djimsiti; Maehle, De Roon, Ederson, Ruggeri; Boga; Lookman, Hojlund

Injuries & Absences: Zappacosta, Koopmeiners

Napoli vs Atalanta Key Stats

Napoli
VS
Atalanta
21-2-2 (1st) Record 12-6-7 (6th)
58 Goals Scored 42
16 Goals Conceded 28
WWWWL Form in Last Five LWLLD

Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction

Just one of the last 15 games between these two sides has ended level, therefore I do expect there to be a winner and it will be Napoli for my Napoli vs Atalanta prediction. They’re far too solid on home soil and I don’t see Atalanta keeping this attack at bay once again. Expect the likes of Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to produce the goods and help their side collect a vital three points.

Napoli vs Atlanta Picks: Napoli -160

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