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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Odds & Prediction (June 18)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Jun 18, 2022 · 6:00 AM PDT

MLS Week 11
May 10, 2022; Washington, DC, USA; New York Red Bulls midfielder Luquinhas (82) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the D.C. United in the first half in a US Open Cup match at Audi Field. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC on Saturday, June 18 on Matchday 16 of the MLS
  • The Red Bulls are currently fourth in the Eastern Conference while Toronto is currently down in 12th
  • We preview the game, look at New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC odds, and offer some picks below

It is New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC in the Red Bull Arena in round 16 of the MLS on Saturday, June 18 at 7:00 pm ET.

The Red Bulls currently sit fourth in the Eastern Conference – just three points behind the leaders, NYC – while Toronto has had a tough start to the season and is currently down in 12th place.

We preview New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC and offer below some analysis, team news, and picks for this huge MLS clash.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Odds

Matchup Moneyline
New York Red Bulls -335
Toronto FC +1000
Draw +420

Odds as of June 17 at Caesars Sportsbook.

The bookmakers have listed New York Red Bulls as odds-on favorites with home advantage and their better form giving them a definite edge. They are -335 for the win, with an implied win probability of a massive 77%. Toronto FC, given their unimpressive campaign so far, are long shots at +1000 with an implied win probability of only 9%.

The draw, unsurprisingly, offers a good return at +420 with an implied probability of 19%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars has pitched ‘over 2.5 goals’ at -160, and under 2.5 at +130, suggesting they expect the Red Bulls to hit the goal trail here. Neither bet offers great value, but over 3.5 is more interesting as it pays at +130.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Asian Handicaps and Pointspreads, then our page offers help on how to bet on this game and MLS games.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

The Red Bulls have made a decent start to the new campaign and, while down in fourth in the Eastern Conference, are just three points adrift of the leaders and city counterparts, New York City, albeit having played two games more.

With a 6-5-4 winning record, the Red Bulls have put themselves in the heart of the playoff places and if they can maintain this level of consistency they will definitely make it to the post-season. Their main strength so far has been a good defense that has conceded just 17 goals in their 15 games, with only the two at the top in the Conference, NYC and Philadelphia, having conceded fewer.

Defeat in Charlotte for RB

The Red Bulls do, however, come into this game off the back of a defeat, and their 2-0 defeat in Charlotte last Saturday was the product of one of their worst performances of the season. The home side totally dominated possession (62%) and, with the Red Bulls registering just a total of just seven shots, goals in first and second-half injury-time were more than enough to give the home team the win.

Last season, the Red Bulls finished seventh in the Eastern Conference – qualifying for the playoffs in the process – but were knocked out by Philadelphia Union, after extra time, in the first round of the playoffs. This season they will be hoping to progress further.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head Stats

New York Red Bulls
VS
Toronto FC
6-5-4 MLS 2022 record 4-3-1
24 / 17 Goals for / Goals against 21 / 27
4th Current Eastern Conference position 12th
+1100 Odds to win the MLS Cup +4000
D-D-L-W-W-L Form guide (all competitions) L-L-L-D-W-W

Tough Start for Toronto FC

For Toronto FC, it’s been a difficult campaign. With an underwhelming 4-3-7 record, they currently sit 12th in the Eastern Conference, with their biggest problem being in defense, where they have conceded 27 goals in their 14 games – the worst in the Conference.

In front of goal, they have been okay – 21 goals in 14 games – but in order to claw their way up to the top half of the table and the playoff places, they need to strike a more productive balance between defense and attack.

Toronto Now With Momentum?

Toronto are, however, unbeaten in three and have won their last two. Just before the international break, they recorded a useful 3-2 over bottom-of-the-table Chicago, which followed a win over Wanderers in the Canadian Championship.

They will be hoping to carry this momentum into the middle third of the campaign as they look to make a charge for the playoff places and, at the very least, improve upon last year’s disappointing 13th-place.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Team Lineups and Injuries

Red Bulls Projected Lineup: Carlos, Tolkin, Nealis (S), Edwards, Nealis (D), Yearwood, Amaya, Morgan, Mosso, Luquinhas, Klimala.

Red Bulls Injuries: Reyes, Monzon, Long.

Toronto Projected Lineup: Westberg, Thompson, O’Neill, Salcedo, Petrasso, Kerr, Bradley, Duran, Akinola, Jiminez, Pozuelo.

Toronto Injuries: Marshall-Rutty, Osorio.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Pick

Toronto’s poor start to the campaign makes this look like a home banker and is why the bookies favor the Red Bulls so strongly, but three games without defeat will have given the Canadians a lift.

The Red Bulls have the top two in their sights though and backed up by that solid defense will be looking to bounce back strongly from the lackluster defeat in Charlotte. So, while this may not be the easy ride the bookies suggest, it’s hard to see anything other than the home win.

Pick: New York Red Bulls to win (-335) / New York Red Bulls to win 2-0 (+500)

 

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