UEFA Nations League Predictions for Friday, Nov 13

• UEFA Nations League predictions and betting picks for all 10 Friday games
• Germany -1.5 and Scotland -1.5 handicap predictions
• Best moneyline, handicap, and over/under bets for Nov. 13

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The UEFA Nations League Round 5 schedule features several betting opportunities, with team form and motivation playing important roles in Friday’s matchups. The action begins at 12:00 PM ET when Kazakhstan visits Moldova, followed by several key games kicking off at 2:45 PM ET.

Friday’s schedule features several intriguing matchups, with Germany, Scotland, and the Netherlands among the teams attracting attention as favorites. Switzerland also faces Slovenia in a key contest, while Moldova, Kazakhstan, Greece, and other underdogs will be looking to produce upsets. Recent form could play an important role in determining the outcome of these games and identifying the best betting opportunities.

Friday’s matches also carry important implications for the teams involved. Germany, the Netherlands, Scotland, and Switzerland will aim to strengthen their positions in the competition, while Serbia, Bulgaria, Luxembourg, and the remaining teams will look to improve their standings.

With several intriguing moneyline and totals markets available, comparing the odds across Friday’s 10 fixtures can help bettors identify their preferred opportunities.

UEFA Nations League Betting Odds for Nov. 13 Games

Odds sourced from Novig and theScore Bet.

Before placing your bets, compare the moneyline, draw, and over/under odds for Friday’s UEFA Nations League matchups.

UEFA Nations League Best Bets Today

Odds as of 6:37 PM ET on Nov. 12. Claim SBD’s exclusive NOVIG PROMO CODE and/or KALSHI PROMO CODE today.

Expert Picks and Predictions Analysis

Moldova vs. Kazakhstan Prediction

Neither team has produced consistent offense through its first four Nations League matches. Moldova averages just 0.75 goals per match and 46.25% possession, highlighting its difficulties breaking down opposing defenses and creating quality scoring opportunities.

Kazakhstan has performed slightly better, averaging 1.25 goals per match, but still has a negative goal differential of -2. Although their previous meeting produced three goals, both teams’ recent attacking numbers suggest another low-scoring contest. Expect a closely fought game with limited scoring opportunities.

Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (62% / -163 at Kalshi)

Netherlands vs. Greece Prediction

The Netherlands has historically dominated this matchup, holding a clear advantage over Greece in recent meetings. The Dutch have won twice and drawn once in their last three meetings with Greece, outscoring their opponents 6-2.

The Netherlands has averaged 62.0% possession in its head-to-head meetings with Greece, highlighting its ability to control the game. After removing the vig, the Netherlands has a 62.15% implied probability of winning in regulation, compared to 15.53% for Greece and 22.32% for a draw. Given this statistical advantage, the Dutch look well-positioned to secure another victory.

Pick: Netherlands Moneyline (-178 at Novig)

Slovenia vs. Switzerland Prediction

Switzerland has been one of the tournament’s most dominant teams, posting a +10 goal differential after scoring 11 goals (2.75 per match) and conceding just once.

The Swiss have also controlled possession (62.25%) and generated 70 shots across their four matches. Switzerland has enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of its last five meetings with Slovenia while averaging 63.2% possession and 12.4 shots per game. Given Switzerland’s strong recent performances and historical advantage in this matchup, the visitors are well-positioned to secure another victory.

Pick: Switzerland Moneyline (-138 at Novig)

Slovakia vs. Faroe Islands Prediction

Slovakia has been one of the strongest teams in the competition, posting a +7 goal differential through its first four matches. The side averages 2.25 goals scored and just 0.50 conceded per game. It has also controlled possession (62.5%) and created plenty of attacking opportunities, recording 53 shots and 28 corner kicks.

The Faroe Islands held Slovakia to a 1-1 draw in their previous meeting, although the Slovakian side dominated possession with 61.0% and won the corner-kick battle 10-2. Given Slovakia’s attacking strength, a higher-scoring contest could be on the cards.

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (53% / -113 at Kalshi)

Serbia vs. Germany Prediction

Serbia has endured a difficult Nations League campaign, losing all four of its group matches while conceding eight goals. Germany has performed better, collecting five points from its first four games and defeating Serbia 2-0 in the reverse fixture on Oct. 1.

The visitors have also created significantly more chances, averaging 19.75 shots per game compared to Serbia’s 8.75. With Germany holding a clear advantage in form and attacking production, backing the visitors to win by at least two goals is an appealing option.

Pick: Germany -1.5 Handicap (57% / -133 at Kalshi)

Bulgaria vs. Iceland Prediction

Bulgaria has struggled to find the net in the Nations League, scoring just three goals through its first four group matches. The hosts have also failed to score in eight of their last 15 games, highlighting their attacking limitations.

Iceland, meanwhile, has conceded just once in four Nations League fixtures and has kept three clean sheets. Although the previous meeting produced three goals in a 3-0 Iceland victory, the visitors’ defensive record and Bulgaria’s scoring struggles point toward a lower-scoring contest. Backing Under 2.5 Goals is an appealing option.

Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (56% / -127 at Kalshi)

Luxembourg vs. Estonia Prediction

Luxembourg has struggled offensively in the Nations League, scoring just twice through its first four group matches. The team has also lost its last three games without finding the net, conceding six goals during that stretch.

Estonia, meanwhile, has been difficult to break down, conceding just once in four matches while remaining unbeaten. The visitors also won the reverse fixture 1-0, and three of Estonia’s four group games have finished with fewer than three goals. Given Luxembourg’s scoring struggles and Estonia’s defensive strength, another low-scoring contest could be on the cards.

Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (63% / -170 at Kalshi)

Andorra vs. Gibraltar Prediction

Andorra and Gibraltar have both struggled to produce consistent attacking performances in the Nations League. Andorra has scored just once through its first three group matches, while Gibraltar has found the net once in two games. Their previous meeting in September ended in a goalless draw, highlighting the challenges both sides have faced in creating scoring opportunities.

Although both teams have struggled offensively, the Over 1.5 Goals market offers a relatively modest target, requiring just two goals to cash. With both sides looking to secure their first victory in the group, an early goal could open up the contest and create additional scoring opportunities.

Pick: Over 1.5 Goals (57% / -133 at Kalshi)

Liechtenstein vs. Azerbaijan Prediction

Liechtenstein has struggled to produce attacking opportunities in the Nations League, failing to score in either of its first two group matches. Azerbaijan, meanwhile, has made a stronger start, collecting five points from three games while conceding just once.

The visitors also won their most recent match 1-0 against Lithuania, putting them in a strong position to finish top of the group. Although the reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw, Liechtenstein may need to adopt a more attacking approach at home. That could create additional opportunities for Azerbaijan and help produce the two goals required for the Over 1.5 selection.

Pick: Over 1.5 Goals (59% / -144 at Kalshi)

Scotland vs. North Macedonia Prediction

North Macedonia has endured a difficult Nations League campaign, losing all four of its group matches while failing to score and conceding 10 goals. Scotland has also experienced an inconsistent start, but it demonstrated its superiority in the reverse fixture with a 2-0 victory away from home.

The Scots registered 25 shots and created seven big chances in that match, compared to just nine shots and no big chances for North Macedonia. With the visitors struggling to create scoring opportunities and Scotland having a clear attacking advantage, backing the hosts to win by at least two goals is an appealing option.

Pick: Scotland -1.5 Handicap (60% / -150 at Kalshi)