Sevilla vs Valencia Odds & Prediction – La Liga Picks (Aug 11)
By John Dillon in Soccer News
Published:
- Spain’s top flight is back at 4:00 pm ET on Friday with Europa League winners Sevilla in action
- Home side looks for return to better league form while Valencia hopes to avoid struggles of last season
- See our Sevilla vs Valencia prediction, odds and best bets for La Liga Opening Day August 11
Two under-achieving big-name outfits meet in Sevilla vs Valencia as Spain’s La Liga helps kick off the new campaign on Friday. Read on for our Sevilla vs Valencia predictions here.
Sevilla – often a contender for European places – finished way down in 12th spot last season.
However, its domestic disappointment was eased by the fact it won the Europa League for the seventh time. It beat Roma on penalties in the final.
Meanwhile, Valencia has not been so successful in recent times and finished 16th last season.
It was its worst finish since it was relegated in the 1984-85 season.
The game kicks off at 4:00 pm ET at the Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan with Almeria hosting Rayo Vallecano earlier in the day.
Sevilla vs Valencia Odds
| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Sevilla | -110 |
| Valencia | +285 |
| Draw | +245 |
At Draftkings, Sevilla is an -110 favorite to open the campaign with a home win. Furthermore, Valencia is priced at +285 – with the draw at +245.
Moreover, Sevilla is the fourth favorite in the La Liga odds at +2800 – behind the usual top three of Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.
Odds as of Aug 10 at DraftKings. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet Friday’s Sevilla vs Valencia matchup.
Sevilla vs Valencia Over/Under & Spread
Sevilla scored only 47 times in its 38-game La Liga campaign last season.
However, it has retained the services of last season’s 17-goal top marksman, the Moroccan Youssef Em-Nesyri.
Valencia hit 42 goals but one of its leading scorers – seven-goal Justin Kluivert has departed for EPL side Bournemouth.
Samuel Lino also scored seven times for the team on loan but has now returned to Atletico Madrid.
Neither of their two main signings – Cenk Ozkacar (midfield) and Pepelu (midfield) is a striker.
So goals may again be hard to come by.
Among the Total Goals offers, there is a price of +115 for there to be three strikes or more (Over 2.5).
There is an offer of +220 for there to be one goal only (Under 1.5).
Sevilla is offered at +265 to win by two goals or more (Spread -1.5).
Meanwhile, Valencia is priced at +270 to win by one goal or more (Spread -0.5).
Sevilla vs Valencia Preview
Most observers expect Sevilla to return to its familiar position competing for the top four places this season.
Its coach, Jose Luis Mendilibar, saved the campaign after arriving halfway through last season.
Significantly, under his guidance, the team gradually turned around a poor start.
🏋️♂️ Fine-tuning @SevillaFC_ENG preparations💪#SevillaFCValencia pic.twitter.com/icFvI5AZ3f
— Valencia CF (@valenciacf_en) August 9, 2023
The team won eight, drew six and lost only three matches once he was in command- crowning the season with the Europa League triumph in Budapest.
This was won with a 4-1 victory in the penalty shoot-out after a 1-1 draw against Jose Mourinho’s Roma outfit.
The team’s new signings include $17 million defender Loic Bade from Rennes of France and $14 million midfielder Djibril Sow from Eintracht Frankfurt.
This is not a major outlay but the club hierarchy is relying on the wisdom of 62-year-old coach Mendilibar to maintain the side’s good form.
It has had a mixed time in pre-season with three wins, three draws and two draws.
Its final warm-up game was a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid in San Francisco on a US tour in which it also drew 1-1 with Crystal Palace and defeated Real Betis 1-0.
Valencia enjoyed four straight wins in pre-season before a 2-1 home defeat by Aston Villa last weekend.
Its major signing has been the capture of US international defender Yunas Musah who has arrived from AC Milan for $26 million.
No major forward has been recruited.
Sevilla vs Valencia Statistics
| 13 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 18 |
| 47 | Goals | 42 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 111 | Yellow Cards | 89 |
| 12 | Red Cards | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
*Statistics from La Liga Final Table 2022-2023.
Sevilla vs Valencia Props
DraftKings offers varied props among its Sevilla vs Valencia odds for this La Liga opener in southern Spain.
For example, there is a price for predicting Seville’s Exact Goals Tally – with +215 offered for two goals.
The same total for Valencia is offered at +340.
Welcome, Sow! 🇨🇭 pic.twitter.com/QsIhOXELSQ
— Sevilla FC (@SevillaFC_ENG) August 8, 2023
Furthermore, Sevilla is quoted at +145 to keep a clean sheet – and -200 to fail to meet this target.
Meanwhile, Valencia’s odds for a clean sheet stand at +310.
The price for failure to keep the total of goals conceded to zero is -475.
Sevilla vs Valencia History
Sevilla is undefeated in its last nine meetings with Valencia with six wins and three draws.
Last season, there was a 1-1 draw between the teams in Sevilla last October.
Following that, there was a 2-0 away win for Sevilla in Valencia last April.
Sevilla vs Valencia Line-Ups & Injuries
Sevilla projected line-up: Dimitrovic; Navas, Bade, Marcao, Acuna; Rakitic, Sow, Jordan; Ocampos, En-Nesyri, Lamela
Sevilla Injuries: Nianzou, Vacas
Valencia projected line-up: Mamardashvili; Correia, Ozkacar, Paulista, Gaya; Pepelu, Almeida, Racic; Castillejo, Duro, Mari
Valencia Injuries: Mosquera
Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction
Sevilla may have one eye on the European Super Cup meeting with Champions League winners Manchester City in Athens next Wednesday.
But they look strong enough to make a comfortable winning start to the La Liga season for our Sevilla vs Valencia predictions.
Sevilla vs Valencia Picks: Sevilla -1.5 (+265)
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Sports Writer
John Dillon is a leading member of the UK's sporting media, having spent three decades as a national newspaper soccer and sports writer, broadcaster and author. He has covered five World Cups, six European Championships and was Chief Sports Writer at the Daily Express for 14 years.
