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Spain vs Sweden Odds & Prediction – UEFA World Cup Qualifying Group Stage Matchday 10

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Nov 13, 2021 · 1:00 PM PST

Spain's players celebrate
Spain's players celebrate his team victory over Greece at the end of the World Cup 2022 group B qualifying soccer match between Greece and Spain at the Olympic stadium in Athens, Greece, Thursday, Nov 11, 2021. (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)
  • It is Spain vs Sweden in Round 10  of UEFA World Cup qualifying on Sunday, November 14 at 3:45 pm ET
  • The top two in Group B clash in a winner-takes-all tie for a place in Qatar 2022
  • We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer some picks below

It is crunch time in UEFA World Cup 2022 qualifying as Spain and Sweden go head-to-head in a winner-takes-all clash. It all kicks off in Seville on Sunday, November 14, KO at 3:45 pm ET, with the victors heading to Qatar and the losers heading to the playoffs. With Spain leading the Group B by one point, they would qualify if the game is tied.

La Roja comes into this off the back of Thursday’s vital 1-0 win over Greece. Sweden suffered a costly 2-0 defeat in Georgia.

We list the odds, preview Spain vs Sweden, and offer below the best picks for this World Cup qualifying Matchday 10 clash.

Spain vs Sweden Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Spain vs Sweden SPA -1.5 (+130) | SWE +1.5 (-145) SPA -260 | DRAW +400 | SWE +750 Ov 2.5 (-110) | Un 2.5 (-115)

Odds as of November 13 at DraftKings

Fine Win in Athens

Spain has been playing catch-up in World Cup qualifying after the last international break was taken up with their involvement in the UEFA Nations League finals. In that competition, they played well to beat the hosts Italy 2-1 in the semifinal. They came up short against the French in the final where they came out on the wrong side of a 2-1 scoreline.

The Reds were quick to hit their stride on their return to Group B. On Thursday, they went to Greece and came away with a 1-0 win in what was effectively a must-win. It was a victory that crucially, helped by a surprise Sweden defeat in Georgia, moved them above the Swedes at the top of the group with one game left. It was a challenging night in Athens for Spain and they were made to work hard for their win by a determined and feisty Greek team, but a first-half penalty from Pablo Sarabia was enough to earn them the three points.

Just a Point Needed for Spain

The upshot of events in Batumi and Athens is that now Spain needs just a point to secure automatic qualification to next winter’s World Cup in Qatar. On home soil in Seville – a stadium renowned for producing a raucous, intimidating atmosphere – the Spanish will be confident of getting the job done, albeit respectful of a Sweden team who beat them 2-1 in Stockholm in September.

This still remains a Spain side in transition after the old guard, one-by-one, have departed from the international stage. It’s a talented group who have the ability to emulate the Class of 2010 – the last Spanish team to win the World Cup. They will view getting to the semifinal of last summer’s Euros as progress but will want to go a step further in Qatar.

But first, they have to qualify.

Spain vs Sweden Head-to-Head Stats

Spain
VS
Sweden
5-1-1 WC Qualifiers – Record to Date 5-0-2
14 Goals For 12
5 Goals Against 5
71 Average Possession (%) 47
92 Passing Accuracy (%) 82

Nightmare in Batumi

The Swedes’ 2-0 defeat in Georgia was a hammer blow, as prior to that game they looked to be in pole position for automatic qualification. On a nightmare of a night in Batumi, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scored twice to give the Georgians a massive win; one that cast huge doubts on Janne Andersson’s team’s chances of avoiding the playoffs. Only a win now in Seville will see them top the group and head to Qatar automatically.

But it has been an outstanding campaign for the Blue and Yellows who will not want it to fizzle out in Seville. They have won five of their seven games, losing only to Greece and Georgia. They have shown massive improvements in collecting their 15 points.

While they are guaranteed at least a playoff place – Greece is six points behind them – the automatic route has always been their aim and they still head to Spain confident of causing an upset.

Swedes Keen Not to Miss Out

Having performed so well in the 2018 World Cup – they reached the quarter-finals before being beaten 2-0 by England – Sweden will be keen not to miss out this time around, especially after under-performing in this summer’s Euros where they exited at the round-of-16 stage after losing 2-1 to Ukraine after extra-time.

This is a talented Sweden team, as they proved when beating the Spanish in Stockholm, but they will need to find their A-game if they are to get the win they need. They have been full of goals though, having scored 12 in their seven games, and will believe they can sneak the win they need, especially with Zlatan Ibrahimovic back in the fold.

Spain vs SwedenPrediction

The win in Greece was massive for Spain and they will be full of confidence ahead of this game. With a good performance at the Nations League finals also in the bank, they will believe they can handle anything the Swedes can throw at them and emerge with a minimum of a draw.

Sweden will battle and make life tough for a Spanish team who will dominate the ball but it is hard to see the visitors having quite enough to win in what will be a hostile atmosphere. For me, despite the tempting price for a Sweden win, the value is still with a narrow home win.

Pick: Spain to win (-260) / Spain to win 2-0 (+550)

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